Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Might Be Difficult

NasdaqGS:CAKE
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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been pleasing for Cheesecake Factory as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CAKE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Cheesecake Factory.

Is There Enough Growth For Cheesecake Factory?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Cheesecake Factory's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 79%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 29% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Cheesecake Factory's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Cheesecake Factory's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Cheesecake Factory maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Cheesecake Factory has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cheesecake Factory is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.