Mr Price Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Mr Price Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.8% and 6.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24.1% in 3 years.

Key information

16.8%

Earnings growth rate

11.6%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	25.0%
Revenue growth rate	6.4%
Future return on equity	24.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	04 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP)

Dec 28

Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Nov 29

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Mr Price Group Limited's (JSE:MRP) P/E Ratio

Aug 04

Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ZAR4.47

Jul 02

Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Jun 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

JSE:MRP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ZAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
3/31/2026	42,381	4,637	4,496	5,987	6
3/31/2025	39,556	4,391	3,956	5,504	6
3/31/2024	37,024	3,531	4,332	5,898	6
9/30/2023	36,236	2,982	6,332	7,365	N/A
6/30/2023	34,452	3,049	5,717	6,653	N/A
4/1/2023	32,668	3,115	5,102	5,940	N/A
1/1/2023	30,661	3,307	4,370	5,144	N/A
10/1/2022	28,654	3,499	3,638	4,348	N/A
7/1/2022	28,260	3,423	3,883	4,578	N/A
4/2/2022	27,865	3,347	4,127	4,807	N/A
1/2/2022	26,851	3,191	3,657	4,302	N/A
10/2/2021	25,837	3,034	3,187	3,797	N/A
7/2/2021	24,195	2,845	3,751	4,282	N/A
4/3/2021	22,553	2,656	4,315	4,767	N/A
1/3/2021	21,898	2,488	4,540	4,968	N/A
9/26/2020	21,138	2,336	4,764	5,169	N/A
6/26/2020	21,923	2,532	4,955	5,415	N/A
3/28/2020	22,707	2,727	5,146	5,661	N/A
12/28/2019	22,693	2,761	4,728	5,227	N/A
9/28/2019	22,533	2,858	4,310	4,792	N/A
6/28/2019	22,434	2,934	3,372	3,825	N/A
3/30/2019	22,334	3,009	2,433	2,857	N/A
12/30/2018	22,123	2,972	2,728	3,156	N/A
9/29/2018	21,897	2,942	3,023	3,454	N/A
6/29/2018	21,541	2,862	3,032	3,478	N/A
3/31/2018	21,185	2,781	3,041	3,502	N/A
12/31/2017	20,722	2,631	2,593	3,129	N/A
9/30/2017	20,259	2,480	2,144	2,756	N/A
6/30/2017	19,969	2,372	N/A	2,665	N/A
4/1/2017	19,679	2,263	N/A	2,574	N/A
1/1/2017	19,875	2,377	N/A	2,267	N/A
10/1/2016	20,071	2,490	N/A	1,960	N/A
7/1/2016	19,997	2,568	N/A	1,934	N/A
4/2/2016	19,923	2,645	N/A	1,908	N/A
1/2/2016	19,345	2,547	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/26/2015	18,766	2,448	N/A	2,537	N/A
6/26/2015	18,389	2,371	N/A	2,401	N/A
3/28/2015	18,011	2,293	N/A	2,264	N/A
12/28/2014	17,448	2,168	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/27/2014	16,884	2,042	N/A	2,389	N/A
6/27/2014	16,357	1,955	N/A	2,626	N/A
3/29/2014	15,829	1,868	N/A	2,862	N/A
12/29/2013	15,273	1,772	N/A	2,485	N/A
9/28/2013	14,716	1,676	N/A	2,107	N/A
6/28/2013	14,230	1,605	N/A	1,769	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MRP's forecast earnings growth (16.8% per year) is above the savings rate (9.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MRP's earnings (16.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (15% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MRP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MRP's revenue (6.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (3.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MRP's revenue (6.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MRP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.1%)

Mr Price Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 12% to R192

Price target increased by 8.8% to R168

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Price target increased to R224

Price target increased to R210

Analysts update estimates

Recent updates

What Mr Price Group Limited's (JSE:MRP) P/E Is Not Telling You

Is There Now An Opportunity In Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP)?

Price target increased by 12% to R192

Here's Why Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

High number of new directors

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP)

Upcoming dividend of R2.84 per share at 4.9% yield

Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Mr. Price Group Limited Appoints Refilwe Nkabinde as Independent Non-Executive Director and Member of the Audit and Compliance Committee with Effect from 1 December 2023

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Price target increased by 8.8% to R168

Mr. Price Group Limited Declares Interim Gross Cash Dividend for the 26 Weeks Ended 30 September 2023, Payable on 18 December 2023

Honorary Chairman & Co-Founder recently bought R924k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Mr Price Group Limited's (JSE:MRP) P/E Ratio

Mr. Price Group Limited Announces Changes of Chief Financial Officer

Upcoming dividend of R4.47 per share at 5.3% yield

Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ZAR4.47

Mr Price Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Aug 30, 2023

Mr Price Group (JSE:MRP) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Full year 2023 earnings released

Mr. Price Group Limited Declares Final Cash Dividend for the 52 Weeks Ended 1 April 2023, Payable on 17 July 2023

Mr. Price Group Limited Announces Board and Committees Changes

Upcoming dividend of R3.13 per share

First half 2023 earnings released

Honorary Chairman & Co-Founder recently sold R20m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of R5.25 per share

Third quarter 2022 earnings released

Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP) entered into transaction agreements to acquire 70% of shares of Blue Falcon 188 Trading (Pty) Ltd from RMB Ventures Six (Pty) Ltd for South African Rand 3.3 billion.

Upcoming dividend of R2.82 per share

Key Executive recently sold R1.7m worth of stock

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

High number of new directors

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS R10.27 (vs R10.51 in FY 2020)

Upcoming dividend of R4.63 per share

Price target increased to R224

Fairtree Asset Management (Pty) Ltd acquired minority stake in Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP).

Price target increased to R210

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS R10.27 (vs R10.46 in FY 2020)

Mr. Price Group Limited Announces Final Gross Cash Dividend for the 53 Weeks Ended 3 April 2021, Payable on June 28, 2021

Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP) agreed to acquire Yuppiechef Online (Pty) Ltd for approximately ZAR 470 million.

Mr. Price Group Limited Announces Appointment of Jane Canny as Independent Non-Executive Director

New 90-day high: R183

Analysts update estimates

Analysts increase EPS estimates to R8.91

Price target raised to R161

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS R2.92

Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP) signed an agreement to acquire Power Fashion from Noel Otto and family.

New 90-day high: R169

Mr. Price Group Limited Announces Resignation of Brenda Niehaus as Independent Non-Executive Director and Member of the Risk and It Committee, Effective December 31, 2020

Market bids up stock over the past week

Mr Price Group Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Nov 26, 2020

New 90-day high: R140

Public Investment Corporation Limited acquired an additional stake in Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP).

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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