Upstart Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UPST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.6b

Upstart Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Upstart Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 93.2% and 23.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 88.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 28.9% in 3 years.

Key information

93.2%

Earnings growth rate

88.54%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Finance earnings growth26.2%
Revenue growth rate23.6%
Future return on equity28.85%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated22 Aug 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Upstart: GAAP Inflection Point

Aug 18

Investors Appear Satisfied With Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Prospects As Shares Rocket 41%

Jul 08
Investors Appear Satisfied With Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Prospects As Shares Rocket 41%

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 44% Share Price Bounce

May 04
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 44% Share Price Bounce

Upstart: Revisiting The Bull Case Amid Macroeconomic Uncertainties

Apr 30

Upstart: One Meme Stock Worth Buying Amidst The Chaos (Rating Upgrade)

Mar 28
User avatar

Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding

Improvements in underwriting, automation, and personalization enhance loan approval rates, lower costs, and reduce default risks, positively impacting revenue and net margins.

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Shares Slammed 31% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

Mar 11
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Shares Slammed 31% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

Upstart: You Have Seen Nothing Yet

Feb 25

Upstart: Strong Buy Rating Ahead Of Projected $1 Billion Revenue In 2025

Feb 19

Analyst Forecasts For Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Are Surging Higher

Feb 14
Analyst Forecasts For Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Are Surging Higher

Upstart Holdings' Surge Offers A Prime Opportunity To Cash Out (Downgrade)

Feb 12

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Stock Retreats 26% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Jan 11
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Stock Retreats 26% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Upstart: Fade The Meme Rally

Jan 05

Upstart: Poised For Another Breakout

Dec 05

Rainbows and Unicorns: Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic

Nov 12
Rainbows and Unicorns: Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic

Upstart: This Is The Perfect Time To Sell (Rating Downgrade)

Nov 10

Upstart: Sell Strength (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 26

Upstart Holdings, Inc. - Start Of Profit Taking And A Pullback

Oct 17

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Oct 11
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Things Are Looking Up For Upstart As We Enter An Easing Cycle

Sep 24

Why I Sold Upstart (Ratings Downgrade)

Sep 12

Upstart Can Move Higher On Short Interest, Efficiency Gains

Aug 22

Upstart Q2 Earnings: A Lofty Price Of 50x EBITDA For This Fintech

Aug 07

Navigating Uncertainty: Understanding The Risks And Rewards Of Investing In Upstart Holdings

Jul 25

Upstart: Turning A Corner With Growth And Profitability To Return

Jul 12

Upstart: Buy Weakness (Rating Upgrade)

Jun 12

Upstart: A Great Anti-Cyclical AI Lending Bet

May 24

Upstart: The Bonds With The 13% YTM Remain The Best Play

May 08

Upstart: A Coiled Spring Waiting For Lower Interest Rates (Rating Upgrade)

Apr 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:UPST - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,6082171611738
12/31/20261,341133-50-4214
12/31/20251,05735-109-10713
6/30/2025885-6-82-65N/A
3/31/2025759-66114129N/A
12/31/2024677-129176186N/A
9/30/2024605-168143152N/A
6/30/2024576-202-144-135N/A
3/31/2024577-17508N/A
12/31/2023548-240-124-112N/A
9/30/2023546-253-234-219N/A
6/30/2023562-269-231-213N/A
3/31/2023652-271-507-484N/A
12/31/2022853-109-681-658N/A
9/30/20221,0076-457-433N/A
6/30/20221,07691-311-288N/A
3/31/20221,041158-161-142N/A
12/31/2021852135153168N/A
9/30/202163476237248N/A
6/30/202147249215222N/A
3/31/20212979140145N/A
12/31/2020241N/A1016N/A
9/30/20202216-51-42N/A
12/31/201919102632N/A
12/31/2018126-12N/A50N/A
12/31/201767-8N/A10N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPST is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.1%).

Earnings vs Market: UPST is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: UPST is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UPST's revenue (23.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UPST's revenue (23.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UPST's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28.9%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/27 20:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/26 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Upstart Holdings, Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ramsey El-AssalBarclays
Mihir BhatiaBofA Global Research
Harold GoetschB. Riley Securities, Inc.