Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Huge Group Limited (JSE:HUG) Shares Find Their Feet

JSE:HUG
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Huge Group Limited's (JSE:HUG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in South Africa, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Huge Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Huge Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
JSE:HUG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Huge Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Huge Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Huge Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 92% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Huge Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Huge Group's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Huge Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Huge Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huge Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.