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XPO Logistics

NYSE:XPO
Snowflake Description

Fair value with acceptable track record.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
XPO
NYSE
$7B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Transportation
Company description

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides transportation and logistics services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The last earnings update was 69 days ago. More info.


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  • XPO Logistics has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
XPO Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
3.3%
NYSE:XPO
0.1%
US Logistics
-0.1%
US Market
1 Year Returns
-32%
NYSE:XPO
-5%
US Logistics
7.6%
US Market
XPO Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
XPO Logistics (XPO) 3.3% 34.9% 10.1% -32% 105.2% 147.1%
US Logistics 0.1% 9% 10.8% -5% 17.4% 33.3%
US Market -0.1% 3.7% 10.2% 7.6% 38.1% 46.4%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • XPO underperformed the Logistics industry which returned -5% over the past year.
  • XPO underperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 7.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
XPO
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is XPO Logistics undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of XPO Logistics to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for XPO Logistics.

NYSE:XPO Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 10.8%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for NYSE:XPO
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Logistics Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 1.04
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 1.037 (1 + (1- 21%) (59.41%))
1.351
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
1.35
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (1.351 * 5.96%)
10.78%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NYSE:XPO using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for XPO Logistics is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

NYSE:XPO DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 10.78%)
2019 601.20 Analyst x9 542.68
2020 822.63 Analyst x7 670.29
2021 827.00 Analyst x2 608.26
2022 1,159.00 Analyst x1 769.48
2023 1,185.00 Analyst x1 710.17
2024 1,213.12 Est @ 2.37% 656.26
2025 1,243.21 Est @ 2.48% 607.07
2026 1,274.97 Est @ 2.56% 561.99
2027 1,308.21 Est @ 2.61% 520.52
2028 1,342.81 Est @ 2.64% 482.28
Present value of next 10 years cash flows $6,128.98
NYSE:XPO DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2028 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $1,342.81 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (10.78% – 2.73%)
$17,130.61
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $17,130.61 ÷ (1 + 10.78%)10
$6,152.56
NYSE:XPO Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $6,128.98 + $6,152.56
$12,281.54
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $12,281.54 / 109.19
$112.47
NYSE:XPO Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (USD) From above. $112.47
Current discount Discount to share price of $67.05
= -1 x ($67.05 - $112.47) / $112.47
40.4%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price XPO Logistics is available for.
Intrinsic value
40%
Share price is $67.05 vs Future cash flow value of $112.47
Current Discount Checks
For XPO Logistics to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • XPO Logistics's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
  • XPO Logistics's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for XPO Logistics's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are XPO Logistics's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-12-31) in USD $3.17
NYSE:XPO Share Price ** NYSE (2019-04-23) in USD $67.05
United States of America Logistics Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 14 Publicly-Listed Logistics Companies 20.77x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,080 Publicly-Listed Companies 18.03x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of XPO Logistics.

NYSE:XPO PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NYSE:XPO Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 67.05 ÷ 3.17

21.15x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • XPO Logistics is overvalued based on earnings compared to the US Logistics industry average.
  • XPO Logistics is overvalued based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does XPO Logistics's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 21.15x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 17 Analysts
12.7%per year
United States of America Logistics Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 12 Publicly-Listed Logistics Companies 1.68x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,109 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.55x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

NYSE:XPO PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 21.15x ÷ 12.7%

1.66x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • XPO Logistics is poor value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on XPO Logistics's assets?
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-12-31) in USD $30.55
NYSE:XPO Share Price * NYSE (2019-04-23) in USD $67.05
United States of America Logistics Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 16 Publicly-Listed Logistics Companies 2.91x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,185 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.92x
NYSE:XPO PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NYSE:XPO Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 67.05 ÷ 30.55

2.19x

* Primary Listing of XPO Logistics.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • XPO Logistics is good value based on assets compared to the US Logistics industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess XPO Logistics's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Logistics industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Logistics industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. XPO Logistics has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is XPO Logistics expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 17 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
12.7%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is XPO Logistics expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • XPO Logistics's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • XPO Logistics's earnings growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
  • XPO Logistics's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
NYSE:XPO Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 17 Analysts 12.7%
NYSE:XPO Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 17 Analysts 4.7%
United States of America Logistics Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 11.6%
United States of America Logistics Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 6.2%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.5%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.1%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
NYSE:XPO Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31 22,329 1
2022-12-31 21,313 1,799 722 1
2021-12-31 20,003 1,664 607 4
2020-12-31 18,869 1,244 478 17
2019-12-31 17,862 1,048 397 16
NYSE:XPO Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-12-31 17,279 1,102 390
2018-09-30 17,084 815 493
2018-06-30 16,636 821 450
2018-03-31 16,033 764 360
2017-12-31 15,381 785 312
2017-09-30 14,864 740 152
2017-06-30 14,690 584 108
2017-03-31 14,613 634 103
2016-12-31 14,619 622 63
2016-09-30 14,285 456 -27
2016-06-30 12,933 382 -134
2016-03-31 10,466 50 -251

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • XPO Logistics's earnings are expected to grow by 12.7% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • XPO Logistics's revenue is expected to grow by 4.7% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from XPO Logistics Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:XPO Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31
2022-12-31 6.67 6.67 6.67 1.00
2021-12-31 5.90 6.77 5.46 3.00
2020-12-31 4.29 5.62 3.64 13.00
2019-12-31 3.35 4.27 3.00 13.00
NYSE:XPO Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2018-12-31 3.17
2018-09-30 4.06
2018-06-30 3.77
2018-03-31 3.07
2017-12-31 2.71
2017-09-30 1.35
2017-06-30 0.97
2017-03-31 0.93
2016-12-31 0.57
2016-09-30 -0.24
2016-06-30 -1.25
2016-03-31 -2.50

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • XPO Logistics is expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess XPO Logistics's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
XPO Logistics has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has XPO Logistics performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare XPO Logistics's growth in the last year to its industry (Logistics).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • XPO Logistics has delivered over 20% year on year earnings growth in the past 5 years.
  • XPO Logistics's 1-year earnings growth is less than its 5-year average (25% vs 64.4%)
  • XPO Logistics's earnings growth has exceeded the US Logistics industry average in the past year (25% vs 22.8%).
Earnings and Revenue History
XPO Logistics's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from XPO Logistics Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:XPO Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-12-31 17,279.00 390.00 1,745.00
2018-09-30 17,084.00 493.10 1,770.10
2018-06-30 16,636.00 449.70 1,747.20
2018-03-31 16,032.80 359.80 1,705.00
2017-12-31 15,381.00 312.00 1,619.00
2017-09-30 14,863.50 151.80 1,610.10
2017-06-30 14,690.20 108.20 1,623.50
2017-03-31 14,613.20 103.20 1,620.90
2016-12-31 14,619.00 63.00 1,628.00
2016-09-30 14,285.00 -26.60 1,719.40
2016-06-30 12,933.30 -133.60 1,618.90
2016-03-31 10,465.90 -251.10 1,429.60
2015-12-31 7,623.20 -245.90 1,113.40
2015-09-30 5,111.70 -235.00 731.60
2015-06-30 3,412.10 -154.10 554.80
2015-03-31 2,777.20 -93.70 437.40
2014-12-31 2,356.60 -107.40 422.50
2014-09-30 1,783.13 -67.24 321.34
2014-06-30 1,314.61 -61.71 263.52
2014-03-31 870.70 -65.31 194.07
2013-12-31 702.30 -51.50 169.50
2013-09-30 553.57 -50.22 129.22
2013-06-30 430.58 -47.35 99.67
2013-03-31 348.03 -35.18 77.78
2012-12-31 278.60 -23.30 68.80
2012-09-30 214.17 -15.48 50.04
2012-06-30 190.57 -55.98 39.00

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • XPO Logistics has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
  • XPO Logistics used its assets less efficiently than the US Logistics industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • XPO Logistics has become profitable over the past 3 years. This is considered to be a significant improvement in its use of capital (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess XPO Logistics's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Logistics industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
XPO Logistics has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is XPO Logistics's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up XPO Logistics's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • XPO Logistics is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • XPO Logistics's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of XPO Logistics's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is not covered by short term assets, assets are 0.8x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from XPO Logistics Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago.

NYSE:XPO Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-12-31 3,970.00 4,350.00 502.00
2018-09-30 4,589.80 4,203.20 427.90
2018-06-30 4,139.70 4,611.00 361.40
2018-03-31 4,104.90 4,906.40 380.00
2017-12-31 4,010.00 4,668.00 397.00
2017-09-30 3,698.40 4,746.00 473.10
2017-06-30 3,249.80 4,934.20 291.40
2017-03-31 3,087.90 4,956.10 342.00
2016-12-31 3,037.60 4,877.20 373.40
2016-09-30 3,075.90 5,447.10 360.30
2016-06-30 3,077.20 5,483.10 377.80
2016-03-31 3,081.60 5,606.60 279.00
2015-12-31 3,060.80 5,437.40 289.80
2015-09-30 3,139.80 3,566.30 1,285.30
2015-06-30 3,491.60 3,812.80 1,175.80
2015-03-31 1,678.40 981.10 1,034.30
2014-12-31 1,655.10 582.10 644.10
2014-09-30 1,652.49 605.48 680.10
2014-06-30 950.75 103.12 111.62
2014-03-31 964.78 102.09 143.89
2013-12-31 455.90 183.70 21.50
2013-09-30 456.75 113.90 67.26
2013-06-30 216.83 112.81 178.16
2013-03-31 233.40 111.63 206.18
2012-12-31 245.06 109.45 252.29
2012-09-30 252.74 93.85 296.50
2012-06-30 238.35 0.13 190.71
  • XPO Logistics's level of debt (109.6%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (39.6% vs 109.6% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (25.3%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 3.7x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess XPO Logistics's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. XPO Logistics has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is XPO Logistics's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
0%
Current annual income from XPO Logistics dividends. Estimated to be 0.01% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of XPO Logistics shares you are expected to receive $0 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Unable to evaluate XPO Logistics's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to evaluate XPO Logistics's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
NYSE:XPO Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Logistics Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 6 Stocks 2.4%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 2008 Stocks 2.4%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.4%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.6%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

NYSE:XPO Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31
2022-12-31
2021-12-31 0.00 3.00
2020-12-31 0.01 5.00
2019-12-31 0.01 5.00

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as XPO Logistics has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to verify if XPO Logistics's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of XPO Logistics's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as XPO Logistics has not reported any payouts.
Future Payout to shareholders
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of XPO Logistics's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for United States of America.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess XPO Logistics's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can XPO Logistics afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. XPO Logistics has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of XPO Logistics's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Bradley Jacobs
COMPENSATION $1,384,021
AGE 61
TENURE AS CEO 7.6 years
CEO Bio

Mr. Bradley S. Jacobs has been the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of XPO Logistics, Inc., since September 2, 2011. Mr. Jacobs has been President of the Supervisory Board at XPO Logistics Europe SA since June 8, 2015. He serves as Managing Member and Managing Director of Jacobs Private Equity LLC. He has led two public companies: United Rentals, Inc., which he co-founded in 1997 and United Waste Systems, Inc., founded in 1989. He served as the Chief Executive Officer of United Rentals (North America), Inc. He was Consultant of United Rentals (North America), Inc. since December 15, 2003. He served as Chief Executive Officer at United Rentals Inc. from its formation September 1997 to December 20, 2003. As chief executive officer from 1997 through 2003, Mr. Jacobs oversaw all operations and led the team that integrated more than 250 acquisitions, including US Rentals. He founded United Waste Systems, Inc. and served as its Chairman and Chief Executive Officer from its inception in July 1989 to August 1997. During his eight years as Chairman and Chief executive officer, he built United Waste Systems into the fifth largest solid waste management business in North America. Mr. Jacobs has been a Director of XPO Logistics, Inc. since September 2, 2011. He founded Hamilton Resources (UK) Ltd. From 1984 to July 1989, Mr. Jacobs served as Chairman and Chief Operating Officer at Hamilton Resources Ltd. During that time, he grew United Waste Systems to annual revenues of approximately $1 billion through the execution of contracts with oil companies and oil-producing countries. In 1979, Mr. Jacobs co-founded Amerex Oil Associates, Inc. and served as its Chief Executive Officer till 1983. Mr. Jacobs led the team that grew Amerex from a concept into one of the world's largest oil brokerage firms, with an annual gross contract volume of approximately $4.7 billion. He oversaw all aspects of the business, including brokerage activities for refined petroleum products, residual fuels and energy futures and personally directed all brokerage operations for international and domestic crude oil. He serves as the Chairman of Supervisory Board at Norbert Dentressangle S.A. He served as the Chairman at United Rentals (North America), Inc. He served as Chairman and Director of United Rentals Inc. from November 1997 to August 31, 2007. As Chairman of United Rentals from 1997 through 2007, Mr. Jacobs helped the United Rentals attain $3.9 billion in revenues, with more than 700 branch locations, 13,000 employees and a ranking as the 536th largest public corporation in America by Fortune magazine. During his Chairmanship, United Rentals stock outperformed the S&P 500 Index by 2.2 times. He has been a Director of XPO Intermodal, Inc. since March 31, 2014. He has been a Director of Pacer International, Inc. since March 31, 2014. He has been a Director of XPO Logistics Inc. since September 2, 2011. He is a member of the board of directors of the Beck Institute for Cognitive Behavior Therapy. He served as a Director of United Waste Systems Inc. since July 1989. He served as a Director of United Rentals (North America), Inc. since September 1997. Since 1979, he has founded and led four highly successful companies, including two multi-billion dollar, publicly traded corporations, which he built as cohesive organizations of critical mass with an intense focus on customer service. In the process, he has led teams that completed approximately 250 cold-starts and 500 acquisitions, including the purchase and integration of multi-billion dollar public companies in North America and Europe. Since 1992, Mr. Jacobs has been instrumental in raising more than $7 billion of debt and equity capital over the course of his career, including two IPOs. He maintains strong relationships with leading investment banks and buy-side institutions. Mr. Jacobs is an inductee of the American Rental Association Hall of Fame. Mr. Jacobs is listed among the Best CEOs of the 2016 All-America Executive Team; and is American Shipper's 2015 Person of the Year.

CEO Compensation
  • Bradley's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
  • Bradley's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the XPO Logistics management team in years:

3
Average Tenure
48
Average Age
  • The tenure for the XPO Logistics management team is about average.
Management Team

Bradley Jacobs

TITLE
Chairman & CEO
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
61
TENURE
7.6 yrs

Troy Cooper

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
48
TENURE
1 yrs

Mario Harik

TITLE
Chief Information Officer
COMPENSATION
$924K
AGE
37
TENURE
7.4 yrs

Sarah Glickman

TITLE
Acting Chief Financial Officer
AGE
48
TENURE
0.7 yrs

Patterson Mark

TITLE
Chief Financial Officer

Lance Robinson

TITLE
Chief Accounting Officer
TENURE
3.5 yrs

Tavio Headley

TITLE
Senior Director of Investor Relations
AGE
40
TENURE
5.6 yrs

Karlis Kirsis

TITLE
Senior VP & Corporate Counsel

Erin Kurtz

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Communications
TENURE
2.4 yrs

Michele Chapman

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Global Sales Operations
TENURE
1.3 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the XPO Logistics board of directors in years:

5.3
Average Tenure
57
Average Age
  • The tenure for the XPO Logistics board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Bradley Jacobs

TITLE
Chairman & CEO
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
61
TENURE
7.6 yrs

AnnaMaria DeSalva

TITLE
Vice Chairman of the Board
COMPENSATION
$71K
AGE
49
TENURE
0.2 yrs

Adrian Kingshott

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$263K
AGE
58
TENURE
7.6 yrs

Jason Papastavrou

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$263K
AGE
55
TENURE
7.6 yrs

Oren Shaffer

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$273K
AGE
76
TENURE
7.6 yrs

Michael Jesselson

TITLE
Lead Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$273K
AGE
66
TENURE
3.1 yrs

Gena Ashe

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$263K
AGE
56
TENURE
3.1 yrs

Marlene Colucci

TITLE
Independent Director
AGE
55
TENURE
0.2 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
X
Management checks
We assess XPO Logistics's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. XPO Logistics has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

XPO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:XPO): Is It A Smart Long Term Opportunity?

Looking at XPO Logistics, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPO) earnings update in September 2018,. … as a 11% rise in profits is expected in the upcoming year, … the higher past 5-year average growth rate of 62%

Simply Wall St -

Is XPO Logistics, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPO) Balance Sheet Strong Enough To Weather A Storm?

Small-caps and large-caps are wildly popular among investors, however, mid-cap stocks, such as XPO Logistics, Inc. … Despite this, the two other categories have lagged behind the risk-adjusted returns of commonly ignored mid-cap stocks. … This article will examine XPO’s financial liquidity and debt levels to get an idea of whether the company can deal with cyclical downturns and maintain funds to accommodate strategic spending for future growth.

Simply Wall St -

Here's What XPO Logistics Inc's (NYSE:XPO) P/E Ratio Is Telling Us

The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). … We'll look at XPO Logistics Inc's (NYSE:XPO) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. … Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Simply Wall St -

Should XPO Logistics Inc (NYSE:XPO) Focus On Improving This Fundamental Metric?

This article is for those who would like to learn about Return On Equity (ROE). … One way to conceptualize this, is that for each $1 of shareholders' equity it has, the company made $0.12 in profit. … Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders' Equity

Simply Wall St -

XPO Logistics Inc (NYSE:XPO): Is Growth Priced In?

Growth expectations for XPO Logistics Inc (NYSE:XPO) are high, but many investors are starting to ask whether its last close at $88.02 can still be rationalized by the future potential. … View our latest analysis for XPO Logistics? … The excitement around XPO Logistics's growth potential is not unfounded

Simply Wall St -

How Much is XPO Logistics Inc's (NYSE:XPO) CEO Getting Paid?

This report will, first, examine the CEO compensation levels in comparison to CEO compensation at other big companies. … How Does Bradley Jacobs's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies. … When we examined a group of companies with market caps over US$8.0b, we found that their median CEO compensation was US$11m.

Simply Wall St -

What Investors Should Know About XPO Logistics Inc's (NYSE:XPO) Financial Strength

the key to their continued success lies in its financial health. … This article will examine XPO Logistics’s financial liquidity and debt levels to get an idea of whether the company can deal with cyclical downturns and maintain funds to accommodate strategic spending for future growth. … Note that this information is centred entirely on financial health and is a high-level overview, so I encourage you to look further

Simply Wall St -

With An ROE Of 10.10%, Has XPO Logistics Inc's (NYSE:XPO) Management Done Well?

and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today's market. … XPO Logistics Inc (NYSE:XPO) performed in line with its air freight and logistics industry on the basis of its ROE – producing a return of 10.10% relative to the peer average of 11.75% over the past 12 months. … View our latest analysis for XPO Logistics

Simply Wall St -

XPO Logistics Inc (NYSE:XPO): Is Growth Priced In?

XPO Logistics Inc (NYSE:XPO) is considered a high-growth stock, but its last closing price of $99.07 left some investors wondering if this high future earnings potential can be rationalized by its current price tag. … Let’s look into this by assessing XPO's expected growth over the next few years. … XPO Logistics is poised for extremely high earnings growth in the near future

Simply Wall St -

Have Investors Priced In XPO Logistics Inc's (NYSE:XPO) Growth?

received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to $114.18 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $93.59. … A question to answer is whether XPO Logistics's current trading price of $98.94 reflective of the actual value of the? … Let’s take a look at XPO Logistics’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change

Simply Wall St -

Company Info

Description

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides transportation and logistics services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The company’s Transportation segment offers freight brokerage services comprising truck brokerage, intermodal, drayage, and expedite services; last mile services, primarily asset-light; density and day-definite regional, inter-regional, and transcontinental less-than-truckload freight services; full truckload services for transactional transportation of packaged goods, high cube products, and bulk goods; logistics services for domestic, cross-border, and international shipments; and managed transportation services. Its Logistics segment offers a range of contract logistics services, including value-added warehousing and distribution, e-commerce fulfillment, cold chain solutions, reverse logistics, packaging and labeling, factory support, aftermarket support, inventory management and personalization services; and engineered and customized solutions and supply chain optimization services; The company offers its services to customers in various industries, such as retail, e-commerce, food and beverage, consumer packaged goods. XPO Logistics, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Details
Name: XPO Logistics, Inc.
XPO
Exchange: NYSE
Founded: 1996
$7,321,522,738
109,194,970
Website: http://www.xpo.com
Address: XPO Logistics, Inc.
Five American Lane,
Greenwich,
Connecticut, 06831,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NYSE XPO Common Stock New York Stock Exchange US USD 26. Jul 2002
DB UX2A Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 26. Jul 2002
LSE 0M1O Common Stock London Stock Exchange GB USD 26. Jul 2002
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
100,000
XPO Logistics employees.
Industry
Air Freight and Logistics
Transportation
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/04/24 00:02
End of day share price update: 2019/04/23 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/04/18
Last earnings filing: 2019/02/14
Last earnings reported: 2018/12/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.