The Foschini Group Limited

JSE:TFG Stock Report

Market Cap: R18.8b

Foschini Group Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 3/6

Foschini Group is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 6.2% that is well covered by earnings.

Key information

6.2%

Dividend yield

3.7%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield9.9%
Future Dividend Yield6.6%
Dividend Growth-9.7%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio40%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 15

TFG: Softer Assumptions Will Still Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Foschini Group from ZAR100.93 to ZAR94.55, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples in their updated models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed from ZAR100.93 to ZAR94.55, reflecting a slightly more conservative overall valuation.
Narrative Update Apr 27

TFG: EPS Guidance Reset And Higher Impairments Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed Foschini Group's implied fair value from ZAR104.30 to about ZAR100.93, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News The Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 March 2026, indicating that impairments might be up to ZAR750 million.
Narrative Update Apr 11

TFG: Impairment-Driven EPS Reset Will Support Longer-Term Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their ZAR-based fair value estimate for Foschini Group from ZAR106.18 to about ZAR104.30, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, indicating that shareholders are advised that a reasonable degree of certainty exists that group EPS will be at least 20% lower than the prior period, at or below 784.5 cents compared with 980.6 cents for FY2025 (company guidance).
Narrative Update Mar 28

TFG: Impairment-Driven EPS Reset Will Still Support Future Upside

Analysts now place Foschini Group's fair value at ZAR106.18 per share, compared with the previous ZAR108.86. This reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Narrative Update Mar 13

TFG: Impairment-Driven Earnings Reset Will Still Support Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their ZAR price target for Foschini Group at approximately ZAR109 per share, citing only very small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and the future P/E used in their valuation work. What's in the News Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, indicating that group earnings per share are expected to be at or below 784.5 cents compared with 980.6 cents in FY2025, with a reasonable degree of certainty that EPS will be at least 20% lower than the prior period (company guidance).
Narrative Update Feb 26

TFG: Earnings Reset And Lower P/E Multiple Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Foschini Group has shifted from ZAR116.21 to ZAR108.86, as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, a largely unchanged profit margin outlook, and a reduced assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting the impact of expected impairments of up to ZAR 750 million on results (Corporate Guidance).
Narrative Update Feb 10

TFG: Hold Downgrade And Reset P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Foschini Group, cutting the target to ZAR 93. They are now more cautious on the shares, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Jan 26

TFG: Hold Downgrade And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Rebound

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Foschini Group from ZAR 119.99 to about ZAR 116.21, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, in line with a recent downgrade to Hold and a ZAR 93 price target from the Street. Analyst Commentary The recent downgrade to Hold and the ZAR 93 price target point to a more balanced view on Foschini Group, with analysts weighing both potential upside and key execution risks.
Narrative Update Jan 12

TFG: Hold Downgrade And Guidance Reset Will Support Future Recovery

Analysts now see limited upside for Foschini Group, with the latest research pointing to a ZAR 93 price target and a Hold stance. This aligns with only very small tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Dec 17

TFG: Digital And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Recovery From Cautious Downgrade

Analysts lowered their price target on Foschini Group to ZAR 93.00 from a higher prior level, reflecting a more cautious stance on the stock in light of recent valuation and risk reassessments. Analyst Commentary Analysts signaled a more neutral stance on Foschini Group following the revision to a Hold rating, highlighting a balance of supportive fundamentals and emerging risks around execution and macro headwinds.
Narrative Update Dec 03

TFG: Digital Focus Will Support Long-Term Stability Despite Higher Perceived Risk

Narrative Update on Foschini Group Analysts have reduced their price target on Foschini Group to ZAR 93, reflecting a more cautious stance on the shares as updated discount rate assumptions point to slightly higher perceived risk in the company’s future cash flows. Analyst Commentary Analysts are adopting a more balanced stance on Foschini Group, with the latest move being a downgrade to Hold alongside the ZAR 93 price target.
Narrative Update Nov 19

TFG: Digital Transformation Will Drive Long-Term Stability Despite Margin Pressures

Foschini Group's analyst price target has been lowered from R136.30 to R119.99. Analysts cite slower revenue growth expectations and a slightly higher discount rate in their updated outlook.
Narrative Update Nov 04

TFG: Earnings Per Share Are Expected To Rebound In The Coming Year

Analysts have lowered their price target for Foschini Group from R150.40 to R136.30. This change reflects recent adjustments in profit margin forecasts and revenue growth expectations.
Narrative Update Oct 21

Analysts Lower Foschini Group Price Target as Valuation and Growth Forecasts Ease

Analysts have lowered their price target for Foschini Group from R159.78 to R150.40. This change reflects a slightly softer outlook on revenue growth and profit margin expectations.
User avatar
New Narrative Dec 30

White Stuff Acquisition And Bash Platform Leverage Set Stage For Earnings Surge

Strategic investments and acquisitions are expected to increase market share, revenue, and profitability across multiple regions and product categories.
Analysis Article Apr 13

The Foschini Group Limited's (JSE:TFG) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

The Foschini Group Limited's ( JSE:TFG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.1x might make it look like a sell...
Analysis Article Mar 29

Should You Think About Buying The Foschini Group Limited (JSE:TFG) Now?

While The Foschini Group Limited ( JSE:TFG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: TFG's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: TFG's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Foschini Group Dividend Yield vs Market
How does TFG dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (TFG)6.2%
Market Bottom 25% (ZA)3.0%
Market Top 25% (ZA)7.7%
Industry Average (Specialty Retail)5.2%
Analyst forecast (TFG) (up to 3 years)6.6%

Notable Dividend: TFG's dividend (6.2%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the ZA market (2.97%).

High Dividend: TFG's dividend (6.2%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the ZA market (7.61%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (39.9%), TFG's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (21.7%), TFG's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 07:39
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Foschini Group Limited is covered by 18 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Darren CohnAbsa Bank Limited
Victor DimaArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Atiyyah VawdaAvior Capital Markets