RXO (RXO) Stock Overview
Engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
RXO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
RXO, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$21.67 |
| 52 Week High | US$29.90 |
| 52 Week Low | US$10.43 |
| Beta | 1.99 |
| 1 Month Change | -26.04% |
| 3 Month Change | -11.08% |
| 1 Year Change | 47.42% |
| 3 Year Change | 13.16% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | 3.19% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07
RXO Still Unable To Capture Upcycle Economics, And Now At 20x Cycle-Average Earnings
Summary RXO, Inc. delivered strong Q2 '26 revenue growth, but profits and margins failed to improve, with gross profit declining and adjusted EBITDA flat. Most revenue gains stemmed from higher freight rates and fuel prices, not underlying business economics, while working capital needs and leverage increased. Management targets mid-single-digit EBITDA margins through the cycle, but current valuation implies ~20x normalized earnings, even under optimistic scenarios. I maintain a Hold rating on RXO, citing unattractive risk/reward for a cyclical business with low returns on capital and persistent margin pressures. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 29
RXO: Freight Cycle Turn Will Expose Mounting Legal And Claims Risk
The updated RXO analyst price target now aligns with a fair value estimate of $13.78. Analysts attribute the shift to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Jul 15
RXO: Tightening Truckload Cycle Will Drive Freight Brokerage Upside Potential
Analysts have raised the RXO fair value estimate to $35.00 from $29.00. The revised estimate reflects updated views that sector forecasts, tighter truckload capacity, and improving freight demand support higher revenue growth assumptions, even as margin expectations and the implied future P/E move lower.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07
RXO Still Unable To Capture Upcycle Economics, And Now At 20x Cycle-Average Earnings
Summary RXO, Inc. delivered strong Q2 '26 revenue growth, but profits and margins failed to improve, with gross profit declining and adjusted EBITDA flat. Most revenue gains stemmed from higher freight rates and fuel prices, not underlying business economics, while working capital needs and leverage increased. Management targets mid-single-digit EBITDA margins through the cycle, but current valuation implies ~20x normalized earnings, even under optimistic scenarios. I maintain a Hold rating on RXO, citing unattractive risk/reward for a cyclical business with low returns on capital and persistent margin pressures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 29
RXO: Freight Cycle Turn Will Expose Mounting Legal And Claims Risk
The updated RXO analyst price target now aligns with a fair value estimate of $13.78. Analysts attribute the shift to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jul 15
RXO: Tightening Truckload Cycle Will Drive Freight Brokerage Upside Potential
Analysts have raised the RXO fair value estimate to $35.00 from $29.00. The revised estimate reflects updated views that sector forecasts, tighter truckload capacity, and improving freight demand support higher revenue growth assumptions, even as margin expectations and the implied future P/E move lower.Narrative Update • Jul 01
RXO: Freight Upcycle And Capacity Tightness Will Shape Balanced Recovery Prospects
Analysts have lifted the RXO fair value estimate to $29.00 from $26.00, citing updated price targets and research that point to firmer freight demand expectations, tighter capacity, and volume-driven margin support. Analyst Commentary Recent research on RXO points to a cluster of higher fair value estimates and price targets, with several bullish analysts citing firmer freight demand expectations, tighter capacity, and room for margin support.Analysis Article • Jun 20
RXO (RXO) Stock Could Be 18% Overvalued After A Trucking Sector Sell Off
RXO (RXO) shares recently moved after a sector wide sell off in trucking stocks, as investors reassessed near term freight demand and operating conditions across logistics rather than reacting to company specific news. See our latest analysis for RXO. At a share price of $25.39, RXO has seen a 1 day share price return of 2.3% following the sector sell off. However, a 7 day share price return that is down 10.4% contrasts with a 90 day share price return of 91.9% and a 1 year total shareholder...
Narrative Update • Jun 17
RXO: Credit Concerns Will Restrain Stock Despite Truckload Recovery Signs
RXO's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $15.85 to $21.53. Analysts attribute this change to updated views that cite stronger expected volume and gross margin trends, along with improving brokerage fundamentals and margin discipline.Narrative Update • Jun 03
RXO: Freight Turn And Pricing Discipline Will Shape Balanced Recovery Outlook
RXO's analyst price target has been revised higher to $26.00, as analysts point to a more supportive setup in brokerage fundamentals, improving margin expectations, and a slightly lower discount rate in their models, despite some mixed recent rating actions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a more constructive setup for RXO, even as some mixed rating actions remain in the background.Narrative Update • May 08
RXO: Freight Market Turn And New Services Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted the RXO price target from $20.00 to about $25.50, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profitability, and a higher future P/E multiple informed by recent Street research revisions across both upgrades and downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around RXO reflects a mix of higher and lower price targets, along with at least one downgrade, but the broad pattern shows several bullish analysts lifting their valuation work as new data points come in.Narrative Update • Apr 23
RXO: Freight Turn Will Expose Growing Credit Strain And Execution Risk
Analysts have modestly adjusted RXO's target higher by $2 to $17, reflecting updated views on improving truckload spot rates, tighter regulatory enforcement, and early signs of stronger freight demand later this year. Analyst Commentary Across recent research updates, price target moves on RXO have been mixed, with some firms lifting targets while others have trimmed them by $1 to $2.Narrative Update • Apr 08
RXO: Mixed Truckload Recovery And Credit Concerns Will Shape EPS Normalization
RXO's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting a modest reduction of fair value to about $15.85 as analysts weigh mixed recent target revisions alongside evolving views on revenue growth, margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around RXO reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions as they reassess the trucking and logistics setup, regulatory trends and valuation multiples.Narrative Update • Mar 25
RXO: Supply Side Recovery Will Expose Credit Strain And Execution Risk
RXO's analyst price targets have seen mixed adjustments, with some firms trimming and others lifting their views by $1 to $2, as analysts weigh tighter trucking capacity, higher spot rates, and early signs of a potential truckload recovery against nearer term seasonal and regulatory uncertainties. Analyst Commentary Recent research on RXO shows a split view, with some firms lifting targets modestly and others trimming them by $1 to $2.Narrative Update • Mar 09
RXO: Supply Side Recovery And Credit Strain Will Limit Future Upside
Analysts have raised their RXO price targets to a range of roughly $11 to $17, citing tighter truckload capacity, improving spot rates, and early indications that contract renewals and regulatory enforcement could support a healthier freight environment over the next couple of years. Analyst Commentary Street research on RXO has shifted into a fairly tight band of expectations, with price targets clustering in the low to mid teens.Narrative Update • Feb 23
RXO: Credit Strain And 2026 Capacity Uncertainty Will Limit Upside Potential
The analyst fair value estimate for RXO has moved from $11.00 to $12.00, as analysts weigh a mixed set of price target changes alongside updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Street research on RXO reflects a split view, with several firms lifting price targets while others trim expectations and flag execution and growth risks.Analysis Article • Feb 12
RXO, Inc. (NYSE:RXO) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Shareholders might have noticed that RXO, Inc. ( NYSE:RXO ) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early...Narrative Update • Feb 09
RXO: AI Execution And Capacity Tightness Will Shape Balanced EPS Normalization Prospects
RXO Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for RXO edges up from about US$15.50 to roughly US$15.89. Analysts factor in modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a lower future P/E multiple, informed by recent mixed target revisions across major firms.Analysis Article • Feb 05
RXO, Inc.'s (NYSE:RXO) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 29%
RXO, Inc. ( NYSE:RXO ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month...Narrative Update • Jan 25
RXO: AI And Tightening Capacity Will Shape Balanced EPS Recovery Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on RXO slightly, with the model fair value moving from about US$15.65 to US$15.50. This reflects mixed Q3 results, revised 2026 earnings assumptions, and differing views on how tightening truckload capacity could support the business over time.Narrative Update • Jan 11
RXO: AI Execution Concerns Will Restrain Benefit From 2026 Capacity Tightening
Analysts have nudged their blended price expectations for RXO higher, with our fair value estimate moving from US$10.47 to US$11.00. Recent target changes reflect cautious optimism around capacity tightening, potential truckload recovery into 2026, and the company’s AI execution, tempered by softer recent results and guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 26
RXO: AI Execution Will Drive EPS Recovery Despite Short Seller Pressure
Analysts have nudged their average price target on RXO slightly higher to approximately $15.65 from about $15.59, citing expectations that the company can leverage its emerging AI capabilities and cost discipline to support at least $1 of normalized EPS over time, despite near term margin pressure and reduced earnings forecasts. Analyst Commentary Street research on RXO reflects a wide range of views, with bullish analysts emphasizing the company’s AI roadmap and earnings power over the cycle, while bearish analysts focus on weaker recent results and compressed profitability in the current freight backdrop.Narrative Update • Dec 11
RXO: AI Brokerage Execution Will Shape Earnings Recovery Amid Heightened Short Seller Scrutiny
The Street narrative on RXO has shifted mildly as analysts trim near term earnings expectations and price targets, while the blended analyst fair value estimate remains effectively unchanged at about $15.59. This comes despite a mix of cuts to the low teens and select upward revisions into the low $20s, reflecting confidence in the company’s AI enabled brokerage strategy.Narrative Update • Nov 27
RXO: Artificial Intelligence Deployment Will Drive Industry Leadership and Earnings Recovery
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for RXO, lowering it by $0.08 to $15.59. They cite ongoing margin pressures and cautious financial outlooks following recent quarterly results.Analysis Article • Nov 12
RXO, Inc. (NYSE:RXO) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 27% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
RXO, Inc. ( NYSE:RXO ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share...Narrative Update • Nov 10
RXO: Freight Market Stabilization Will Drive Improving Operational Performance Ahead
Analysts have lowered their price target for RXO from $16.78 to $15.67 per share. They cite disappointing quarterly results, weaker forward guidance, and ongoing headwinds in the freight and logistics market as key drivers of the downward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 25
Freight Market Stabilization Will Lead To Opportunities Amid Evolving E-Commerce Trends
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for RXO, citing improved revenue growth projections and stabilizing market conditions. Updated targets now range up by $2 to $22.Narrative Update • Oct 11
Digital Freight Matching And E-Commerce Trends Will Reshape Logistics
Analysts have raised their price target for RXO to $17 from $15. This change reflects expectations of a slightly higher fair value, even though there is a more cautious outlook on revenue growth and margins.Analysis Article • Jun 24
We Think RXO (NYSE:RXO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...New Narrative • May 26
Digital Brokerage Platform Will Unlock Network Effects
Tech-enabled integration and digital platform expansion are improving productivity, margins, and earnings growth while unlocking operating synergies and network effects.Analysis Article • May 20
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From RXO, Inc.'s (NYSE:RXO) 27% Share Price Climb
RXO, Inc. ( NYSE:RXO ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month...Analysis Article • Apr 05
Not Many Are Piling Into RXO, Inc. (NYSE:RXO) Stock Yet As It Plummets 29%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the RXO, Inc. ( NYSE:RXO ) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days...Analysis Article • Feb 24
Are Investors Undervaluing RXO, Inc. (NYSE:RXO) By 36%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for RXO is US$31.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity RXO is estimated to...Seeking Alpha • Feb 09
RXO: The Bear Case Is In Focus (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I downgrade RXO from buy to hold due to uncertainty in growth recovery and weak near-term outlook, expecting the stock to remain rangebound. RXO's 1Q25 guidance fell short of expectations, with adj EBITDA guidance of $20-$30 million, indicating continued volume weakness and margin pressure. Despite positive signs in contract rates and spot rates, the freight market recovery remains uncertain, posing risks to RXO's near-term performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 09
Ryder System: The Ride That Keeps On Delivering
Summary Ryder System's shares have surged significantly, outperforming the S&P 500, and remain attractively priced, justifying a continued 'buy' rating. The company's revenue and operating revenue have shown consistent growth, driven by its Fleet Management, Supply Chain, and Dedicated Transportation Solutions segments. Despite mixed profitability, Ryder's operating cash flow and EBITDA have generally increased, with promising forecasts for 2024. Ryder is transforming towards higher-margin growth areas, focusing on e-commerce, electric/autonomous vehicles, and modern supply chain innovations, while returning capital to shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 23
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By RXO, Inc.'s (NYSE:RXO) Revenues
There wouldn't be many who think RXO, Inc.'s ( NYSE:RXO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when...Analysis Article • Nov 10
Does RXO (NYSE:RXO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Seeking Alpha • Oct 12
RXO Emerges Stronger With The Freight Recession In The Rearview
Summary RXO Inc., the third-largest freight brokerage in North America, shows strong growth with increasing freight load volumes and revenue per load, making it a buy. The acquisition of UPS' freight brokerage business significantly expands RXO's market reach, customer base, and potential for economies of scale. Despite pricing pressures, RXO's improving volumes and margins, coupled with a recovering freight market, indicate strong future growth prospects. The company's valuation, adjusted for the recent acquisition, suggests potential undervaluation, presenting an attractive entry point for investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| RXO | US Transportation | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -7.1% | 0.6% | -2.1% |
| 1Y | 47.4% | 13.5% | 18.8% |
Return vs Industry: RXO exceeded the US Transportation industry which returned 14.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: RXO exceeded the US Market which returned 20.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| RXO volatility | |
|---|---|
| RXO Average Weekly Movement | 7.8% |
| Transportation Industry Average Movement | 6.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: RXO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: RXO's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6,906 | Drew Wilkerson | www.rxo.com |
RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. It offers truckload freight brokering services. The company also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services including middle mile.
RXO, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| RXO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$3.66b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$105.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$6.09b |
0.6x
P/S Ratio-34.0x
P/E RatioIs RXO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| RXO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$6.09b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$5.18b |
| Gross Profit | US$908.00m |
| Other Expenses | US$1.01b |
| Earnings | -US$105.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.64 |
| Gross Margin | 14.91% |
| Net Profit Margin | -1.72% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 30.5% |
How did RXO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/20 04:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
RXO, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |
| Christopher Kuhn | Benchmark Company |
| Fadi Chamoun | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |