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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

NasdaqGS:CAKE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.2b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Cheesecake Factory Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 3/6

Cheesecake Factory has a total shareholder equity of $519.0M and total debt of $562.9M, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 108.5%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $3.3B and $2.8B respectively. Cheesecake Factory's EBIT is $242.4M making its interest coverage ratio 26.1. It has cash and short-term investments of $195.2M.

Key information

108.47%

Debt to equity ratio

US$562.90m

Debt

Interest coverage ratio26.1x
CashUS$195.17m
EquityUS$518.96m
Total liabilitiesUS$2.78b
Total assetsUS$3.29b

Recent financial health updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Cheesecake Factory: Excellent Comps, Downgrading On Valuation

Summary Cheesecake Factory has outperformed the restaurant sector, with shares more than doubling this year on accelerating comp sales and robust Q2 results. CAKE's valuation has rerated sharply, now trading at 22.7x FY26 P/E and 20.5x FY27 P/E, erasing its previous value appeal. While CAKE's industry-beating comps and expansion potential remain, rising capex, a promotional environment, and macro headwinds temper the outlook. I downgrade CAKE to neutral, recommending investors trim positions and await a more attractive entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Narrative Update • Aug 19

CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Sustainability Of Same-Store Sales Momentum

Cheesecake Factory's analyst fair value estimate has moved higher from $52.24 to $71.16 as analysts respond to recent revenue and margin trends, higher future P/E assumptions, and a series of upward Street price target revisions following stronger same-store sales performance and guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory shows a wide range of opinions, even as many targets move higher.
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Narrative Update • Aug 05

CAKE: Strong Digital Tailwinds Will Likely Limit Forward Return Potential

Cheesecake Factory's analyst fair value estimate has increased from $70.53 to $90.80 as analysts respond to stronger same store sales trends, updated sales and margin guidance, and a series of higher Street price targets across both Buy and Neutral ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to stronger execution on sales and margins, but also to a share price that now reflects much of this progress.
Analysis Article • Jul 31

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

As you might know, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) just kicked off its latest second-quarter...
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Narrative Update • Jul 22

CAKE: Loyalty And App Momentum Will Likely Cap Forward Return Potential

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory from about $67.47 to roughly $70.53. This reflects a series of higher Street price targets in the $75 to $90 range as they factor in updated earnings estimates, rewards program traction and casual dining peer multiple moves.
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Narrative Update • Jul 08

CAKE: Peer Multiple Expansion Will Likely Limit Forward Return Potential

The analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been revised from $64.44 to $67.47, with analysts citing broader casual dining peer multiple expansion and steady execution as the key drivers of their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory points to a cluster of price target revisions and rating changes that center on how the stock is valued against casual dining peers and how consistently the company is executing in a tougher macro backdrop.
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Narrative Update • Jun 23

CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026

The updated analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory moves slightly lower by about $0.20 to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate, even as analysts cite steady execution, relatively low employee turnover, and restrained casual dining supply growth as key supports for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory reflects a mix of cautious and more constructive views, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...
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Narrative Update • Jun 03

CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory slightly higher, from $51.81 to $52.46. The change reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of price target increases and one reduction across recent research reports.
Analysis Article • May 11

We Like The Quality Of Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Despite posting healthy earnings, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) stock has been quite weak...
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Narrative Update • May 10

CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.
Analysis Article • May 07

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
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Narrative Update • Apr 23

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Delivery Will Constrain Forward Returns

Analysts have lifted Cheesecake Factory's average price target by several dollars to a range of roughly $58 to $75, as they refresh models after mixed Q4 results and an updated 2026 outlook. They still see a fair value of $50 based on current assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E.
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Narrative Update • Apr 07

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution

The analyst fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory has increased from $60.61 to $64.44. This change reflects a series of higher price targets on the stock as analysts update their models following mixed Q4 results and an intact 2026 outlook.
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Narrative Update • Mar 24

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Execution Will Limit Forward Upside

Analyst price targets for Cheesecake Factory have moved higher into the $58 to $75 range, as analysts update models following mixed Q4 results while largely maintaining 2026 outlook assumptions and pointing to what they see as balanced risk/reward at current P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide spread in views on Cheesecake Factory, even as headline price targets move higher.
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Narrative Update • Mar 09

CAKE: Elevated P/E Premium And Sector Headwinds Will Constrain Forward Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their aggregate price targets on Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into the $58 to $75 range, citing refreshed models after mixed Q4 results, an intact 2026 outlook, and what some see as conservative long term assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Cheesecake Factory, with several firms lifting price targets after updating models for the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
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Narrative Update • Feb 23

CAKE: Elevated P E And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Limit Upside

Narrative Update: Cheesecake Factory Analysts have raised their average price targets for Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into a broad $58 to $75 range, citing updated post-Q4 models, a largely intact 2026 outlook, and a higher assumed P/E multiple, even as views on risk and reward remain mixed across firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are broadly lifting their price targets for Cheesecake Factory into a higher band, but their views on the stock are far from unanimous.
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Narrative Update • Feb 08

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Balance Margin Pressure And Sector Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Cheesecake Factory higher, reflecting slightly richer P/E assumptions and a modest lift in fair value to about $60.61, even as they acknowledge mixed sector views and ongoing earnings constraints in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets on higher valuation multiples while others stay cautious on the operating backdrop for casual dining.
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Narrative Update • Jan 25

CAKE: Softer Sales Trends And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Pressure Returns

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory to $50, a $1 adjustment that reflects slightly updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate future P/E multiple in light of recent mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cheesecake Factory has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and, in at least one case, downgrading the stock.
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Narrative Update • Jan 11

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales And Sector Pressure Will Constrain Near Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory higher to $49.00 from $48.00. This reflects updated price targets that balance recent cuts and raises across the Street and factor in modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
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Narrative Update • Dec 26

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales Trends Will Shape Near Term Outlook

Cheesecake Factory's analyst-derived fair value has been trimmed from about $50.41 to $48.00, as analysts factor in softer same-store sales trends, modest demand slowdowns into next year, and a slightly weaker growth and margin outlook, despite the brand's still solid positioning in a choppier macro environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to recalibrate their expectations for Cheesecake Factory, cutting price targets across the board as they reassess near term growth and margin assumptions.
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Narrative Update • Dec 12

CAKE: Margin Discipline Will Support Earnings Stability Amid Choppy Demand

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Cheesecake Factory modestly lower, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share to reflect softer same store sales trends, choppier demand into Q3, and a slightly more cautious view on the restaurant sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more nuanced stance on Cheesecake Factory, with both optimistic and cautious voices acknowledging a tougher near term operating backdrop while debating the durability of demand and margin resilience.
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Narrative Update • Nov 28

CAKE: Margin Resilience Will Support Recovery Despite Sales Headwinds Ahead

Cheesecake Factory's average analyst price target has declined slightly. Recent reductions have been attributed to softer sales trends and persistent industry demand headwinds.
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Narrative Update • Nov 14

CAKE: Sustained Margin Improvement Is Expected To Support Long-Term Upside

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been lowered by approximately $0.56. Analysts cite recent weaker same-store sales trends and persistent demand headwinds as key drivers of the adjustment.
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Narrative Update • Oct 30

CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has decreased by just over $5 to around $60. Analysts cite softer sales trends and persistent macroeconomic challenges impacting growth expectations.
Analysis Article • Oct 30

Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...
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Narrative Update • Oct 16

Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been reduced from approximately $73 to $68 as analysts cite a challenging industry backdrop and updated company outlooks, particularly with an anticipated mixed and volatile earnings season ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major firms reflects both optimism and caution regarding Cheesecake Factory's performance in the upcoming quarter.
Analysis Article • Sep 24

Weekly Picks: ⛏️ The Gold Play With Permits, A Plan And Real Momentum And 2 More Picks

This week’s picks cover: Why most people don’t understand The Cheesecake Factory’s potential, how fully permitted gold miner, 1911 Gold, could offer 50x return, why rate cuts benefit dividend plays like Coca Cola immensely.
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New Narrative • Aug 02

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: CAKE's short term assets ($418.8M) do not cover its short term liabilities ($713.6M).

Long Term Liabilities: CAKE's short term assets ($418.8M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($2.1B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: CAKE's net debt to equity ratio (70.9%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: CAKE's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 163.2% to 108.5% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: CAKE's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (63%).

Interest Coverage: CAKE's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (26.1x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/15 21:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/15 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is covered by 39 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays

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