American Airlines Group Inc.

NasdaqGS:AAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.3b

American Airlines Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

American Airlines Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.1% and 4.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 21.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 50.5% in 3 years.

Key information

23.1%

Earnings growth rate

21.2%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth14.2%
Revenue growth rate4.1%
Future return on equity50.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

American Airlines: Industry Profits Will Fall Until Consolidation Limits Competition

Mar 28
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American Airlines is the ugly duckling in the US airlines industry

Mar 20There's a single reason why American is the least attractive of US legacy carriers (in terms of investing, anyway): its balance sheet.If most airlines and certainly those in the US are loaded up to th

American Airlines' Stock Is Losing Altitude - Here's Why I'm Short

Mar 13

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Share Price

Mar 05
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Share Price

American Airlines: Only The Start

Feb 21
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New Citi Partnership And Fleet Expansion Will Boost Customer Experience And Demand

Feb 15 New contracts and partnerships improve cost certainty and revenue, boosting margins and profitability.

Returns At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Jan 27
Returns At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Why Did American Airlines Stock Drop After Q4 Earnings?

Jan 24

American Airlines: Operating Margins Are Improving, But Now 'Priced For Perfection'

Jan 15

American Airlines Is Poised To Continue Its Ascent

Jan 03

American Airlines: No Bankruptcy Fear, But I Watch The Debt Load

Nov 25

Is It Time To Consider Buying American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?

Nov 25
Is It Time To Consider Buying American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?

What American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Nov 02
What American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Investors Can Find Comfort In American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings Quality

Oct 31
Investors Can Find Comfort In American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings Quality

American Airlines: Earnings Tailwind Expected While Debt Picture Improves

Oct 19

Returns At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Oct 14
Returns At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

American Airlines: Look Past S&P 500 Exit

Sep 13

American Airlines: 2025 Refinancing Risks Grow As Air Travel Demand Peaks

Aug 26

American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Aug 22
American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

American Airlines: Underperformance Continues As Growth Is Sputtering (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 11

American Airlines: Don't Fret Delta's Warning

Jul 13

Slowing Rates Of Return At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Jul 05
Slowing Rates Of Return At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Dark Clouds Envelop American Airlines (Rating Downgrade)

Jul 02

Why Is American Airlines Stock Down 14%? A Failed Strategy In Focus

May 29

American Airlines: Strong Demand And Young Fleet, Upgrading To A Buy

May 22

American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Apr 28
American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

American Airlines Earnings Preview: Decent Q1, But Risky Stock

Apr 17

American Airlines: Insatiable Fear

Apr 04

American Airlines: Betting On Another Bailout

Mar 04

American Airlines: Challenging Environment Could Unfold In 2024

Feb 20

American Airlines: Top Value And Growth Stock Flying High (SA Quant)

Feb 14

Why I'm Upgrading American Airlines To Buy

Jan 29

American Airlines: Speculative Buy Ahead Of Q4

Jan 19

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:AAL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202761,7742,0132,0565,85615
12/31/202658,8131,6421,1665,19619
12/31/202555,7071,1231,3944,36319
12/31/202454,2118461,3003,983N/A
9/30/202453,613275-5522,234N/A
6/30/202453,448-121-8122,015N/A
3/31/202453,169500-2652,650N/A
12/31/202352,7888221,2073,803N/A
9/30/202352,9141,6062,5574,996N/A
6/30/202352,8942,6341,9604,345N/A
3/31/202352,2611,7722,0774,321N/A
12/31/202248,971127-3732,173N/A
9/30/202245,210-1,608-1,0061,131N/A
6/30/202240,717-1,921-1,756-16N/A
3/31/202234,773-2,3785381,715N/A
12/31/202129,882-1,993496704N/A
9/30/202124,483-3,239-1,415-959N/A
6/30/202118,686-5,808-2,798-1,823N/A
3/31/202112,830-7,894-7,529-6,201N/A
12/31/202017,337-8,885-8,674-6,543N/A
9/30/202024,622-6,293-6,029-3,080N/A
6/30/202033,361-3,469-2,826352N/A
3/31/202043,699-740-1,8121,996N/A
12/31/201945,7681,686-5513,815N/A
9/30/201945,3931,596-2073,931N/A
6/30/201945,0411,543-1,3113,026N/A
3/31/201944,7241,438-8873,384N/A
12/31/201844,5411,412-2123,533N/A
9/30/201844,214505N/A3,254N/A
6/30/201843,619794N/A3,700N/A
3/31/201843,2031,101N/A4,294N/A
12/31/201742,6221,282N/A4,744N/A
9/30/201741,8002,154N/A4,934N/A
6/30/201741,4292,230N/A5,629N/A
3/31/201740,5652,316N/A6,154N/A
12/31/201640,1422,584N/A6,524N/A
9/30/201640,0215,668N/A6,125N/A
6/30/201640,1346,624N/A6,241N/A
3/31/201640,5987,378N/A6,375N/A
12/31/201540,9907,610N/A6,249N/A
9/30/201541,5204,926N/A6,825N/A
6/30/201541,9534,175N/A5,284N/A
3/31/201542,4823,334N/A4,318N/A
12/31/201442,6502,882N/A3,080N/A
9/30/201439,827284N/A1,064N/A
6/30/201435,516-369N/A1,442N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAL's forecast earnings growth (23.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: AAL's earnings (23.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AAL's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AAL's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AAL's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AAL's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (50.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/11 17:02
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/11 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

American Airlines Group Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Lindsay BettiolAtlantic Equities LLP
Fred LowranceAvondale Partners