Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLG) Now?

NYSE:CVLG
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Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLG), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Covenant Logistics Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Covenant Logistics Group

What's The Opportunity In Covenant Logistics Group?

Good news, investors! Covenant Logistics Group is still a bargain right now. Our valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $66.82, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. However, given that Covenant Logistics Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Covenant Logistics Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:CVLG Earnings and Revenue Growth July 17th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 47% over the next year, the near-term future seems bright for Covenant Logistics Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Since CVLG is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CVLG for a while, now might be the time to make a leap. Its prosperous future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy CVLG. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed investment decision.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that Covenant Logistics Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.