tonies SE

DB:TNIE Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: €1.2b

tonies Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 4/6

tonies kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 47.2% ve 17.8% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 46.6% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 16% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

47.2%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

46.62%

EPS büyüme oranı

Leisure kazanç büyümesi15.2%
Gelir büyüme oranı17.8%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi16.03%
Analist kapsamı

Low

Son güncelleme15 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi May 12

TNIE: 2026 Revenue Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts are maintaining their €14.00 price target for tonies, citing only small adjustments to key model inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News tonies issued earnings guidance for FY 2026, indicating an expectation for Group revenue growth of more than 20% in constant currency to more than €760 million (company guidance).
Anlatı Güncellemesi Apr 28

TNIE: Higher 2026 Outlook And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts have raised the price target for tonies to €14.0 from the previous €13.0, reflecting revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and an updated future P/E framework. What's in the News tonies issued earnings guidance for FY 2026, indicating expected Group revenue of more than €760 million in constant currency, with revenue growth of more than 20% (company guidance).
Analiz Makalesi Apr 22

We Think tonies' (FRA:TNIE) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) despite the healthy...
Anlatı Güncellemesi Apr 13

TNIE: Global Content Partnerships And Investor Day Will Support Future Double Digit Expansion

Analysts are keeping their price target for tonies steady at €14.00, reflecting only marginal tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their models. What's in the News tonies plans an Analyst and Investor Day, giving the market a structured opportunity to receive an update on the business and its plans.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 30

TNIE: Global Content Partnerships Will Drive Future Double Digit Revenue Expansion

Analysts have nudged their price target for tonies up slightly from about €13.83 to €14.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, discount rate, profit margin and future P/E that keep the overall valuation view largely intact. What's in the News tonies plans an Analyst and Investor Day event, giving the market a closer look at the business, its priorities, and the updated assumptions that underpin current valuation views (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 16

TNIE: Licensing Rollout And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Future Prospects

Analysts have adjusted their price target on tonies from €13.20 to €14.50. This reflects updated assumptions around higher revenue growth expectations, a slightly improved profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 02

TNIE: Index Inclusion And Content Partnerships Will Support A Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts now set their tonies price target at €13.00, up from €10.50, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E, which they view as better aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News tonies announced a partnership with The Pokemon Company International, aiming to bring new Pokemon themed audio book content to the Toniebox starting in summer 2026, including four exclusive, collectible Pokemon Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander and Squirtle (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi Feb 16

TNIE: Global Content Partnerships Will Support Future Double Digit Revenue Gains

Analysts have raised their price target on tonies from €11.37 to €13.83, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they consider more accurately reflect the company’s current risk and return profile. What's in the News Partnership with The Pokemon Company International includes a lightning yellow special edition Toniebox 2 inspired by Pikachu, planned for a global launch, including the US, in summer 2026 (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi Feb 01

TNIE: Licensing Expansion And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Future Prospects

Analysts have nudged their price target for tonies slightly higher to €13.20, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue, profit margin and future P/E that keep their fair value view effectively unchanged. What's in the News tonies confirmed earnings guidance for the 2025 financial year, expecting group revenue of more than €600 million in constant currency (corporate guidance).
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jan 18

TNIE: Fair Outlook Balances Index Inclusion With Evolving Profitability Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for tonies from €9.00 to €10.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News tonies SE confirmed earnings guidance for the 2025 financial year, with management expecting group revenue of above €600 million in constant currency, based on forecast growth of more than 25% for the year (Corporate guidance) The company announced a partnership to bring new Pokémon audio book content to the Toniebox, starting in summer 2026 with four exclusive collectible Pokémon Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander, and Squirtle, with further products planned with Pikachu Press (Client announcement) tonies SE was added to the Germany SDAX (Total Return) Index, which may influence how index-tracking funds and some institutional investors view the stock (Index constituent change) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has been revised from €9.00 to €10.50 per share, reflecting a higher central value in the model.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jan 04

TNIE: Expanded Licensing Partnerships Will Drive Higher Future Profitability

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on tonies to reflect a stable fair value of €13.20, as slightly lower expected revenue growth is balanced by an improved profit margin outlook and a marginally reduced discount rate. What's in the News tonies SE confirmed guidance for 2025, targeting group revenue growth of more than 25 percent in constant currency and pushing annual sales above EUR 600 million (corporate guidance) tonies SE was added to the Germany SDAX Total Return Index, increasing its visibility among institutional and index-tracking investors (index update) tonies announced a partnership with Pokemon to launch exclusive audio first content for the Toniebox from summer 2026, starting with four collectible Pokemon figures and further products planned with Pikachu Press (client announcement) tonies expanded its long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to adapt classic board games, including Monopoly, into new interactive, screen free Tonieplay formats for launch in 2026 across its core markets (client announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at €13.20 per share, indicating a stable overall valuation.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Dec 17

TNIE: Expanded Licensing Partnerships Will Drive Stronger Profitability Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target on tonies by approximately 10 percent to €13.20, citing slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth and improved profit margins, despite a modestly lower future P/E assumption. What's in the News Confirmed 2025 guidance, expecting group revenue to grow by more than 25 percent in constant currency and taking sales above EUR 600 million (company guidance) Announced a landmark partnership with Pokémon to launch audio first storytelling Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander and Squirtle from summer 2026, with further products planned with Pikachu Press (company announcement) Expanded long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to adapt classic board games, including Monopoly, into interactive, screen free Tonieplay formats for Toniebox 2, rolling out from 2026 across core markets in North America, DACH, UK, France and Australia or New Zealand (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised moderately from €12.00 to €13.20, reflecting a roughly 10 percent upward revision.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Dec 03

TNIE: Screen-Free Gaming Expansion Will Drive Future Double-Digit Revenue Gains

Narrative Update Analysts have maintained their price target for tonies at €11.37, as modest tweaks to the discount rate and forward valuation assumptions were not significant enough to justify a change in the overall valuation framework. What's in the News Confirmed 2025 guidance with group revenue expected to grow by more than 25% in constant currency, taking revenue above EUR 600 million (Company guidance) Expanded long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to bring select Hasbro Games titles, including Monopoly, to the Toniebox 2 in new interactive Tonieplay formats starting in 2026 (Company announcement) Planned Tonieplay game launches to roll out across core markets, including North America, DACH, the UK, France, and Australia/New Zealand, with further titles and details to be announced closer to launch (Company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at approximately €11.37 per share, reflecting a stable central valuation view.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Nov 19

TNIE: Expansion Into Screen-Free Gaming Will Drive Long-Term Revenue Momentum

Analysts have raised their price target for tonies from EUR 11.03 to EUR 11.37. They cite continued company performance and an improved profit margin outlook following recent results.
Analiz Makalesi Sep 25

Here's Why tonies (FRA:TNIE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analiz Makalesi Sep 01

Market Participants Recognise tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Higher

tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month...
Analiz Makalesi Aug 26

tonies' (FRA:TNIE) Solid Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors

tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some...
Analiz Makalesi May 14

tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month...
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Yeni Anlatı May 07

Expanding North America And International Markets Will Fuel Future Success

Expansion into North America and internationally has greatly boosted revenue, showcasing strong market fit and profitability.
Analiz Makalesi Apr 15

Is tonies (FRA:TNIE) Using Debt Sensibly?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analiz Makalesi Oct 18

Does tonies (FRA:TNIE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analiz Makalesi Jun 04

Revenues Tell The Story For tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) As Its Stock Soars 33%

The tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 33...
Analiz Makalesi May 21

tonies (FRA:TNIE) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analiz Makalesi Apr 12

With tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

When close to half the companies in the Leisure industry in Germany have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x...
Analiz Makalesi Apr 15

tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for tonies is €7.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

DB:TNIE - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (EUR Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/20281,08685791044
12/31/20279376356775
12/31/20267794145615
12/31/202563013-136N/A
9/30/202557020927N/A
6/30/2025510283149N/A
3/31/2025495203148N/A
12/31/2024481133147N/A
9/30/2024438-81632N/A
6/30/2024395-29216N/A
3/31/2024378-21-112N/A
12/31/2023361-12-58N/A
9/30/2023324-20-39-26N/A
6/30/2023287-29-73-61N/A
3/31/2023273-30-80-68N/A
12/31/2022258-32-88-74N/A
9/30/2022234-129-79-67N/A
6/30/2022211-226-71-60N/A
3/31/2022199-233-53-43N/A
12/31/2021188-241-35-26N/A
12/31/2020135-16-44N/A
12/31/2019103-602N/A
12/31/2018612N/A-5N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: TNIE 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 47.2% ) tasarruf oranının ( 1.9% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: TNIE şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 47.2% ) German pazarından (yıllık 17.1% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: TNIE şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: TNIE şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 17.8% ) German pazarından (yıllık 6.8% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: TNIE şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 17.8% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.


Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri


Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: TNIE 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 16 %).


Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/22 10:14
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/22 00:00
Kazançlar2025/12/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

tonies SE 9 Bu analistlerden 5, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Gerhard OrgonasBerenberg
Christoph BlieffertBNP Paribas
Hans SalisHauck Aufhäuser Investment Banking