American Airlines Group Inc.

NasdaqGS:AAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.1b

American Airlines Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

American Airlines Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 39.8% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 40.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 92.3% in 3 years.

Key information

39.8%

Earnings growth rate

40.2%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth19.8%
Revenue growth rate4.3%
Future return on equity92.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

American Airlines: No Bankruptcy Fear, But I Watch The Debt Load

Nov 25

Is It Time To Consider Buying American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?

Nov 25
Is It Time To Consider Buying American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?

What American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Nov 02
What American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Investors Can Find Comfort In American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings Quality

Oct 31
Investors Can Find Comfort In American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings Quality

American Airlines: Earnings Tailwind Expected While Debt Picture Improves

Oct 19

Returns At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Oct 14
Returns At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

American Airlines: Look Past S&P 500 Exit

Sep 13

American Airlines: 2025 Refinancing Risks Grow As Air Travel Demand Peaks

Aug 26

American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Aug 22
American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

American Airlines: Underperformance Continues As Growth Is Sputtering (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 11

American Airlines: Don't Fret Delta's Warning

Jul 13

Slowing Rates Of Return At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Jul 05
Slowing Rates Of Return At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Dark Clouds Envelop American Airlines (Rating Downgrade)

Jul 02

Why Is American Airlines Stock Down 14%? A Failed Strategy In Focus

May 29

American Airlines: Strong Demand And Young Fleet, Upgrading To A Buy

May 22

American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Apr 28
American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

American Airlines Earnings Preview: Decent Q1, But Risky Stock

Apr 17

Why American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) Could Be Worth Watching

Apr 09
Why American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) Could Be Worth Watching

American Airlines: Insatiable Fear

Apr 04

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) P/S Ratio

Mar 19
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) P/S Ratio

American Airlines: Betting On Another Bailout

Mar 04

American Airlines: Challenging Environment Could Unfold In 2024

Feb 20

American Airlines: Top Value And Growth Stock Flying High (SA Quant)

Feb 14

Why I'm Upgrading American Airlines To Buy

Jan 29

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL)

Jan 23
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL)

American Airlines: Speculative Buy Ahead Of Q4

Jan 19

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?

Jan 05
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?

American Airlines Q3 Review: Stunner, Now Look Forward

Oct 20

American Airlines: From Hold To Buy On Countercyclical Strength

Oct 14

American Airlines Pilots Attempt To Crush Boeing Jet

Oct 07

American Airlines Vs. Southwest Airlines: The Battle Of Balance Sheets

Sep 23

American Airlines: Robust Demand

Sep 08

American Airlines: Consistent And Undervalued

Jul 26

Is American Airlines Stock A Buy Before Upcoming Earnings? Buy June's Bottom

Jul 19

American Airlines: Unnecessary Hit

Jul 12

American Airlines offers pilots almost 17% in pay hikes-CNBC report

Jul 01

In The Partnership With JetBlue, Investors Should Choose American Airlines

Jun 06

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:AAL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202659,3742,0051,5545,84617
12/31/202556,3451,5611,2605,22420
12/31/202453,8376008093,20820
9/30/202453,613275-5522,234N/A
6/30/202453,448-121-8122,015N/A
3/31/202453,169500-2652,650N/A
12/31/202352,7888221,2073,803N/A
9/30/202352,9141,6062,5574,996N/A
6/30/202352,8942,6341,9604,345N/A
3/31/202352,2611,7722,0774,321N/A
12/31/202248,971127-3732,173N/A
9/30/202245,210-1,608-1,0061,131N/A
6/30/202240,717-1,921-1,756-16N/A
3/31/202234,773-2,3785381,715N/A
12/31/202129,882-1,993496704N/A
9/30/202124,483-3,239-1,415-959N/A
6/30/202118,686-5,808-2,798-1,823N/A
3/31/202112,830-7,894-7,529-6,201N/A
12/31/202017,337-8,885-8,674-6,543N/A
9/30/202024,622-6,293-6,029-3,080N/A
6/30/202033,361-3,469-2,826352N/A
3/31/202043,699-740-1,8121,996N/A
12/31/201945,7681,686-5513,815N/A
9/30/201945,3931,596-2073,931N/A
6/30/201945,0411,543-1,3113,026N/A
3/31/201944,7241,438-8873,384N/A
12/31/201844,5411,412-2123,533N/A
9/30/201844,214505-8903,254N/A
6/30/201843,619794N/A3,700N/A
3/31/201843,2031,101N/A4,294N/A
12/31/201742,6221,282N/A4,744N/A
9/30/201741,8002,154N/A4,934N/A
6/30/201741,4292,230N/A5,629N/A
3/31/201740,5652,316N/A6,154N/A
12/31/201640,1422,584N/A6,524N/A
9/30/201640,0215,668N/A6,125N/A
6/30/201640,1346,624N/A6,241N/A
3/31/201640,5987,378N/A6,375N/A
12/31/201540,9907,610N/A6,249N/A
9/30/201541,5204,926N/A6,825N/A
6/30/201541,9534,175N/A5,284N/A
3/31/201542,4823,334N/A4,318N/A
12/31/201442,6502,882N/A3,080N/A
9/30/201439,827284N/A1,064N/A
6/30/201435,516-369N/A1,442N/A
3/31/201430,609-1,013N/A1,231N/A
12/31/201326,712-1,834N/A675N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAL's forecast earnings growth (39.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: AAL's earnings (39.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AAL's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AAL's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AAL's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AAL's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (92.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

American Airlines Group Inc. is covered by 50 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Lindsay BettiolAtlantic Equities LLP
Fred LowranceAvondale Partners