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Hochschild Mining – Overview Location : South America Production (2025) : Gold: 250,000 oz Silver: 8 million oz (excluding Pallancata C&M) AISC (Break-even) : Gold: ~$1,850/oz Silver: ~$24/oz Cash Flow Margin at $4,000 gold / $100 silver : Strong Debt : $350M $100M due in 2024 $89M cash on hand $200M additional credit available New & Future Projects Mara Rosa (Brazil) : 80,000 oz/year (low cost) Started in 2024 Royropata (Peru) : 100,000 oz AUEQ (3M oz silver/year) Starts in 2028 Monte Do Carmo (Brazil) : 90,000 oz gold Permitting stage – expected 2028 Volcan (Chile) : 9 million oz gold (.7 gpt) Potential 330K oz/year AISC: ~$1,000 Capex: $900M Production could begin 2028–2030 Not included in cash flow estimate (optional upside or sale) Ownership 50% owned by one family Dividends are a priority Unlikely to sell – growth focus Valuation at $4,000 Gold / $100 Silver Assume production from 2028 with 400K oz gold & 10M oz silver: Gold FCF : 400,000 oz × ($4,000 – $1,850) = $860M Silver FCF : 10,000,000 oz × ($100 – $24) = $760M Total Annual FCF ≈ $1.62B Valuation at 10x FCF = $16.2B Conclusion If Hochschild Mining executes on new projects and gold reaches $4,000/oz, silver hits $100/oz, the company could be worth over $16 billion. However, high debt, permitting risks, and political red flags (Argentina, Peru, Chile) may keep valuation multiples conservative.Read more

Montage Gold – Overview (Côte d’Ivoire) Project : Kone + Gbongogo Land Package : 500,000 acres Resource : 5 million oz (4M oz reserves) Production Plan : Starts at 300,000 oz/year Capex : $900M (fully funded via $700M streaming deal + $125M debt) AISC : ~$1,000/oz First Pour : Q2 2027 Stream Deal : 23% of production at low fixed prices – hurts profitability 2023 Drill Highlights (Gbongogo) 113.25m @ 2.30 g/t 48.00m @ 1.72 g/t 45.75m @ 1.90 g/t 20.50m @ 10.95 g/t 17.00m @ 8.56 g/t Valuation at $4,000 Gold Let’s estimate using 300,000 oz/year: Streamed Production (23%) : 69,000 oz (minimal profit) Unstreamed Production (77%) : 231,000 oz FCF per oz : $4,000 - $1,000 = $3,000 Total FCF : 231,000 × $3,000 = $693M/year Valuation (10x FCF) : $6.93 billion Stock Price Potential If FCF is $693M and we apply a 10x multiple , the valuation = $6.93B If they have ~200M shares (estimate): Stock Price = $6.93B ÷ 200M = $34.65 per share Conclusion At $4,000 gold , Montage Gold could be worth $30–35/share , even with the streaming deal. Strong team, solid project, and multi-mine potential.Read more

West Vault Mining Summary (2025) Projects : Hasbrouck and Three Hills (Nevada) Ownership : Acquired from Allied Nevada in 2014 PFS (2023) : Production: 70,000 oz/year for 8 years Capex: $66M After-tax IRR: 80% at $2200 gold Development Plan : Phase 1: Three Hills (shovel-ready, 12-month build) Phase 2: Hasbrouck (18-month build) Combined Reserves: ~725,000 oz (175K TH, 550K Hasbrouck) Strong exploration potential with high-grade intercepts Status : Development on hold, waiting for higher gold prices Burning ~$1M/year (conservative spend) Cash: ~$2.5M Announced share buyback: up to 3% Additional Assets : 60% interest in 11 Nevada properties (300K acres, from Newmont/Rubicon) 25K acres in Quebec (between two 4Moz deposits) Market Cap : ~$43M (fully diluted) — very low for a near-term 70K oz producer Risk/Reward : Upside: 10x potential at $4000 gold if mine built and extended Risk: May sell project instead of building Insiders/Ownership : Sun Valley Gold: 46% Ruffer: 17% Eric Sprott: 5% Konwave AG: 3% Management/Insiders: 1.5% Total Insider Ownership: ~70% CEO Quote (2/18/2025) : “We see building Hasbrouck as a viable way to unlock value, but we’re cautious of being a single-project company. Our market cap must be significantly above initial capex before we build — to allow room if things go wrong.” Key Assumptions Annual Production : 70,000 oz Mine Life : 8 years (likely to extend with exploration) Gold Price : $4,000/oz AISC (All-in Sustaining Cost) : Assume $1,200/oz (to be conservative) Free Cash Flow (FCF) per ounce = $4,000 - $1,200 = $2,800 Annual FCF = 70,000 oz × $2,800 = $196,000,000 Valuation Multiple : 10x–15x FCF (common for miners with solid assets) Market Cap Range : Conservative (10x) : $1.96B Optimistic (15x) : $2.94B Shares Outstanding (FD) : ~70 million (estimate) At $4,000 gold , West Vault Mining could be worth: $28.00/share (10x FCF) $42.00/share (15x FCF) Current stock price is under $1 , so this is a potential 30-40x return if the mine is built and production is realized.Read more

This stock I have held on to throughout its mainly downward journey in stock price. It’s management appear to have made bold & generally bad decisions.Read more

Long term price target of $34 Originally published on 3/31/25 in The Millegan Memo https://www.woodworth.fund/news/the-millegan-memo-march-2025 KOHL’S HARD CASH: DIGGING UP VALUE IN $KSS Kohl’s continues to drop despite a relatively rosy reported earnings and balance sheet. In what appears to be an overreaction to broader uncertainties in the US economy, consumer sentiment, and possibly disappointing performance of certain internal segments, Kohl’s has declined over 30% since it reported earnings earlier this month.Read more

Long term price target of $25 Originally published on 3/31/25 in The Millegan Memo https://www.woodworth.fund/news/the-millegan-memo-march-2025 ALL ABOARD THE VALUE TRAIN: WHY $RAIL MIGHT BE HEADED NORTH - FREIGHTCAR AMERICA Freightcar America continues to deliver on operational results. Freightcar America, which despite the name has no actual manufacturing operations in the US, reported its four quarter and full year 2024 earnings results earlier this March.Read more

Catalysts Industry Tailwinds: Continued global demand for wastewater treatment driven by urbanisation, water scarcity, and stricter environmental regulations. A rising focus on circular economies that value resource recovery from organic waste.Read more

UBS; GLOBAL RESEARCH; 18 DEC 2024 Summary We're launching coverage of Palantir shares with a Neutral rating, an $80 price target, 2025/2026 estimates that are well above the Street consensus (+200bps on revs growth) and a very positive view of the fundamentals. We root our views in conversations with 17 large Palantir customers and other checks and offer their unvarnished feedback in this report, which focuses more than we normally would on the core "what exactly does Palantir do?" question, in addition to unpacking the uplift from its Al-Data exposure.Read more

How does Base make money? Base offers software implementation and generation services, they are specialized in SAP.Read more