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Spotify Technology Community
NYSE:SPOT Community
7
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Spotify Technology
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Overvalued
Spotify Technology
MI
MichaelP
Content Lead
Industry Tailwinds, Increased Monetization and Changing Cost Structure Will Lead To Higher Cash Flows
Key Takeaways Spotify is wisely focusing on long-term objectives over short-term profitability. Leverage will shift from labels (suppliers) to Spotify (the aggregator) as scale continues to grow.
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US$703.12
FV
1.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
19.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
7
users have commented on this narrative
29
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
Ad Revenue and Margin Improvement Will Lead to Stronger Cash Flows
Key Takeaways Premium revenue to be kept in check by competition and market saturation. Gross margin will improve, but remain below 30%.
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US$222.00
FV
212.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
MI
Michael1234
Community Contributor
Tailwinds, Monetization and Cost Structure Will Lead To Higher Cash Flows
Catalysts (optional) User Growth and Engagement Will Remain The Focus Over Profitability Streaming Economics Will Favour The Suppliers, Users AND The Aggregators. Being An Audio Platform Will Lead To Less Reliance on Variable-Cost Music The Market Will Come To Understand Spotify’s Current and Future Profitability Assumptions (optional) Retain Dominant Market Share Position In Paid Music Streaming 325m paid subs by 2028 (35% of 930m market).
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US$343.15
FV
102.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
FR
Fre
Community Contributor
Billions will be generated year over year. It's just the beginning.
Spotify: It's just the beginning. Het monetiseringsproces is nog maar net begonnen.
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US$769.91
FV
10.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
18.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 37 Analysts
GDPR And AI Commoditization Will Erode Fundamentals
Key Takeaways Escalating regulatory constraints and rising content costs threaten Spotify's revenue growth, margins, and long-term profitability prospects. Intensifying competition and shifting market trends risk capping user growth, elevating churn, and stalling the company's efforts to diversify and expand earnings.
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US$535.83
FV
29.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 37 Analysts
Expanding Smartphone Penetration And AI Will Redefine Digital Streaming
Key Takeaways Accelerating AI innovation and evolving monetization strategies position Spotify for durable user and revenue growth, extending its lead through compounding engagement and new payment flows. Flexible global expansion and strong capital allocation create long-term scalability, with untapped upside in mature markets and robust support for investing in future initiatives.
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US$910.71
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
18.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 37 Analysts
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Key Takeaways Expanding into new content verticals and enhanced personalization are increasing user engagement, reducing churn, and supporting higher revenue per user and improved margins. Investments in ad technology, generative AI, and diversified monetization models position Spotify for accelerated growth and expanded earnings across multiple channels.
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US$740.58
FV
6.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
72
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
SPOT
SPOT
Spotify Technology
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$692.99
5.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-1b
29b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue €28.8b
Earnings €1.4b
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