Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise XPO, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPO) Earnings

NYSE:XPO
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XPO, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 44.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

XPO certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for XPO

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:XPO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 7th 2025
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on XPO will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is XPO's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like XPO's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 102% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 288% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why XPO is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of XPO's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for XPO that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of XPO's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:XPO

XPO

Provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Solid track record with moderate growth potential.

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