The Progressive Corporation

NYSE:PGR Aktierapport

Börsvärde: US$128.8b

Progressive Framtida tillväxt

Future kriterier kontrolleras 1/6

Progressive s intäkter förväntas minska med 5.4% per år medan dess årliga intäkter förväntas växa med 4.2% per år. EPS förväntas falla med 2.8% per år. Avkastningen på eget kapital förväntas bli 22% om 3 år.

Viktig information

-5.4%

Tillväxttakt i vinsten

-2.82%

Tillväxttakt för EPS

Insurance vinsttillväxt2.1%
Intäkternas tillväxttakt4.2%
Framtida avkastning på eget kapital21.98%
Bevakning av analytiker

Good

Senast uppdaterad24 Jun 2026

Senaste uppdateringarna om framtida tillväxt

Inga uppdateringar

Recent updates

Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 25

PGR: AI And Underwriting Discipline Will Support Stronger Margins Through 2028

Analysts have trimmed the Progressive fair value estimate by about $6 to $284.11, reflecting lower margin and P/E assumptions after recent price target reductions of around $2 to $18 across several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Progressive points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts highlighting long term earnings potential, valuation support, and execution on underwriting and expense discipline.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 13

Progressive Corporation: Exceptional Growth But Normalizing Margins

Summary Progressive Corporation maintains exceptional market-share gains and strong underwriting but faces near-term EPS declines despite continued revenue growth. PGR is reinvesting profitability into customer acquisition and selective rate reductions, leading to margin pressure as competition intensifies and peers restore profitability. Consensus expects PGR's EPS to decline through 2028, with valuation at 12.5x forward earnings reflecting anticipated margin normalization and limited near-term earnings growth. I maintain a cautious buy on PGR, citing robust capital efficiency, a resilient market position, and reasonable valuation despite margin risks and a less attractive yield profile. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 07

PGR: AI Expense Efficiencies Will Support Underwriting Discipline And Earnings Resilience

Analysts have nudged Progressive's implied fair value higher to about $291 from roughly $284, while slightly adjusting discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, citing mixed recent earnings trends and growing interest in the company's potential role in the emerging AI economy. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Progressive shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several bullish analysts highlighting the company's potential earnings power and role in the developing use of AI across insurance.
Uppdatering av berättelse • May 24

PGR: AI Expense Efficiencies Will Sustain Earnings Power Despite Softer Pricing

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Progressive slightly lower to about $231 from roughly $232, reflecting modest reductions to long term earnings expectations after recent price target cuts tied to April's catastrophe losses and concerns about softer auto pricing power. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution around Progressive, with price targets being nudged both higher and lower as analysts recalibrate expectations after the April earnings miss and shifting views on auto pricing power.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 23

PGR: Expense Efficiencies And Underwriting Discipline Will Support Earnings Through Cycle Changes

Analysts now see Progressive's fair value at $284.03, down from $302.85. This reflects updated views on slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a reduced future P/E multiple, even as recent Street targets have moved both higher and lower on near term pricing power, claims trends, and expense efficiency.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 07

PGR: AI Expense Efficiencies Will Support Future Earnings Despite Softer Expectations

Analyst price targets for Progressive have edged lower by about $1, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and margins, even as many analysts still highlight areas like AI driven expense efficiencies and personal auto policy growth in their views. Analyst Commentary Street research on Progressive has turned more cautious on valuation, with a series of target cuts across banks and research houses, even as some firms still point to execution strengths in core auto and expense management.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 24

PGR: Policy In Force Expansion And Efficiency Gains Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have trimmed the Progressive price target by about $5 to reflect slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. They cite softer auto pricing power, modestly lower premium growth, and a more competitive personal auto market, while also highlighting operating efficiencies and policy-in-force growth as ongoing supports.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 09

PGR: Softening Cycle And Policy Momentum Will Support Future Earnings Power

The Analyst Price Target for Progressive edges down by about $1 to $238.10 as analysts factor in slightly lower valuation multiples, modestly softer premium growth, and more conservative assumptions for net investment income, while still recognizing steady policy growth and profitability expectations reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of cautious tweaks and ongoing confidence in Progressive, with most firms trimming price targets rather than making wholesale changes to their broader views on the business.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 23

PGR: Softening Cycle And Policy Momentum Will Support Future Earnings Power

Our fair value estimate for Progressive has been trimmed by about $10 to $239, as analysts factor in slightly softer premium and policy growth, modest pressure on margins, and more conservative assumptions for investment income and future P/E multiples following a series of lower Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Progressive reflects a mixed but generally engaged view, with multiple firms fine-tuning their price targets and assumptions rather than making wholesale shifts in stance.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 09

PGR: Underwriting Strength And Policy Momentum Will Support Earnings Through Cycle Changes

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Progressive, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $325 to about $303 as they factor in expectations for softer revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, a lower future P/E, and modestly higher profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Progressive has been mixed, but there are several clear positive threads that stand out for investors watching how professionals are framing the story.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 24

PGR: Softening Insurance Cycle Will Test But Not Derail Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Progressive, lowering our fair value estimate by about $6 to $248.98. This reflects slightly lower assumed profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple, partially offset by modestly higher revenue growth expectations.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 09

PGR: Softer P&C Cycle Will Pressure Margins Despite Policy Momentum

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Progressive from US$215.56 to US$191.52, as they factor in softer P&C pricing and a lower future P/E of about 15x, while still seeing support from personal lines trends and policy growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Progressive reflects a mix of optimism on policy growth and margin resilience, alongside a more cautious tone on the broader P&C cycle and the stock's valuation.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 26

PGR: Reaccelerating Auto Policy Additions Will Drive Earnings Power Through 2025

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Progressive slightly lower to $255.13 from $257.44, reflecting a modest reset in top-line growth expectations, while still highlighting resilient underwriting profitability, accelerating personal auto policy growth, and lighter catastrophe losses that together support higher earnings power over time. Analyst Commentary Street research on Progressive reflects a broadly constructive fundamental backdrop with some valuation discipline and event driven caution.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 12

PGR: Strong Underwriting And Policy Momentum Will Drive Earnings Power Ahead

Analysts modestly reduced their price target on Progressive to about $325 from roughly $344, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. They also cite resilient policy growth, solid underwriting performance, and ongoing earnings power as supporting the stock's longer term value.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 27

PGR: Improving Margins And Customer Additions Will Drive Stronger Performance Through 2025

Progressive's analyst price target has been modestly lowered, declining by approximately $2 to around $257, as analysts cite recent fluctuations in policy growth and underlying profitability trends that support their revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Progressive reflects a dynamic outlook, with both bullish and bearish perspectives shaping the current consensus.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 13

PGR: Sustained Margin Strength And Share Repurchases Will Support Outperformance Ahead

The analyst price target for Progressive has been revised downward by nearly $2 to approximately $259 per share. Analysts cite recent policyholder credits and mixed sector performance as reasons for moderating expectations.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 30

PGR: Earnings Momentum Will Outpace Sector Headwinds Amid Market Shifts

Progressive's analyst price target has been revised downward from approximately $273 to $261, as analysts cite industry underperformance and company-specific developments such as lower than expected premium growth and the impact of one-time items on near-term results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Progressive highlights a nuanced outlook, with both optimistic and cautious perspectives shaping the investment case.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 15

Advanced Analytics Will Reshape Auto Insurance Amid Competition Risks

Progressive's analyst price target has decreased modestly, dropping by $5.42 to $272.74. Analysts point to slower revenue growth and profit margin pressures, partially offset by industry-wide improvements in catastrophe losses and continued earnings resilience.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 19

Advanced Analytics Will Reshape Auto Insurance Amid Competition Risks

Progressive’s consensus price target was revised downward to $278.16, as analysts balanced solid recent earnings and investment income against growing concerns over softer policy growth, intensifying competition, and margin normalization, which are expected to cap near-term upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite recent earnings outperformance, particularly in July and August, driving upward EPS revisions and improved investment income outlooks despite ongoing competitive pressures.
Analysartikel • Sep 18

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

The board of The Progressive Corporation ( NYSE:PGR ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 04

Advanced Analytics Will Reshape Auto Insurance Amid Competition Risks

Analysts cite persistent profit margin strength but growing caution around slowing growth prospects, increased competition, and sector headwinds—factors that offset upside potential and result in the consensus Analyst Price Target remaining unchanged at $283.56. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Progressive's consistent outperformance on profit margins, with recent operating EPS beats exceeding expectations and normalized underwriting margin forecasts being revised slightly higher into 2027.
Analysartikel • Aug 21

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.10

The Progressive Corporation's ( NYSE:PGR ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.10 per share on 10th of...
Analysartikel • Jul 02

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

The board of The Progressive Corporation ( NYSE:PGR ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 11th of July...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 21

Progressive Corporation: Performance Remains Strong, But Valuation Is Elevated

Summary Progressive Corporation has gained 27% over the past year, retaining most gains despite market sell-off, with solid Q1 results indicating strong performance. PGR's frequent monthly reporting provides transparency. Q1 earnings missed by $0.35 due to $212 million in securities losses, but revenue surged 17% with strong premium growth. Investments in technology and AI have increased expenses, but improved loss performance and a strong combined ratio suggest future profitability and operational efficiency. Despite potential headwinds from higher car prices due to tariffs, Progressive's clean balance sheet, strong underwriting, and defensive nature make it a 'Hold' with a full valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 12

The Progressive Corporation: Earnings Have Exploded, Take Advantage Of Recent Price Drop And Buy

Summary Progressive is rated a buy due to its record-breaking financial performance, robust growth in net premiums, and significant market share gains in 2024. Despite a recent share price drop, PGR has seen a 239% gain over 5 years and continues to outperform its peers. PGR's revenue nearly doubled in 5 years, with net income up 11.5x in two years, driven by strategic advertising and policy growth. The P&C insurance industry remains resilient amidst economic uncertainties, making PGR a strong investment opportunity with continued earnings growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 18

Progressive: Fundamentally Strong, But Earning Multiples Are Elevated, Hold For Now

Summary Progressive Corp reported strong Q4 and FY results, with a 21% increase in net written premiums and over 5 million new policies in 2024. The company is well-positioned for 2025, with improved pricing expected to support margin expansion and EPS growth, despite a slightly elevated valuation multiple. Risks include market saturation, potential recession impacts, and a slowdown in growth rates, which could affect investor expectations and valuation. I rate Progressive a 'hold' due to its strong fundamentals but elevated earnings multiple, awaiting a better entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 06

Progressive: One Of The Most Resilient Uptrends, Still Fairly Priced

Summary Progressive is one of the largest and most recognized players in the U.S. insurance market with an efficient business model that relies on online sales. The Company’s growth potential, combined with outstanding ROCE and ROTC performance, makes it a highly attractive investment opportunity. The stock’s long-term upward movement confirms its financial strength, with 205% gains in the past five years. The intense liquidations triggered by the wildfires in California led the stock to its first notable support levels, generating a buy signal. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Prognoser för vinst- och omsättningstillväxt

NYSE:PGR - Analytikernas framtida uppskattningar och tidigare finansiella data (USD Millions )
DatumIntäkterIntäkterFritt kassaflödeKassaflöde från rörelsenGenomsnittligt Antal analytiker
12/31/202899,8779,390N/A15,8224
12/31/202794,7419,602N/A15,3229
12/31/202688,06210,260N/A13,2648
3/31/202689,41511,55916,42016,772N/A
12/31/202587,63711,30817,20017,548N/A
9/30/202585,16610,71317,04917,386N/A
6/30/202582,37610,43216,47216,800N/A
3/31/202578,5088,71615,73316,027N/A
12/31/202475,3438,46314,83415,119N/A
9/30/202471,9618,08514,29114,548N/A
6/30/202467,8026,86213,12213,359N/A
3/31/202465,0225,73812,17012,429N/A
12/31/202362,0833,86510,39110,643N/A
9/30/202358,6612,7078,9199,136N/A
6/30/202355,8821,7147,4557,743N/A
3/31/202352,0488286,5346,796N/A
12/31/202249,5876956,5576,849N/A
9/30/202248,6098316,0716,371N/A
6/30/202247,6878256,4346,715N/A
3/31/202248,0732,1587,3847,650N/A
12/31/202147,6773,3247,5187,762N/A
9/30/202146,6024,0468,6228,857N/A
6/30/202145,6925,4587,7547,965N/A
3/31/202144,7606,4597,6837,894N/A
12/31/202042,6385,6786,6826,906N/A
9/30/202041,9635,0646,2286,487N/A
6/30/202040,5454,3756,4956,766N/A
3/31/202039,0223,5645,6696,019N/A
12/31/201938,9983,943N/A6,262N/A
9/30/201936,2923,137N/A6,217N/A
6/30/201935,2573,224N/A6,176N/A
3/31/201933,8242,949N/A6,406N/A
12/31/201831,9552,594N/A6,285N/A
9/30/201831,0412,912N/A5,735N/A
6/30/201829,3372,215N/A5,218N/A
3/31/201827,9241,885N/A4,400N/A
12/31/201726,8161,592N/A3,757N/A
9/30/201725,8231,399N/A3,680N/A
6/30/201724,9671,374N/A3,184N/A
3/31/201724,1811,197N/A3,018N/A
12/31/201623,4171,031N/A2,733N/A
9/30/201622,690978N/A2,408N/A
6/30/201622,0291,058N/A2,434N/A
3/31/201621,4951,230N/A2,340N/A
12/31/201520,8321,268N/A2,293N/A
9/30/201520,6091,307N/A2,229N/A
6/30/201520,1061,325N/A2,114N/A

Analytiker Framtid Tillväxt Prognoser

Intäkter kontra sparande: PGR s intäkter förväntas minska under de kommande 3 åren ( -5.4% per år).

Resultat vs marknad: PGR s intäkter förväntas minska under de kommande 3 åren ( -5.4% per år).

Höga tillväxtresultat: PGR s intäkter förväntas minska under de kommande 3 åren.

Intäkt vs marknad: PGR s intäkter ( 4.2% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än marknaden för US ( 12.7% per år).

Hög tillväxtintäkter: PGR s intäkter ( 4.2% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än 20% per år.

Tillväxtprognoser för vinst per aktie

Framtida avkastning på eget kapital

Framtida ROE: PGR s avkastning på eget kapital förväntas bli hög om 3 år ( 22 %)

Upptäck tillväxtföretag

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Företagsanalys och finansiella data Status

UppgifterSenast uppdaterad (UTC-tid)
Analys av företag2026/06/25 19:05
Aktiekurs vid dagens slut2026/06/25 00:00
Intäkter2026/03/31
Årlig intjäning2025/12/31

Datakällor

Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.

PaketUppgifterTidsramExempel US-källa
Företagets finansiella ställning10 år
  • Resultaträkning
  • Kassaflödesanalys
  • Balansräkning
Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar+3 år
  • Prognos för finansiella poster
  • Analytikernas prismål
Marknadspriser30 år
  • Aktiekurser
  • Utdelningar, splittar och åtgärder
Ägarskap10 år
  • Största aktieägare
  • Insiderhandel
Förvaltning10 år
  • Ledningsgrupp
  • Styrelse och verkställande direktörer
Viktiga utvecklingstendenser10 år
  • Företagsmeddelanden

* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.

Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.

Analysmodell och snöflinga

Detaljer om analysmodellen som används för att skapa denna rapport finns på vår Github-sida; vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och handledningar på Youtube.

Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.

Industri- och sektormått

Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.

Källor för analytiker

The Progressive Corporation bevakas av 40 analytiker. 14 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.

AnalytikerInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Taylor ScottBarclays
Jay GelbBarclays