Stock Analysis

Do Heartland Express' (NASDAQ:HTLD) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

NasdaqGS:HTLD
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Heartland Express (NASDAQ:HTLD), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

See our latest analysis for Heartland Express

How Quickly Is Heartland Express Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. It certainly is nice to see that Heartland Express has managed to grow EPS by 20% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Heartland Express maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 24% to US$761m. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:HTLD Earnings and Revenue History February 2nd 2023

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Heartland Express' forecast profits?

Are Heartland Express Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

Shareholders in Heartland Express will be more than happy to see insiders committing themselves to the company, spending US$227k on shares in just twelve months. When you contrast that with the complete lack of sales, it's easy for shareholders to be brimming with joyful expectancy. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Chairman of the Board Michael Gerdin for US$120k worth of shares, at about US$15.99 per share.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Heartland Express insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$156m. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.

While insiders are apparently happy to hold and accumulate shares, that is just part of the big picture. That's because on our analysis the CEO, Mike Gerdin, is paid less than the median for similar sized companies. For companies with market capitalisations between US$1.0b and US$3.2b, like Heartland Express, the median CEO pay is around US$5.2m.

The Heartland Express CEO received total compensation of just US$798k in the year to December 2021. First impressions seem to indicate a compensation policy that is favourable to shareholders. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Is Heartland Express Worth Keeping An Eye On?

You can't deny that Heartland Express has grown its earnings per share at a very impressive rate. That's attractive. On top of that, insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. Astute investors will want to keep this stock on watch. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Heartland Express (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Keen growth investors love to see insider buying. Thankfully, Heartland Express isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heartland Express might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.