We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Foschini Group Valuation

Is TFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TFG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TFG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.6x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.7x
MRP Mr Price Group
12x7.6%R42.1b
TRU Truworths International
8.2x-0.2%R24.9b
PPH Pepkor Holdings
12.1x5.7%R73.8b
MTH Motus Holdings
6.7x7.7%R22.1b
TFG Foschini Group
10.4x8.5%R35.0b


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.1%
n/an/an/a


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR108.64
R144.50
+33.0%
19.5%R195.00R109.00n/a6
Jan ’24R101.00
R147.00
+45.5%
20.5%R195.00R109.00n/a6
Dec ’23R100.72
R149.50
+48.4%
18.8%R195.00R109.00n/a6
Nov ’23R115.22
R148.83
+29.2%
19.4%R205.00R109.00n/a6
Oct ’23R117.63
R155.33
+32.1%
15.3%R205.00R133.00n/a6
Sep ’23R128.72
R153.67
+19.4%
16.6%R205.00R123.00n/a6
Aug ’23R121.24
R152.29
+25.6%
13.5%R195.00R123.00n/a7
Jul ’23R118.60
R152.29
+28.4%
13.5%R195.00R123.00n/a7
Jun ’23R142.20
R152.00
+6.9%
13.5%R194.00R120.00n/a7
May ’23R138.92
R155.00
+11.6%
13.5%R194.00R120.00n/a7
Apr ’23R147.49
R153.00
+3.7%
11.5%R180.00R120.00n/a7
Mar ’23R129.65
R153.00
+18.0%
11.5%R180.00R120.00n/a7
Feb ’23R129.65
R151.57
+16.9%
13.4%R180.00R110.00R107.097
Jan ’23R123.90
R155.88
+25.8%
13.4%R180.00R110.00R101.008
Dec ’22R122.33
R153.13
+25.2%
15.0%R180.00R110.00R100.728
Nov ’22R129.70
R158.75
+22.4%
16.9%R185.00R110.00R115.228
Oct ’22R133.65
R160.75
+20.3%
14.6%R185.00R126.00R117.638
Sep ’22R147.40
R164.63
+11.7%
15.6%R200.00R126.00R128.728
Aug ’22R154.95
R159.44
+2.9%
16.1%R200.00R126.00R121.249
Jul ’22R157.37
R148.40
-5.7%
21.9%R200.00R79.00R118.6010
Jun ’22R135.88
R125.70
-7.5%
16.1%R152.00R79.00R142.2010
May ’22R115.14
R123.00
+6.8%
17.3%R152.00R79.00R138.9210
Apr ’22R122.41
R121.30
-0.9%
17.2%R152.00R79.00R147.4910
Mar ’22R106.25
R114.15
+7.4%
18.4%R152.00R74.00R129.6510
Feb ’22R102.04
R104.45
+2.4%
15.9%R125.00R74.00R129.6510


Discover undervalued companies