Foschini Group Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Foschini Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 30.8%, while the Specialty Retail industry saw earnings growing at 6.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 12.6% per year. Foschini Group's return on equity is 11.6%, and it has net margins of 4.8%.
Key information
30.83%
Earnings growth rate
29.42%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail Industry Growth | 11.09% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.57% |
| Return on equity | 11.64% |
| Net Margin | 4.77% |
| Next Earnings Update | 05 Jun 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
TFG: EPS Guidance Reset And Higher Impairments Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed Foschini Group's implied fair value from ZAR104.30 to about ZAR100.93, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News The Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 March 2026, indicating that impairments might be up to ZAR750 million.TFG: Impairment-Driven EPS Reset Will Support Longer-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their ZAR-based fair value estimate for Foschini Group from ZAR106.18 to about ZAR104.30, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, indicating that shareholders are advised that a reasonable degree of certainty exists that group EPS will be at least 20% lower than the prior period, at or below 784.5 cents compared with 980.6 cents for FY2025 (company guidance).TFG: Impairment-Driven EPS Reset Will Still Support Future Upside
Analysts now place Foschini Group's fair value at ZAR106.18 per share, compared with the previous ZAR108.86. This reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.TFG: Impairment-Driven Earnings Reset Will Still Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their ZAR price target for Foschini Group at approximately ZAR109 per share, citing only very small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and the future P/E used in their valuation work. What's in the News Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, indicating that group earnings per share are expected to be at or below 784.5 cents compared with 980.6 cents in FY2025, with a reasonable degree of certainty that EPS will be at least 20% lower than the prior period (company guidance).TFG: Earnings Reset And Lower P/E Multiple Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Foschini Group has shifted from ZAR116.21 to ZAR108.86, as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, a largely unchanged profit margin outlook, and a reduced assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Foschini Group issued earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting the impact of expected impairments of up to ZAR 750 million on results (Corporate Guidance).TFG: Hold Downgrade And Reset P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Foschini Group, cutting the target to ZAR 93. They are now more cautious on the shares, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.TFG: Hold Downgrade And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Rebound
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Foschini Group from ZAR 119.99 to about ZAR 116.21, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, in line with a recent downgrade to Hold and a ZAR 93 price target from the Street. Analyst Commentary The recent downgrade to Hold and the ZAR 93 price target point to a more balanced view on Foschini Group, with analysts weighing both potential upside and key execution risks.TFG: Hold Downgrade And Guidance Reset Will Support Future Recovery
Analysts now see limited upside for Foschini Group, with the latest research pointing to a ZAR 93 price target and a Hold stance. This aligns with only very small tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.TFG: Digital And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Recovery From Cautious Downgrade
Analysts lowered their price target on Foschini Group to ZAR 93.00 from a higher prior level, reflecting a more cautious stance on the stock in light of recent valuation and risk reassessments. Analyst Commentary Analysts signaled a more neutral stance on Foschini Group following the revision to a Hold rating, highlighting a balance of supportive fundamentals and emerging risks around execution and macro headwinds.TFG: Digital Focus Will Support Long-Term Stability Despite Higher Perceived Risk
Narrative Update on Foschini Group Analysts have reduced their price target on Foschini Group to ZAR 93, reflecting a more cautious stance on the shares as updated discount rate assumptions point to slightly higher perceived risk in the company’s future cash flows. Analyst Commentary Analysts are adopting a more balanced stance on Foschini Group, with the latest move being a downgrade to Hold alongside the ZAR 93 price target.TFG: Digital Transformation Will Drive Long-Term Stability Despite Margin Pressures
Foschini Group's analyst price target has been lowered from R136.30 to R119.99. Analysts cite slower revenue growth expectations and a slightly higher discount rate in their updated outlook.TFG: Earnings Per Share Are Expected To Rebound In The Coming Year
Analysts have lowered their price target for Foschini Group from R150.40 to R136.30. This change reflects recent adjustments in profit margin forecasts and revenue growth expectations.Analysts Lower Foschini Group Price Target as Valuation and Growth Forecasts Ease
Analysts have lowered their price target for Foschini Group from R159.78 to R150.40. This change reflects a slightly softer outlook on revenue growth and profit margin expectations.
White Stuff Acquisition And Bash Platform Leverage Set Stage For Earnings Surge
Strategic investments and acquisitions are expected to increase market share, revenue, and profitability across multiple regions and product categories.The Foschini Group Limited's (JSE:TFG) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
Apr 13
Should You Think About Buying The Foschini Group Limited (JSE:TFG) Now?
Mar 29Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Foschini Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 25 | 61,548 | 2,935 | 28,643 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 59,910 | 3,062 | 27,659 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 58,271 | 3,189 | 26,674 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 56,978 | 3,083 | 26,052 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 55,685 | 2,977 | 25,430 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 55,953 | 3,004 | 25,143 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 56,221 | 3,031 | 24,855 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 55,458 | 2,910 | 24,383 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 54,695 | 2,790 | 23,911 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 53,236 | 2,908 | 23,336 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 51,778 | 3,026 | 22,761 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 49,810 | 3,196 | 21,736 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 47,843 | 3,366 | 20,711 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 45,607 | 3,138 | 19,800 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 43,370 | 2,910 | 18,890 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 41,406 | 831 | 18,801 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 39,442 | -1,247 | 18,713 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 36,196 | -1,554 | 17,803 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 32,950 | -1,862 | 16,893 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 31,924 | -117 | 16,210 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 30,898 | 1,627 | 15,527 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 33,111 | 2,036 | 16,187 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 35,323 | 2,444 | 16,847 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 35,233 | 2,574 | 16,815 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 35,144 | 2,704 | 16,782 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 34,622 | 2,672 | 16,564 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 34,101 | 2,640 | 16,346 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 33,078 | 2,610 | 18,502 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 32,055 | 2,570 | 17,667 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 30,287 | 2,488 | 15,723 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 28,520 | 2,407 | 13,779 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 26,515 | 2,361 | 10,654 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 24,511 | 2,315 | 7,529 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 24,030 | 2,333 | 7,263 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 23,549 | 2,351 | 6,998 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 23,155 | 2,289 | 6,854 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 22,762 | 2,226 | 6,709 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 21,935 | 2,191 | 6,456 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 21,108 | 2,156 | 6,202 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 19,825 | 1,922 | 5,897 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 18,542 | 1,688 | 5,593 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 17,314 | 1,593 | 5,263 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TFG has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TFG's current net profit margins (4.8%) are lower than last year (5.3%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TFG's earnings have grown significantly by 30.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TFG's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: TFG had negative earnings growth (-1.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Specialty Retail industry average (10.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: TFG's Return on Equity (11.6%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/02 19:07 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
The Foschini Group Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Darren Cohn | Absa Bank Limited |
| Victor Dima | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| Atiyyah Vawda | Avior Capital Markets |