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Spotify Technology S.A.NYSE:SPOT Stock Report

Market Cap US$99.8b
Share Price
US$470.01
US$649.17
27.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-16.9%
7D-0.7%
Portfolio Value
View

Spotify Technology S.A.

NYSE:SPOT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$99.8b

Spotify Technology (SPOT) Stock Overview

Provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. More details

SPOT fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance6/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

SPOT Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 364 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

US$703.12
FV
33.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
19.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
14.3k
users have viewed this narrative
19users have liked this narrative
7users have commented on this narrative
31users have followed this narrative
US$769.91
FV
39.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
18.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
225
users have viewed this narrative
5users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
9users have followed this narrative
US$222
FV
111.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
305
users have viewed this narrative
5users have liked this narrative
2users have commented on this narrative
7users have followed this narrative
US$571.21
FV
17.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
13.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
100
users have viewed this narrative
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
7users have followed this narrative
US$7.43
47.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
36.8% p.a.
Profit Margin
25%
Future PE
20x
Price in 2031
US$11.97

Spotify Technology S.A. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Spotify Technology
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$470.01
52 Week HighUS$785.00
52 Week LowUS$405.00
Beta1.72
1 Month Change-7.35%
3 Month Change-19.06%
1 Year Change-16.87%
3 Year Change258.10%
5 Year Change67.77%
Change since IPO215.42%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Spotify (SPOT): The Audio Super-Platform – Scaling Profitability in the "Year of Raising Ambition"

Spotify Technology (SPOT) has decisively silenced the skeptics who questioned its ability to turn massive scale into meaningful profit. Following its Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings report on February 10, 2026 , the stock experienced a powerful 12% surge , eventually stabilizing around $511.84 as of February 27.

Spotify - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

️Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -1/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 17.56% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 10.87% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 4.68% -2 ❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.71% (greater than ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +2.07% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 15.46% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A1 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Despite its Narrow Moat rating by Morningstar, Spotify still shows an operating margin around ~15-20% and expanding. Its revenue and EPS growth is also solid between 10-15%.

Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

Feb 05
Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Nov 11
We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)?

Jul 31
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)?

We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

May 07
We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Spotify Q4: Profitability Is Only Getting Better

Feb 05

Spotify Q4 Preview: Changing Creator Incentives

Jan 22

Spotify: The Operational Leverage Run Is Close To Being Over, What's Next?

Jan 15

Spotify: My Top Investment Pick For 2025

Dec 15

Spotify Q3: Strong Subscriber Growth And Margin Improvement

Nov 12
User avatar

Narrative update from Richard Bowman

Monthly active users up 2% Q/Q and 14% Y/Y

Spotify: Beware Slowing MAU Growth, Lock In Gains And Sell (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 24
User avatar

Narrative update from Michael Paige

In terms of market share, nothing has particularly changed, and reports still indicate that it has around one-third of market share in the industry. 

Spotify Q2: Subscriber Gains With Improved Monetization

Jul 23

Spotify: Ready To Jump As Price And Bundling Adjustment Flow To Earnings

Jul 16

Spotify: Price Increases Are Helping To Mask Weaker User Growth

Jun 07
User avatar

Narrative update from Michael Paige

In terms of market share, nothing has particularly changed, and reports still indicate that it has around one-third of market share in the industry. 

Spotify: Bet On This 'Forever-Subscription' Company

May 06
User avatar

Narrative update from Richard Bowman

Spotify’s Focus on Profitability is Beginning to Pay Off Spotify announced solid results for the first quarter. Premium subs increased by 14% from Q1 2023, but were only 3 million higher than Q4 2023.

Spotify: Firing On All Cylinders, Initiating Stock With 'Strong Buy'

Apr 24

Wall Street Lunch: Spotify To Introduce Music Videos

Mar 13

Spotify's Long-Term Prospects Outweigh Present Stock Valuation Concerns

Feb 28
User avatar

Ad Revenue and Margin Improvement Will Lead to Stronger Cash Flows

Premium revenue to be kept in check by competition and market saturation. 

Spotify: Time To Lock In Gains For Now (Rating Downgrade)

Feb 14

Spotify Q4 2023 Earnings Update

Feb 07

Spotify: Music Streaming Remains A Competitive Nightmare

Jan 08

Spotify: Optimism Is Returning

Dec 04
User avatar

Narrative update from Michael Paige

On October 24th, Spotify reported its Q3 results and I was very happy with the performance as it showed general continuation of trends in the right direction for MAU, Premium subscribers, revenue and

Spotify: Focus On Profitability Makes Me Positive

Oct 31

Spotify Q3 Earnings Preview: Fasten The Seat Belt

Oct 23
User avatar

Industry Tailwinds, Increased Monetization and Changing Cost Structure Will Lead To Higher Cash Flows

Spotify is wisely focusing on long-term objectives over short-term profitability.

Shareholder Returns

SPOTUS EntertainmentUS Market
7D-0.7%1.8%-0.3%
1Y-16.9%4.2%16.1%

Return vs Industry: SPOT underperformed the US Entertainment industry which returned 4.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SPOT underperformed the US Market which returned 16.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is SPOT's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SPOT volatility
SPOT Average Weekly Movement8.0%
Entertainment Industry Average Movement9.2%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.3%

Stable Share Price: SPOT has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: SPOT's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20067,000Alex Norströmwww.spotify.com

Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts, including video, lossless music, and audiobooks in select markets through subscription offerings primarily sold directly to end users and partners.

Spotify Technology S.A. Fundamentals Summary

How do Spotify Technology's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SPOT fundamental statistics
Market capUS$99.81b
Earnings (TTM)US$2.56b
Revenue (TTM)US$19.91b
37.8x
P/E Ratio
4.9x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
SPOT income statement (TTM)
Revenue€17.19b
Cost of Revenue€11.69b
Gross Profit€5.50b
Other Expenses€3.28b
Earnings€2.21b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Apr 28, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)10.75
Gross Margin31.98%
Net Profit Margin12.87%
Debt/Equity Ratio17.5%

How did SPOT perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/01 03:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Spotify Technology S.A. is covered by 69 analysts. 36 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William Noel MilnerArete Research Services LLP
Samuel LourenszArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP