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The Cheesecake Factory IncorporatedNasdaqGS:CAKE Stock Report

Market Cap US$3.1b
Share Price
US$61.54
My Fair Value
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
US$66
7.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y72.2%
7D-1.3%
Portfolio Value
​
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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

NasdaqGS:CAKE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.1b

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Overview

Operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. More details

CAKE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends4/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (19.3x) is below the Hospitality industry average (22.2x)

Earnings are forecast to grow 14.84% per year

Earnings grew by 36.8% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Unstable dividend track record

Has a high level of debt


CAKE Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 50 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

CAKE logo
Cheesecake Factory
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts

Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal

Key Takeaways Elevated in-restaurant experiences, menu innovation, and digital engagement are driving strong demand, frequent visits, and improved customer spending across core demographics. Expansion of premium dining concepts and operational efficiencies diversifies revenues, boosts margins, and supports sustained profit growth.
View narrative
US$66.18
FV
7.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
5.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
23users have followed this narrative
Updated narrative
CAKE logo
Cheesecake Factory
AN
AnalystHighTarget
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts

Urban Expansion And Millennial Dining Will Spur Positive Change

Key Takeaways Experiential dining demand, superior off-premise consistency, and digital loyalty initiatives position Cheesecake Factory for durable, above-forecast revenue and guest traffic growth. Operational discipline, staff stability, and scaling high-margin concepts could drive larger-than-expected margin expansion and sustained earnings improvement.
View narrative
US$75.00
FV
17.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
6.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
1users have followed this narrative
17 days ago author updated this narrative
CAKE logo
Cheesecake Factory
ZW
Zwfis
Zwfis
Community Contributor

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.
View narrative
US$73.83
FV
16.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
14.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
1users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
1users have followed this narrative
8 days ago author updated this narrative
CAKE logo
Cheesecake Factory
AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts

Rising Labor Costs And Competition Will Weaken Long Term Outlook

Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences, labor cost pressures, and declining mall traffic threaten both sales growth and operating margins. Supply chain disruptions and intense industry competition are expected to further compress margins and erode market share.
View narrative
US$45.08
FV
36.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
6.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
17 days ago author updated this narrative
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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Cheesecake Factory
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$61.54
52 Week HighUS$69.70
52 Week LowUS$35.12
Beta1.16
1 Month Change-4.05%
3 Month Change22.76%
1 Year Change72.19%
3 Year Change82.77%
5 Year Change126.42%
Change since IPO1,614.94%

Recent News & Updates

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

Aug 04
Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Aug 01
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Recent updates

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

Aug 04
Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Aug 01
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

The Cheesecake Factory: Outperforming The Battered Restaurant Sector (Upgrade)

Jul 30

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Jul 02
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio

Jun 18
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio

Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?

May 25
Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

May 12
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?

Apr 15
Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?

The Cheesecake Factory: Downgrade To Sell As The Macro Environment Is Too Challenging

Mar 28

Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)

Mar 21
Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)

Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Mar 09
Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27

Feb 25
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory: A Winning Restaurant Stock

Feb 20

Returns At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Feb 10
Returns At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Appear To Be Weighed Down

The Cheesecake Factory: Maintaining My Buy Rating

Feb 03

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Passed With Ease

Jan 29
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Passed With Ease

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jan 17
Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

The Cheesecake Factory: Earnings Growth Is Underappreciated

Jan 15

The Cheesecake Factory: A Recipe For Growth, But Too High A Price

Jan 07

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

Dec 12
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Shares Could Be 29% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Nov 24
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Shares Could Be 29% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.27

Nov 02
Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.27

Slowing Rates Of Return At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Oct 31
Slowing Rates Of Return At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Leave Little Room For Excitement

The Cheesecake Factory: Producing Strong Returns

Oct 30

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Passed With Ease

Oct 15
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Passed With Ease

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

Oct 01
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

The Cheesecake Factory: The Different Ways To Create Value

Sep 28
author-image

Calculated Expansions And Innovative Loyalty Programs Propel The Company To New Heights

Expansion and new openings of diverse brands are set to bolster revenue growth through enhanced market penetration and customer base expansion.

These 4 Measures Indicate That Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Sep 03
These 4 Measures Indicate That Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

Aug 21
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 03
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Are The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Jul 17
Are The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

The Cheesecake Factory: A Mixed Q2 Industry Outlook

Jul 17

The Cheesecake Factory: Strategy Won't Be A Piece Of Cake, Outlook Not So Sweet

Jul 03

Investors Interested In The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Jun 26
Investors Interested In The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Does Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Jun 11
Does Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Is It Time To Consider Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

May 11
Is It Time To Consider Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

The Returns On Capital At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Don't Inspire Confidence

Apr 24
The Returns On Capital At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Don't Inspire Confidence

The Cheesecake Factory Has Potential As A Value Play Based On Fundamentals

Apr 23

Shareholder Returns

CAKEUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-1.3%-1.7%2.3%
1Y72.2%28.7%20.2%

Return vs Industry: CAKE exceeded the US Hospitality industry which returned 31.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CAKE exceeded the US Market which returned 19.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CAKE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CAKE volatility
CAKE Average Weekly Movement4.8%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement6.2%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: CAKE has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CAKE's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
197247,900David Overtonwww.thecheesecakefactory.com

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Fundamentals Summary

How do Cheesecake Factory's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CAKE fundamental statistics
Market capUS$3.08b
Earnings (TTM)US$158.90m
Revenue (TTM)US$3.67b
19.3x
P/E Ratio
0.8x
P/S Ratio

Is CAKE overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CAKE income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$3.67b
Cost of RevenueUS$2.20b
Gross ProfitUS$1.47b
Other ExpensesUS$1.31b
EarningsUS$158.90m

Last Reported Earnings

Jul 01, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)3.19
Gross Margin39.94%
Net Profit Margin4.33%
Debt/Equity Ratio156.7%

How did CAKE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.8%
Current Dividend Yield
32%
Payout Ratio

Does CAKE pay a reliable dividends?

See CAKE dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy CAKE by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Cheesecake Factory dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateAug 12 2025
Dividend Pay DateAug 26 2025
Days until Ex dividend2 days
Days until Dividend pay date16 days

Does CAKE pay a reliable dividends?

See CAKE dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/08 18:59
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/08 00:00
Earnings2025/07/01
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is covered by 52 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays