American Airlines Group (AAL) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 0/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
AAL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
American Airlines Group Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$14.48 |
| 52 Week High | US$18.79 |
| 52 Week Low | US$10.09 |
| Beta | 1.32 |
| 1 Month Change | -19.00% |
| 3 Month Change | 23.93% |
| 1 Year Change | 25.87% |
| 3 Year Change | -13.79% |
| 5 Year Change | -28.97% |
| Change since IPO | -41.16% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 24
American Airlines: Buy Any Fuel Panic
Summary American Airlines reported record Q2 revenue of $16.7 billion (+16% YoY), demonstrating successful premium service transition and commercial market recapture. The company faces a $3+ billion profit gap with legacy peers but is executing initiatives—like loyalty program growth—to close this gap. The airline forecasts a $6 billion boost in fuel prices in 2026, impacting short-term profit forecasts. The stock trades at only 4x normalized 2028 earnings while American Airlines also offers significant upside from narrowing the profit gap in the future. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 17
AAL: Strong Fares And Fuel Moderation Are Expected To Support Margins
Analysts now set a higher fair value target of $19.60 for American Airlines Group, reflecting updated views that combine firm demand and moderating fuel costs with slightly lower revenue growth expectations and somewhat stronger projected profit margins and P/E multiple assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group shows a clear split between bullish analysts raising price targets on the stock and more cautious voices highlighting execution and capacity risks.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 24
American Airlines: Buy Any Fuel Panic
Summary American Airlines reported record Q2 revenue of $16.7 billion (+16% YoY), demonstrating successful premium service transition and commercial market recapture. The company faces a $3+ billion profit gap with legacy peers but is executing initiatives—like loyalty program growth—to close this gap. The airline forecasts a $6 billion boost in fuel prices in 2026, impacting short-term profit forecasts. The stock trades at only 4x normalized 2028 earnings while American Airlines also offers significant upside from narrowing the profit gap in the future. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 17
AAL: Strong Fares And Fuel Moderation Are Expected To Support Margins
Analysts now set a higher fair value target of $19.60 for American Airlines Group, reflecting updated views that combine firm demand and moderating fuel costs with slightly lower revenue growth expectations and somewhat stronger projected profit margins and P/E multiple assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group shows a clear split between bullish analysts raising price targets on the stock and more cautious voices highlighting execution and capacity risks.Narrative Update • Jul 03
AAL: Strong Fares And Lower Fuel Costs Support Balanced Forward Outlook
The analyst price target for American Airlines Group is raised by $2 to $17.61. This reflects updated views that steady demand, higher fares, and lower fuel costs can support slightly higher profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jun 19
AAL: Solid Demand And Higher Fares Offset Fuel And Execution Risks
American Airlines Group's analyst price target has been revised higher to $15.61 from $14.94 as analysts factor in solid demand trends, firmer fares, and updated expectations for earnings durability, which are reflected in a higher projected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research on American Airlines Group has become more active, with several firms revising price targets and reassessing the stock's risk and reward profile.
Narrative Update • Jun 04
AAL: Demand Resilience And Revenue Initiatives Are Expected To Withstand Higher Fuel Costs
American Airlines Group's analyst fair value estimate edges up to $22.42 from $22.00, reflecting recent Street price target raises toward $18 to $24 as analysts factor in updated views on earnings durability, fuel costs, and balance sheet repair potential. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around American Airlines Group shows a mix of caution on fuel costs and earnings risk, alongside a cluster of higher fair value views that support the latest fair value estimate.
Narrative Update • May 21
AAL: Rising Jet Fuel Costs Will Pressure Margins And Earnings Outlook
American Airlines Group's analyst price target has shifted modestly as mixed revisions across the Street, with some targets raised and others reduced by between $1 and $7, reflecting updated views on fuel cost pressures and revenue resilience. Analyst Commentary Recent research on American Airlines Group has centered on how higher jet fuel assumptions and mixed revenue expectations feed into valuation.Narrative Update • May 01
AAL: Higher Fuel Costs Will Constrain Margins And Future Earnings Flexibility
The analyst fair value estimate for American Airlines Group has shifted from $12.68 to $10.00. This reflects how recent Street research has been recalibrating revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations in light of higher fuel costs and mixed price target changes across firms.Narrative Update • Apr 17
AAL: Fuel Resilience And Demand Strength Will Support Future Margin Execution
Narrative Update on American Airlines Group The updated analyst price target for American Airlines Group reflects a modest reset in fair value to $14.94, as analysts factor in higher fuel cost assumptions alongside relatively steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research around American Airlines Group has centered on resetting price targets to reflect higher fuel cost assumptions, with views split between those focused on demand resilience and those emphasizing margin pressure and balance of risks.Narrative Update • Apr 03
AAL: Fuel Cost Headwinds Will Test Rebounding Demand And Margin Execution
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for American Airlines Group to $15.40 from $16.40. This reflects a reset in price targets as higher fuel cost assumptions temper P/E expectations, even as revenue growth and profit margin forecasts are revised modestly upward.Narrative Update • Mar 19
AAL: Revenue Initiatives And Demand Trends Are Expected To Offset Fuel Risks
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for American Airlines Group to $22.00 from $21.00, as updated research reflects slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower discount rate, and a future P/E of about 8.1x, partly balanced by ongoing fuel cost concerns across recent Street reports. Analyst Commentary Street research on American Airlines Group over recent months has been mixed, with many firms revisiting estimates as fuel assumptions shift.Narrative Update • Mar 05
AAL: Fuel Costs And Capacity Pressures Will Temper Execution Upside Potential
The latest analyst price target reset for American Airlines Group reflects a mix of higher Street targets and fresh caution on fuel and capacity. Our updated fair value is anchored at about $12.68 as analysts balance expectations for margin improvement against risks from rising costs and crowded domestic routes.Narrative Update • Feb 19
AAL: Execution And Regulatory Setbacks Will Likely Cap Earnings Repricing Potential
The latest analyst price target update for American Airlines Group reflects a modest adjustment. Fair value has moved slightly to $12.68 as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower discount rate supported by a series of recent target revisions and broader Q4 and 2026 outlooks for the airline group.Narrative Update • Feb 05
AAL: Execution And Regulatory Risks Will Likely Restrain Margin-Driven Repricing
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for American Airlines Group higher to about US$12.69 from roughly US$10.81, citing Street research that points to stronger revenue initiatives, improving margin potential, and a recalibration of future P/E expectations across the airline group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess revenue potential, cost trends, and the outlook for sector earnings over the next couple of years.Narrative Update • Jan 22
AAL: Revenue Initiatives And Demand Momentum Are Expected To Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their implied price target for American Airlines Group to $21.00 from $18.74, citing higher modeled revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, a modestly lower profit margin assumption, and a richer future P/E multiple that reflect recent Street research highlighting revenue initiatives, demand momentum into 2026, and supportive industry commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more constructive on American Airlines Group, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and revising their views to reflect what they see as a healthier setup into 2026.Narrative Update • Jan 08
AAL: Rebounding Demand And Cost Actions Will Shape Measured Earnings Progress
Narrative Update: American Airlines Group The updated analyst price target for American Airlines Group increases to about US$16.40 from US$15.35, with analysts pointing to slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as they refresh their views following recent sector research and Q4 earnings previews. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group centers on refreshed Q4 earnings previews and updated 2026 outlooks, with several firms adjusting their price targets and reaffirming views on the stock.
Narrative Update • Dec 29
The "Big Four" Dominance
1. Fundamental Moat: The "Big Four" Dominance American Airlines is a cornerstone of the US "Big Four" legacy carriers.Narrative Update • Dec 23
AAL: Rising Execution Risks Will Likely Cap Upside Amid Industry Shift
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on American Airlines Group, reflecting a fair value increase from roughly $9.00 to about $10.80 per share as they factor in improving revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and higher industry price targets from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group reflects a cautiously constructive but uneven backdrop, with a mix of higher price targets and restrained ratings that underscore lingering concerns around execution and competitive positioning.Analysis Article • Dec 23
Even With A 26% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Performance Completely
American Airlines Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAL ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last...Narrative Update • Dec 09
AAL: Demand And Fare Tailwinds Will Support Gradual Earnings And Risk Rebalancing
American Airlines Group's fair value estimate has been modestly increased to $15.35 from $15.07, reflecting analysts' higher price targets, now as high as $20, supported by expectations of improving demand, firmer fare trends, and a more favorable long term earnings outlook for select U.S. carriers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a constructive but selective stance on American Airlines, with multiple price target increases signaling improved confidence in the companys medium term earnings power and balance of risk and reward.Narrative Update • Nov 25
AAL: Sustained Demand And Pricing Momentum Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for American Airlines Group, reflecting greater confidence in the company's slight improvements in revenue growth and profit margin. The fair value estimate has risen from $15.02 to $15.07 based on updated industry outlooks and recent positive demand and pricing trends.Narrative Update • Nov 08
AAL: Industry Shifts And Expense Pressures Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
American Airlines Group's analyst price target has increased from $14.55 to $15.02. This reflects moderate optimism among analysts amid encouraging industry trends and updated financial estimates.Narrative Update • Oct 25
Industry Transformation And Demand Shifts Will Shape Airline Performance Ahead
American Airlines Group’s analyst price target has increased from $14.23 to $14.55. Analysts cite improved demand, positive fare trends, and continued industry transformation as key drivers for the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 11
Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for American Airlines Group from $13.88 to $14.23, citing recent improvements in profit margins and resilient demand trends within the broader airline sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst evaluations have reflected both optimism and caution regarding American Airlines Group.Narrative Update • Sep 27
Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
The consensus analyst price target for American Airlines Group has been revised upward to $13.88, as improving demand and fare trends offset cost pressures and drive more optimistic long-term earnings forecasts, though valuation concerns and peer competition remain headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improving demand and fare trends that are helping offset modest cost pressures in the airline sector.
Narrative Update • Sep 22
American Airlines is the ugly duckling in the US airlines industry
American aims to improve yields by doubling down on Premium Economy I wouldn't go so far as to change my general description of American Airlines as one of the most precarious legacy carriers out there, completely at the mercy of its creditors and, thus, benign refinancing conditions. Yet not only does the latter stand to materialise now that the Fed has restarted to cut interest rates; American also aims to double down just on the right lever to improve its business operationally.Narrative Update • Sep 12
Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
Analysts cite a more balanced risk/reward profile and less favorable competitive trends versus peers as reasons for their caution on American Airlines, resulting in only a modest price target increase from $13.43 to $13.58. Analyst Commentary Valuation concerns as the stock has approached its prior $14 price target.Analysis Article • Aug 01
American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
American Airlines Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AAL ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite...Seeking Alpha • Apr 25
American Airlines: Rating Downgrade On Huge Debt
Summary American Airlines posted a Q1 loss due to soft domestic demand and increased regional airline costs, despite stable revenues year-on-year. The company has pulled its full-year guidance, citing significant uncertainty and weak domestic market conditions impacting main cabin bookings. American Airlines faces a huge debt load, expected to reach $35 billion by 2027, leading to a downgrade from strong buy to speculative buy. The stock is undervalued, but carries significant risk due to operational challenges and high debt, with a revised price target of $18.65. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 28
American Airlines: Industry Profits Will Fall Until Consolidation Limits Competition
Summary Although American Airlines has fallen by around 40% from its recent peak, its enterprise value is down only around 11-12%. Like most large airlines, American has seen its operating margins compress in the long run due to excessive supply and demand competition over the past decade. Of the largest four US Airlines, American likely has the highest risk of bankruptcy in a recession event, mitigated by the potential for government intervention or a merger. Recent economic data show that air travel demand has stagnated and may decline, given the sharp decline in consumer economic stability. I would avoid most airline stocks as long-term investments until the industry faces a consolidation wave that limits excessive competition among the 'Big Four.' Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNew Narrative • Mar 20
American Airlines is the ugly duckling in the US airlines industry
There's a single reason why American is the least attractive of US legacy carriers (in terms of investing, anyway): its balance sheet.If most airlines and certainly those in the US are loaded up to thSeeking Alpha • Mar 13
American Airlines' Stock Is Losing Altitude - Here's Why I'm Short
Summary I believe American Airlines’ lowered Q1 guidance signals deeper demand issues, extending beyond leisure into corporate travel, making me skeptical of a quick rebound in 2025. I anticipate that tariffs and government cost-cutting initiatives will hit business travel, a key profit driver for the airline. I find AAL’s price action weak, with the next historical support nearly 25% below current levels. I bought September 2025 $11 puts early on the March 11 session when IV was reasonable. Now, I wouldn’t enter a position at current IV levels considering the 5.5% selloff. I caution that any shift in tariff policies could drive a reversal in price direction, making this a high-risk bet. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
American Airlines: Only The Start
Summary American Airlines Group Inc.'s Q4 results highlight significant improvements in financials despite ongoing headwinds. The expanded AAdvantage loyalty program with Citigroup is set to nearly double pre-tax income over ~5 years. Despite higher debt and new union costs, American Airlines forecasts strong free cash flow and EPS growth in 2025. Investors should consider the current dip to $15 as a solid entry point, with the stock trading at only 5x 2026 EPS targets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Feb 15
New Citi Partnership And Fleet Expansion Will Boost Customer Experience And Demand
New contracts and partnerships improve cost certainty and revenue, boosting margins and profitability.Seeking Alpha • Jan 24
Why Did American Airlines Stock Drop After Q4 Earnings?
Summary American Airlines reported strong Q4 earnings, driven by lower fuel costs, but saw an 8.7% stock drop due to a soft 2025 EPS outlook. Despite the drop, AAL stock has gained 14.4% since hitting my $17.85 price target, and I now see a potential $22.87 target. The company plans to reduce debt by $4 billion by FY2027, focusing less on shareholder returns compared to peers like United and Delta. Given the 36% discount to peers and expected earnings growth, American Airlines is a strong buy, despite higher risks from leverage and capital expenditures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| AAL | US Airlines | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.4% | -0.2% | -1.0% |
| 1Y | 25.9% | 21.6% | 14.7% |
Return vs Industry: AAL exceeded the US Airlines industry which returned 21.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AAL exceeded the US Market which returned 14.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AAL volatility | |
|---|---|
| AAL Average Weekly Movement | 7.6% |
| Airlines Industry Average Movement | 8.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: AAL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: AAL's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1926 | 138,900 | Robert Isom | www.aa.com |
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 1,013 aircraft.
American Airlines Group Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| AAL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$9.58b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$326.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$58.34b |
0.2x
P/S Ratio-29.4x
P/E RatioIs AAL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AAL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$58.34b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$45.95b |
| Gross Profit | US$12.39b |
| Other Expenses | US$12.72b |
| Earnings | -US$326.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.49 |
| Gross Margin | 21.24% |
| Net Profit Margin | -0.56% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -710.8% |
How did AAL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/26 09:33 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
American Airlines Group Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |
| David Fintzen | Barclays |