The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Mr Price Group Limited (JSE:MRP) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Mr Price Group
What Is Mr Price Group's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Mr Price Group had R72.0m of debt at March 2024, down from R89.0m a year prior. However, it does have R2.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of R2.74b.
A Look At Mr Price Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Mr Price Group had liabilities of R7.48b due within a year, and liabilities of R6.92b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of R2.82b and R2.77b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R8.81b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Mr Price Group has a market capitalization of R65.7b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Mr Price Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Fortunately, Mr Price Group grew its EBIT by 8.8% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mr Price Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Mr Price Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Mr Price Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
Although Mr Price Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of R2.74b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of R6.2b, being 104% of its EBIT. So is Mr Price Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Mr Price Group that you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:MRP
Mr Price Group
Operates as a fashion retailer serving women, men, and children in South Africa and internationally.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.