Stock Analysis

The Returns On Capital At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Don't Inspire Confidence

NasdaqGS:CAKE
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cheesecake Factory:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.069 = US$150m ÷ (US$2.8b - US$661m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2024).

So, Cheesecake Factory has an ROCE of 6.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.6%.

Check out our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory

roce
NasdaqGS:CAKE Return on Capital Employed April 24th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cheesecake Factory compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Cheesecake Factory .

So How Is Cheesecake Factory's ROCE Trending?

In terms of Cheesecake Factory's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 15%, but since then they've fallen to 6.9%. However it looks like Cheesecake Factory might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

What We Can Learn From Cheesecake Factory's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Cheesecake Factory is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 20% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

One more thing to note, we've identified 3 warning signs with Cheesecake Factory and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cheesecake Factory is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.