Stock Analysis

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At NiSource (NYSE:NI)

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating NiSource (NYSE:NI), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

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What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on NiSource is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.051 = US$1.1b ÷ (US$26b - US$3.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

Thus, NiSource has an ROCE of 5.1%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 4.7%.

Check out our latest analysis for NiSource

roce
NYSE:NI Return on Capital Employed February 11th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for NiSource compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Does the ROCE Trend For NiSource Tell Us?

In terms of NiSource's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 5.1% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 30% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

The Bottom Line On NiSource's ROCE

In conclusion, NiSource has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And with the stock having returned a mere 35% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.

One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with NiSource (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NiSource might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:NI

NiSource

An energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States.

Proven track record second-rate dividend payer.

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