NiSource Inc.

NYSE:NI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$22.8b

NiSource Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

NiSource is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.3% and 5.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.8% in 3 years.

Key information

10.3%

Earnings growth rate

8.31%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth11.9%
Revenue growth rate5.9%
Future return on equity8.77%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 02

NI: GenCo Agreements And Data Center Loads Will Support Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their price target on NiSource from $49.43 to $50.79. This reflects updated assumptions that include a higher projected revenue growth rate, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Apr 18

NI: Data Center Agreements And GenCo Framework Will Support Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have slightly lifted their price target for NiSource to $49.43 from $48.79, citing updated assumptions that combine a modestly higher revenue growth outlook with a small adjustment to expected profit margins and future P/E levels. What's in the News NiSource agreed a new long term energy supply contract with an Alphabet Inc.
Narrative Update • Apr 03

NI: Future Dividend And Updated P/E Assumptions Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts now put their average price target for NiSource at about $48.79, up slightly from roughly $48.54, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News The board declared a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.30 per share, scheduled for payment on February 20, 2026, to stockholders of record as of February 3, 2026 (company board announcement).
Narrative Update • Mar 20

NI: Future Dividend And Slightly Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have adjusted their price target for NiSource slightly higher to $48.54 from $48.08. This reflects updated views on its fair value and P/E assumptions while keeping other key inputs broadly consistent.
Narrative Update • Mar 06

NI: Future Dividend And Refined P/E Assumptions Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have nudged their price target for NiSource slightly higher to $48.08 from $47.85, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News The board of directors declared a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.30 per share for NiSource, scheduled to be paid on February 20, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 3, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Feb 19

NI: Future Dividend Increase And Refined P/E Assumptions Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on NiSource slightly to about $47.85 from $46.75, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News The board of directors declared a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.30 per share for NiSource.
Narrative Update • Feb 05

NI: Future Dividend Profile And P/E Assumptions Will Support Balanced Return Potential

Analysts have increased their price target for NiSource slightly to US$46.75 from about US$46.27, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News The board of directors declared a quarterly common stock dividend of US$0.30 per share for NiSource, scheduled to be paid on February 20, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 3, 2026 (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Jan 29

NiSource (NYSE:NI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

NiSource Inc. ( NYSE:NI ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 20th of February to...
Narrative Update • Jan 22

NI: At The Market Equity Issuance Will Support Balanced Future Return Potential

Analysts have made a marginal adjustment to their NiSource price target, trimming it by about $0.09 as they refresh their views on fair value, discount rate assumptions, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What's in the News NiSource filed a follow on equity offering for up to US$1.5b in common stock through an at the market program (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Jan 08

NI: At The Market Equity Program Will Support Future Return Potential

Analysts have made a small refinement to their price target for NiSource, keeping it effectively unchanged around US$46.36. They have slightly adjusted assumptions on the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the company’s steady outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 07

NiSource: Data Center Upside With Less Political Risk

Summary NiSource is rated a "Buy" due to its innovative GenCo structure, strong regulatory positioning, and robust capital program supporting data center growth. NI's $28 billion five-year capital plan, including $6-$7 billion for Amazon's data center, drives 11%-12% rate base growth and 8%-9% targeted EPS growth through 2033. The GenCo agreement isolates data center costs to Amazon, shields existing customers, and enhances political feasibility, positioning NI as a sector leader. I expect NI to deliver 11%-12% annual total returns, with a rising dividend and manageable equity needs, making it a core holding for income investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Dec 20

NI: Equity Expansion And GenCo Approval Will Drive Attractive Future Returns

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on NiSource by approximately $0.00 per share, reflecting slightly stronger long term revenue growth expectations that are only partially offset by a marginally lower projected profit margin and a small contraction in future valuation multiples. What's in the News Filed a new at the market follow-on equity offering for up to $1.5 billion in common stock, providing additional capital flexibility for growth initiatives and balance sheet support (company filing) Completed an $852.5 million follow-on equity offering of multiple tranches of common stock, including more than 24 million shares offered at a price of about $40.10 per share, expanding the equity base and supporting planned investments (company filing) Received Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission approval for the NIPSCO Generation LLC declination petition, enabling GenCo to own and develop generation assets targeted to data center and other large load customers while insulating existing NIPSCO retail customers from related costs (Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission decision) Outlined GenCo’s strategic pillars of prioritizing existing customers, supporting rapid growth in data center demand, strengthening financial stability, and maintaining flexibility to adapt to evolving energy markets in Northern Indiana (company statement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remained unchanged at approximately $46.36 per share, indicating no net impact from the updated assumptions.
Narrative Update • Dec 06

NI: Equity Offering And GenCo Approval Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on NiSource, increasing estimated fair value by about $0.56 per share to approximately $46.36. They cited expectations for slightly stronger profit margins that more than offset tempered revenue growth assumptions and a marginally higher forward earnings multiple.
Narrative Update • Nov 22

NI: Equity Offering And Regulatory Approval Will Shape Upcoming Performance

NiSource's analyst price target has been revised upwards from $45.30 to $45.80. Analysts cite improved profit margins and favorable discount rate adjustments as key drivers for the change.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

NI: Equity Offering And Regulatory Approval Will Shape Measured Outlook For Shares

Analysts have raised their price target for NiSource from $44.60 to $45.30 per share. They cite improved revenue growth expectations, despite slightly lower projected profit margins and a modest increase in the company's anticipated future price-to-earnings ratio.
Analysis Article • Oct 22

We Think NiSource (NYSE:NI) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Narrative Update • Oct 21

Analysts Lift NiSource Price Target After Regulatory Win and Updated Valuation Projections

Analysts have raised their price target for NiSource from $43.91 to $44.60. They cited revised fair value estimates based on updated financial projections.
Analysis Article • Aug 29

Return Trends At NiSource (NYSE:NI) Aren't Appealing

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article • Jul 31

Is Now The Time To Put NiSource (NYSE:NI) On Your Watchlist?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Analysis Article • Jul 15

A Look At The Fair Value Of NiSource Inc. (NYSE:NI)

Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, NiSource fair value estimate is US$35.80 Current share price of...
Analysis Article • Jun 25

NiSource (NYSE:NI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article • May 26

NiSource (NYSE:NI) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 25

NiSource: Positioned To Capitalize On The Next Wave Of Energy Demand

Summary NiSource is positioned for long-term growth with a projected 7% EPS growth rate through 2029, driven by increasing energy demand from AI, data centers, and natural gas usage. The company is investing $19 billion to modernize its grid and focus on cleaner energy, aiming for a 90% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030. NI offers stable cash flows, a strong financial profile, and a reasonable valuation, trading at a forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 11.87x, slightly above the sector median. With a solid execution team and regulatory support, NiSource is well-positioned to deliver value to shareholders and customers over the next 1–2 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 12

NiSource: Solid Guidance And Data Center Upside Make Shares Attractive

Summary NiSource Inc. shares have surged 50% due to AI-driven data center developments in Indiana, despite recent volatility from DeepSeek news and AI spending concerns. NiSource reported mixed Q4 results but raised 2025 guidance; strong operational performance with modest cost inflation and reduced net interest expense. Long-term growth potential driven by data center demand, with NIPSCO as the primary growth driver; capex program increased to $19.4 billion with further upside possible. NI stock could see a 9-11% total return, combining 6-8% EPS growth and a nearly 3% dividend yield, with potential upside beyond this from AI-related projects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 23

NiSource: Well-Positioned With Data Center Upside (Rating Upgrade)

Summary NiSource has outperformed expectations, gaining 45% in a year, driven by optimism around data center demand and strong financial performance. The company’s robust $19.3 billion capex plan aims to grow its rate base by 8-10% and EPS by 6-8% through 2029. NiSource’s strategic equity issuance and strong balance sheet minimize dilution, enhancing long-term returns, potentially reaching 11.5% with data center growth. Given the promising growth prospects and less material dilution, I recommend buying NiSource shares, expecting them to surpass $41 within a year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative • Aug 22

Renewable Energy Transition And Innovation Drive Growth Amid Challenges

NiSource's efficient capital deployment and focus on renewable energy align with growth in demand, promising enhanced revenue and shareholder returns.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 21

NiSource's Equity Issuance Reduces Upside (Rating Downgrade)

Summary NiSource stock has underperformed the market due to elevated interest rates affecting dividend-oriented and utility stocks. NiSource reported solid earnings growth in Q1, with operating income rising in both Columbia Gas and NIPSCO segments. The company plans to issue significant equity to fund growth projects, creating downside risk to EPS growth and dividend growth rates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 08

NiSource Inc.: While Slightly Undervalued, Higher For Longer May Bring A Deeper Discount

Summary NiSource is a holding company for two utilities: NIPSCO Gas & Electric in Indiana, and NiSource Gas Distribution Group in five eastern states. Shares are just slightly undervalued, but the 3.9% yield is not a strong incentive to buy. NiSource may reach a better entry point the longer interest rates remain elevated. NiSource operates in positive regulatory environments and is quickly transitioning towards renewable energy. EPS growth is 6.0-8.0%. Long-term, shares may be attractive to investors looking for diversification in smaller utilities east of the Mississippi. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20287,9601,239-2,0632,7554
12/31/20277,5261,112-2,1162,5464
12/31/20267,115998-2,3472,4694
3/31/20266,822963-1,2062,118N/A
12/31/20256,642927-7942,362N/A
9/30/20256,327894-5352,190N/A
6/30/20256,130885-6582,062N/A
3/31/20255,932868-6792,012N/A
12/31/20245,455738-8611,782N/A
9/30/20245,289740-9731,641N/A
6/30/20245,240732-1,0571,646N/A
3/31/20245,246686-9701,708N/A
12/31/20235,505661-7111,935N/A
9/30/20235,788667-6571,909N/A
6/30/20235,850642-7551,693N/A
3/31/20235,943655-7971,513N/A
12/31/20225,851749-7941,409N/A
9/30/20225,555670-7531,315N/A
6/30/20225,425668-5351,422N/A
3/31/20225,227661-5721,349N/A
12/31/20214,900530-6201,218N/A
9/30/20214,702448-5741,185N/A
6/30/20214,645212-6381,099N/A
3/31/20214,622147-4911,182N/A
12/31/20204,682-73-6541,104N/A
9/30/20204,868-296-5741,210N/A
6/30/20204,897-117-4131,365N/A
3/31/20204,945185-3471,554N/A
12/31/20195,209328N/A1,583N/A
9/30/20195,273461N/A845N/A
6/30/20195,237123N/A657N/A
3/31/20195,234-137N/A551N/A
12/31/20185,115-66N/A540N/A
9/30/20185,021-98N/A1,140N/A
6/30/20185,043261N/A900N/A
3/31/20185,027193N/A719N/A
12/31/20174,875129N/A742N/A
9/30/20174,803270N/A801N/A
6/30/20174,748279N/A968N/A
3/31/20174,655353N/A912N/A
12/31/20164,493332N/A803N/A
9/30/20164,293304N/A795N/A
6/30/20164,249295N/A828N/A
3/31/20164,236184N/A1,155N/A
12/31/20154,652183N/A1,457N/A
9/30/20154,947198N/A1,627N/A
6/30/20154,968166N/A1,784N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NI's forecast earnings growth (10.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: NI's earnings (10.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NI's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NI's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 10:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NiSource Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Daniel FordBarclays
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays