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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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FreightCar America
WO
woodworthfund
Community Contributor
ALL ABOARD THE VALUE TRAIN: WHY $RAIL MIGHT BE HEADED NORTH - FREIGHTCAR AMERICA - Long term price target of $25
Long term price target of $25 Originally published on 3/31/25 in The Millegan Memo https://www.woodworth.fund/news/the-millegan-memo-march-2025 ALL ABOARD THE VALUE TRAIN: WHY $RAIL MIGHT BE HEADED NORTH - FREIGHTCAR AMERICA Freightcar America continues to deliver on operational results. Freightcar America, which despite the name has no actual manufacturing operations in the US, reported its four quarter and full year 2024 earnings results earlier this March.
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US$25.00
FV
60.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-3.87%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
PayPal Holdings
SU
SuEric
Community Contributor
Buybacks, Cash Flow, and Growth Potential Amidst Rate Cuts
PayPal exhibits a robust financial position with a substantial cash reserve and consistent profitability. The company's strong balance sheet enables investments in growth initiatives, irrespective of the prevailing economic conditions.
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US$189.96
FV
64.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.13%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
31
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Ceylon Cold Stores
KA
kalindu
Community Contributor
❌ Overvalued Stock Alert!
Intrinsic Value per Share (DCF-based): Rs. 40.00 Current Market Price (CMP): Rs. 80.00 ⚠️ Overvaluation: CMP is 100% above intrinsic value! Key Concerns and Valuation Risks Overpriced Relative to Intrinsic Value Even under an optimistic growth scenario (10% FCF growth), the stock’s intrinsic value only reaches Rs. 57.
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LK₨40.00
FV
177.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
Thermo Fisher Scientific
UN
Unike
Community Contributor
The demand for personalized medicine will keep Thermo Fisher Scientific thriving
Catalysts Most Immediate Catalysts (1–2 Years) Resilient Demand for Life Sciences & Diagnostics – TMO is a key supplier for biotech, pharma, and research institutions, ensuring steady demand despite economic cycles. Cost Synergies from PPD Acquisition – The 2021 acquisition of PPD (clinical research services) is expected to enhance revenue synergies and margin expansion.
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US$540.27
FV
14.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Molina Healthcare
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
MOH: Expanding Government Contracts in Medicare Makes for Moderate Growth But with Certain Risks such as Medicaid rediterminations
Catalysts Membership Growth : MOH has seen a 9% increase in members year over year, reaching approximately 5.7 million members as of March 31, 2024. This growth is driven by new contract wins, acquisitions, and expansion.
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US$411.65
FV
62.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Super Micro Computer
DA
DavidWSC
Community Contributor
SMCI is poised to regain momentum and capture a huge portion of the customized data center solutions space.
Management guidance (FY2025 Q2) -- $23 - $25bn revenue guidance for 2025, and positive about reaching $40bn in revenue for 2026, this is due to the DLC technology (Direct Liquid Cooling) that is expected to be adopted by an estimate of 30% of the new data center space. New Auditor & Special Committee -- After almost a 85% decline in share price after Hidenburg's (short seller) accounting manipulation report on the company, SMCI' has already increased their stock price in more than 200% expecting to release all of their adjusted and revised filings for FY2024 (10-K) and the first two quarters of 2025 (10-Q).
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US$74.53
FV
24.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
50.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
28
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
69
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Fluence Energy
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
FLNC Market Outlook
Fluence Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLNC) is a global leader in energy storage solutions, operating within a rapidly expanding sector driven by the global shift towards renewable energy.
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US$17.75
FV
56.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Walmart
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
Walmart’s Margin Expansion and Emerging Market Growth Can Deliver Strong Returns
Key Takeaways Walmart is an industry leader deeply entrenched in the lives of millions of customers. Using modern solutions like AI, Walmart can magnify these economies of scale advantages.
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US$74.67
FV
31.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
PayPal Holdings
YI
yiannisz
Community Contributor
Why PayPal’s Growth Story Isn’t Over
As PayPal (PYPL) solidifies its position in the digital payments landscape, it presents a promising opportunity driven by transaction growth, profitability, and an attractive valuation. This analysis delves into how each of these areas contributes to PayPal’s robust potential as an investment.
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US$90.00
FV
25.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
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