The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for tonies
What Is tonies's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, tonies had €23.0m of debt, up from €6.85m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has €63.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €40.2m net cash.
How Healthy Is tonies' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that tonies had liabilities of €123.8m due within a year, and liabilities of €43.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €63.2m in cash and €64.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €39.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, tonies has a market capitalization of €692.0m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, tonies also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine tonies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, tonies reported revenue of €361m, which is a gain of 40%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
So How Risky Is tonies?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months tonies lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through €4.9m of cash and made a loss of €12m. But the saving grace is the €40.2m on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. tonies's revenue growth shone bright over the last year, so it may well be in a position to turn a profit in due course. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. For riskier companies like tonies I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About DB:TNIE
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.