Stock Analysis

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) Not Flying Under The Radar

NYSE:KNX
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 23x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KNX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 56%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 19% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.