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<<< To see my other narratives, please scroll up and klick on Tokyo (next to my profile picture) >>> Update from 10.03.2025 Now proftiability is no longer ahead, Todd McKinnon reached profitability! In SWS Overview it is staded: "Became profitable this year" Under 2.1 now you can see the break even to $28M.Read more

This stock I have held on to throughout its mainly downward journey in stock price. It’s management appear to have made bold & generally bad decisions.Read more

First Mining Gold Corp. (TSX:FF) has several advantages over other companies in the gold mining and exploration sector, particularly due to its focus on large-scale, advanced-stage projects in Canada and its strategic business model.Read more

Current Business (Present Narrative): Oracle is a leading provider of enterprise IT solutions, focusing on databases, cloud computing, and enterprise software. Its primary revenue streams include: Cloud Services (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure - OCI): Competing directly with AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud, OCI is growing rapidly, driven by its ability to handle enterprise workloads effectively.Read more

Update as of 10 April: Both commercially and, according to several industry rankings and customer surveys, in terms of its product, Cathay Pacific is up there with the top carriers in international air travel. Only Singapore Airlines, the region's other leading carrier, matches Cathay's remarkable margins and earnings strength.Read more

Update as of 9 April: Just like any other basic resources stock, SSAB got hammered ever since the advent of Trump's reciprocal tariffs and their ongoing escalation down to recession fears; thus, as always with markets tumbling on a broad basis, it's no use to catch a falling knife. Once the current, all-out sell-off is over, however, I stick to SSAB's relatively positive prospects due to the catalysts as given below, since nothing has changed with the EU's investment agenda.Read more

Hochschild Mining – Overview Location : South America Production (2025) : Gold: 250,000 oz Silver: 8 million oz (excluding Pallancata C&M) AISC (Break-even) : Gold: ~$1,850/oz Silver: ~$24/oz Cash Flow Margin at $4,000 gold / $100 silver : Strong Debt : $350M $100M due in 2024 $89M cash on hand $200M additional credit available New & Future Projects Mara Rosa (Brazil) : 80,000 oz/year (low cost) Started in 2024 Royropata (Peru) : 100,000 oz AUEQ (3M oz silver/year) Starts in 2028 Monte Do Carmo (Brazil) : 90,000 oz gold Permitting stage – expected 2028 Volcan (Chile) : 9 million oz gold (.7 gpt) Potential 330K oz/year AISC: ~$1,000 Capex: $900M Production could begin 2028–2030 Not included in cash flow estimate (optional upside or sale) Ownership 50% owned by one family Dividends are a priority Unlikely to sell – growth focus Valuation at $4,000 Gold / $100 Silver Assume production from 2028 with 400K oz gold & 10M oz silver: Gold FCF : 400,000 oz × ($4,000 – $1,850) = $860M Silver FCF : 10,000,000 oz × ($100 – $24) = $760M Total Annual FCF ≈ $1.62B Valuation at 10x FCF = $16.2B Conclusion If Hochschild Mining executes on new projects and gold reaches $4,000/oz, silver hits $100/oz, the company could be worth over $16 billion. However, high debt, permitting risks, and political red flags (Argentina, Peru, Chile) may keep valuation multiples conservative.Read more

Montage Gold – Overview (Côte d’Ivoire) Project : Kone + Gbongogo Land Package : 500,000 acres Resource : 5 million oz (4M oz reserves) Production Plan : Starts at 300,000 oz/year Capex : $900M (fully funded via $700M streaming deal + $125M debt) AISC : ~$1,000/oz First Pour : Q2 2027 Stream Deal : 23% of production at low fixed prices – hurts profitability 2023 Drill Highlights (Gbongogo) 113.25m @ 2.30 g/t 48.00m @ 1.72 g/t 45.75m @ 1.90 g/t 20.50m @ 10.95 g/t 17.00m @ 8.56 g/t Valuation at $4,000 Gold Let’s estimate using 300,000 oz/year: Streamed Production (23%) : 69,000 oz (minimal profit) Unstreamed Production (77%) : 231,000 oz FCF per oz : $4,000 - $1,000 = $3,000 Total FCF : 231,000 × $3,000 = $693M/year Valuation (10x FCF) : $6.93 billion Stock Price Potential If FCF is $693M and we apply a 10x multiple , the valuation = $6.93B If they have ~200M shares (estimate): Stock Price = $6.93B ÷ 200M = $34.65 per share Conclusion At $4,000 gold , Montage Gold could be worth $30–35/share , even with the streaming deal. Strong team, solid project, and multi-mine potential.Read more

West Vault Mining Summary (2025) Projects : Hasbrouck and Three Hills (Nevada) Ownership : Acquired from Allied Nevada in 2014 PFS (2023) : Production: 70,000 oz/year for 8 years Capex: $66M After-tax IRR: 80% at $2200 gold Development Plan : Phase 1: Three Hills (shovel-ready, 12-month build) Phase 2: Hasbrouck (18-month build) Combined Reserves: ~725,000 oz (175K TH, 550K Hasbrouck) Strong exploration potential with high-grade intercepts Status : Development on hold, waiting for higher gold prices Burning ~$1M/year (conservative spend) Cash: ~$2.5M Announced share buyback: up to 3% Additional Assets : 60% interest in 11 Nevada properties (300K acres, from Newmont/Rubicon) 25K acres in Quebec (between two 4Moz deposits) Market Cap : ~$43M (fully diluted) — very low for a near-term 70K oz producer Risk/Reward : Upside: 10x potential at $4000 gold if mine built and extended Risk: May sell project instead of building Insiders/Ownership : Sun Valley Gold: 46% Ruffer: 17% Eric Sprott: 5% Konwave AG: 3% Management/Insiders: 1.5% Total Insider Ownership: ~70% CEO Quote (2/18/2025) : “We see building Hasbrouck as a viable way to unlock value, but we’re cautious of being a single-project company. Our market cap must be significantly above initial capex before we build — to allow room if things go wrong.” Key Assumptions Annual Production : 70,000 oz Mine Life : 8 years (likely to extend with exploration) Gold Price : $4,000/oz AISC (All-in Sustaining Cost) : Assume $1,200/oz (to be conservative) Free Cash Flow (FCF) per ounce = $4,000 - $1,200 = $2,800 Annual FCF = 70,000 oz × $2,800 = $196,000,000 Valuation Multiple : 10x–15x FCF (common for miners with solid assets) Market Cap Range : Conservative (10x) : $1.96B Optimistic (15x) : $2.94B Shares Outstanding (FD) : ~70 million (estimate) At $4,000 gold , West Vault Mining could be worth: $28.00/share (10x FCF) $42.00/share (15x FCF) Current stock price is under $1 , so this is a potential 30-40x return if the mine is built and production is realized.Read more