We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Motus Holdings Valuation

Is MTH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.5x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
SPG Super Group
7.7x6.9%R10.5b
CMH Combined Motor Holdings
4.6xn/aR2.1b
TRU Truworths International
8.2x-0.2%R24.9b
ITE Italtile
9.3xn/aR17.3b
MTH Motus Holdings
6.8x7.7%R22.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.1%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the African Specialty Retail industry average (8.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTH (ZAR129.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ZAR145.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR129.69
R185.00
+42.6%
8.1%R200.00R170.00n/a2
Jan ’24R110.68
R185.00
+67.1%
8.1%R200.00R170.00n/a2
Dec ’23R112.62
R185.00
+64.3%
8.1%R200.00R170.00n/a2
Nov ’23R118.20
R185.00
+56.5%
8.1%R200.00R170.00n/a2
Oct ’23R114.77
R185.00
+61.2%
8.1%R200.00R170.00n/a2
Sep ’23R116.86
R152.50
+30.5%
11.5%R170.00R135.00n/a2
Aug ’23R113.73
R149.67
+31.6%
9.9%R170.00R135.00n/a3
Jul ’23R103.73
R146.33
+41.1%
7.1%R160.00R135.00n/a3
Jun ’23R114.27
R143.67
+25.7%
8.0%R160.00R135.00n/a3
May ’23R113.75
R143.67
+26.3%
8.0%R160.00R135.00n/a3
Apr ’23R107.26
R147.50
+37.5%
8.5%R160.00R135.00n/a2
Mar ’23R110.00
R134.00
+21.8%
16.2%R160.00R107.00n/a3
Feb ’23R118.66
R117.33
-1.1%
13.7%R140.00R105.00R126.283
Jan ’23R110.09
R119.25
+8.3%
12.0%R140.00R105.00R110.684
Dec ’22R108.58
R119.25
+9.8%
12.0%R140.00R105.00R112.624
Nov ’22R101.93
R119.25
+17.0%
12.0%R140.00R105.00R118.204
Oct ’22R99.90
R119.25
+19.4%
12.0%R140.00R105.00R114.774
Sep ’22R94.20
R105.25
+11.7%
20.7%R140.00R84.00R116.864
Aug ’22R85.12
R98.25
+15.4%
11.8%R112.00R84.00R113.734
Jul ’22R90.10
R95.80
+6.3%
12.0%R112.00R84.00R103.735
Jun ’22R95.00
R93.00
-2.1%
12.0%R112.00R84.00R114.274
May ’22R91.19
R93.00
+2.0%
12.0%R112.00R84.00R113.754
Apr ’22R89.00
R87.50
-1.7%
20.3%R112.00R62.00R107.264
Mar ’22R79.33
R65.75
-17.1%
24.2%R92.00R49.00R110.004
Feb ’22R61.09
R61.00
-0.1%
14.0%R73.00R49.00R118.664

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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