Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At RXO, Inc. (NYSE:RXO) Hampers Share Price

NYSE:RXO
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RXO, Inc.'s (NYSE:RXO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Transportation industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.4x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for RXO

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:RXO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024

What Does RXO's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, RXO's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on RXO will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as RXO's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 17% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.2% each year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.9% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that RXO's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On RXO's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that RXO maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with RXO (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on RXO, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether RXO is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.