Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Huge Group (JSE:HUG) Shares Five Years Ago You'd Have Earned 35% Returns

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the Huge Group Limited (JSE:HUG) share price is up 35% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 5.7% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 7.1%.

See our latest analysis for Huge Group

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, Huge Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 16% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 6% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
JSE:HUG Earnings Per Share Growth February 2nd 2021

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Huge Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

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What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Huge Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Huge Group's TSR of 39% over the last 5 years is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Huge Group provided a TSR of 7.1% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 7% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Huge Group you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on ZA exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huge Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About JSE:HUG

Huge Group

An investment holding company, provides mobile connectivity services in South Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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