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CSX CorporationNasdaqGS:CSX Stock Report

Market Cap US$84.6b
Share Price
US$45.52
US$45.54
0.05% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y47.7%
7D-1.5%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

CSX Corporation

NasdaqGS:CSX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$84.6b

CSX (CSX) Stock Overview

Provides rail-based freight transportation services in the United States and Canada. More details

CSX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends4/6

CSX Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 47 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

CSX Corporation Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for CSX
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$45.52
52 Week HighUS$46.74
52 Week LowUS$30.85
Beta1.24
1 Month Change0.24%
3 Month Change7.18%
1 Year Change47.70%
3 Year Change47.74%
5 Year Change36.40%
Change since IPO3,778.63%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 03

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Support Balanced Freight Cycle Outlook

CSX's fair value estimate has been lifted by about $3.44 to $45.54, as analysts adjust price targets higher on the back of updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, despite some recent downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets while others trim estimates or move to more neutral stances.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 03

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Support Balanced Freight Cycle Outlook

CSX's fair value estimate has been lifted by about $3.44 to $45.54, as analysts adjust price targets higher on the back of updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, despite some recent downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets while others trim estimates or move to more neutral stances.
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

CSX Corporation: The Setup For A Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Story

Summary CSX Corporation is entering a multi-year transformation, combining operational discipline with structural growth drivers for sustained margin expansion. Recent results show a 20% increase in operating income and 26% EPS growth, driven by broad-based efficiency gains and disciplined cost control. Management projects mid-single-digit revenue growth, margin expansion, and over 60% free cash flow growth for the full year, supported by infrastructure investments and industrial development. I rate CSX a 'buy' at current valuation, as internal execution and emerging tailwinds position the company for consistent compounding and potential re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 18

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Upgrades Will Support Freight Cycle Recovery Potential

CSX's updated analyst price target edges higher to $42.10 from $41.15, reflecting analysts' recent mix of target increases and a few downgrades as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher future P/E, and ongoing sector level reassessments across transportation and rail names. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a split view, with several firms lifting price targets while a smaller group trims expectations or ratings.
Narrative Update Apr 02

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Offset Volume And Cycle Risks

The updated analyst price target for CSX has shifted modestly higher to reflect a new fair value estimate of $41.15. This is supported by recent Street research that points to steady revisions in discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Mar 18

CSX: Heavy Asset Rail Franchise Will Balance Volume Softness And Safety Events

CSX's updated analyst price target edges higher by about $0.50 to $40.81. The change reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E as analysts weigh mixed rail volume trends, ongoing transportation sector updates, and the view that rail networks remain hard to replicate infrastructure assets.
Narrative Update Mar 04

CSX: Heavy Asset Rail Recovery Will Balance Trucking Headwinds And Safety Risks

The analyst price target for CSX has been lifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving from $39.85 to $40.31, as analysts increasingly highlight the company as a core heavy-asset rail exposure in a freight cycle they view as progressing along a recovery path. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX points to a mixed but generally constructive view, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing the stock as a key way to get exposure to rail and broader freight trends.
Narrative Update Feb 18

CSX: Fair Outlook Weighs New Locomotive Spend Against Rail And Trucking Risks

Narrative Update: CSX Analyst Price Target Reset The CSX analyst price target has been fine tuned, with modest upward and downward $1 moves across several firms. These are offset by a higher $43 target from JPMorgan and a $40 target from TD Cowen, as analysts factor in recent transportation sector research, updated discount rate assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E input.
Narrative Update Feb 03

CSX: Fair Outlook Balances Rail Volume Risks And Trucking Headwinds

The analyst price target for CSX has moved slightly higher to about US$39.85, with analysts citing adjusted Q4 estimates, mixed expectations for Eastern rail volumes, and updated P/E assumptions across the transportation group as they recalibrate for what they describe as another year of consistent uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism about the company’s positioning and caution around the broader transportation group, especially as Q4 and early year seasonality play out.
Narrative Update Jan 20

CSX: Fair Outlook Balances Higher Freight Uncertainty And Leadership Transition

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price expectations for CSX higher, with the blended target rising by about $0.29 to just under $40. This reflects modestly updated views on fair value and profitability, even as they flag softer Eastern rail volumes and uneven transport demand ahead.
Narrative Update Jan 06

CSX: New Leadership And ONECSX Execution Will Shape Rail Network Future

Analysts have nudged the CSX price target higher to around US$41 to US$42 from about US$39 to US$40, citing a recent Q3 beat, one-off restructuring charges, and continued progress on the ONECSX and operational improvement initiatives as key supports for this shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target revisions for CSX toward the low US$40s after the Q3 report, with analysts pointing to the earnings outcome, one off restructuring charges, and ongoing ONECSX initiatives as key drivers of their views.
Analysis Article Jan 04

Here's Why CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update Dec 16

CSX: New Leadership And Consolidation Optionality Will Shape Rail Network Future

Our CSX fair value estimate has inched higher to approximately $39.54 per share. This reflects analysts modestly higher price targets in the low $40s, driven by solid Q3 execution, improving margins, and rising confidence in both operational initiatives and potential strategic outcomes.
Narrative Update Dec 02

CSX: New CEO Appointment And Rail Corridor Upgrade Will Drive Future Performance

CSX’s analyst price target has edged higher, with recent updates reflecting upward revisions of $1 to $4 per share. Analysts cited strong quarterly performance, improving operational trends, and growing confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.
Narrative Update Nov 18

CSX: Leadership Changes And New Rail Partnership Will Drive Momentum

CSX's analyst price target has edged up to $39.29 from $39.20, as analysts highlight stronger operational execution, improving fundamentals, and increased optimism following recent management and strategic developments. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports reflect a dynamic landscape of analyst opinion regarding CSX, with price targets shifting alongside evolving management strategies and industry developments.
Narrative Update Nov 03

CSX: Operational Momentum And Leadership Changes Will Shape Railroad’s M&A Prospects

The analyst price target for CSX has increased modestly by $0.12 to $39.20. Analysts point to ongoing operational improvements, stronger-than-expected earnings, and increased confidence in the company’s future under new leadership.
Narrative Update Oct 20

Howard Street Tunnel And Blue Ridge Rebuild Will Drive Efficiency

The analyst price target for CSX has increased from $38.44 to $39.08. This change reflects analysts' growing confidence in the company's improving financial performance, operational progress, and strengthened outlook following recent quarterly results and management changes.
Narrative Update Oct 05

Howard Street Tunnel And Blue Ridge Rebuild Will Drive Efficiency

Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for CSX to $38.44, citing rising price targets due to signs of improved fundamentals and anticipated M&A opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding CSX's outlook.
Narrative Update Sep 08

Howard Street Tunnel And Blue Ridge Rebuild Will Drive Efficiency

CSX’s consensus price target has seen a slight downward revision as analysts, tempered by macro uncertainty and neutralizing after a strong rally, weigh mixed implications of the CSX-BNSF intermodal deal—viewed both as a volume opportunity and dampener on merger speculation—resulting in a marginal decrease in fair value from $37.92 to $37.60. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite the new CSX-BNSF intermodal service agreement as months in the making, likely delivering volume benefits and not ruling out potential future M&A activity.
Analysis Article Sep 03

CSX's (NASDAQ:CSX) Returns Have Hit A Wall

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article Jun 24

A Look At The Fair Value Of CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, CSX fair value estimate is US$34.36 CSX's US$32.42 share price...
Analysis Article May 26

Is There Now An Opportunity In CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)?

Let's talk about the popular CSX Corporation ( NASDAQ:CSX ). The company's shares saw a double-digit share price rise...
Seeking Alpha Apr 18

CSX Corporation: Treasuries Look Better

Summary CSX's financial performance is uninspired, with declining revenue, net income, and operating income, indicating a period of slow growth. The dividend yield of 1.9% requires an unrealistic 17.7% CAGR to match the 10-Year Treasury Note, making CSX less attractive. Treasuries offer better risk-adjusted returns compared to CSX, with guaranteed cash returns and potential capital gains. I recommend avoiding CSX until the yield spikes or earnings improve and would consider buying if the stock trades in the low $20s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 24

CSX: It Can Be Traded, But A Low Growth Year Is In Store

Summary CSX Corporation's stock has remained range-bound between $30-$36, making it suitable for trading strategies like covered calls and put selling. Despite revenue declines due to natural disasters and lower coal prices, CSX managed to control expenses, improving its operating ratio to 65.7%. For 2025, we expect CSX to remain range-bound but see the potential for a breakout if coal prices rebound and intermodal volumes grow. We project 2025 revenues to be flat to up 2%, with earnings likely increasing by mid-single digits due to repurchase and operating efficiencies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 18

CSX: Continuing To Avoid

Summary CSX shares have underperformed, with a negative 3.4% return versus a 5.5% gain for the S&P 500, prompting a reevaluation of their financials and valuation. Financial performance is weak: revenue up 0.22%, net income down 1.75%, and long-term debt increased by $79 million, worsening the capital structure. Management spent $1.8 billion on buybacks at an average price of $37.58, which is 14% higher than the current stock price. CSX shares are overpriced at $33, and therefore definitely overpriced at $37.58, making the buybacks a questionable use of capital compared to dividends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 20

CSX: A Great Choice For Value Investors Today

Summary CSX Corp. is undervalued with strong growth potential, highlighted by solid 3Q 2024 results despite challenges like storms and falling coal prices. The company’s focus on efficiency, safety, and cost management has improved operating margins and safety scores, with a healthy balance sheet and robust cash flow. In my opinion, CSX looks way stronger than its international competitors such as Russia's Globaltrans and China's Daqin Railway, and isn't lagging behind its US rivals. Despite short-term revenue concerns, CSX is poised for long-term growth through higher volumes, service excellence, and potential acquisitions, making it a value pick. I expect CSX to continue growing. The stock is potentially undervalued compared to its peers, making it a favorable entry point for value investors. CSX is a "Buy" Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 13

Full-On Dividend Crush: Why CSX Is Calling My Name

Summary CSX Corporation is a top-tier dividend growth stock with a 20-year streak of dividend increases, aggressive buybacks, and a wide economic moat. The company benefits from significant onshoring trends, government incentives for U.S. manufacturing, and valuable partnerships in North America's industrial and chemical sectors. Despite a low dividend yield of 1.3%, CSX's strategic focus on industrial expansion and renewable fuels suggests strong long-term growth potential. Currently considering reallocating my portfolio to include CSX, as it aligns perfectly with my investment strategy despite its slight valuation premium. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 06

CSX Corporation: Not Too Compelling

Summary CSX stock remains a poor investment due to rich valuation amidst declining business performance and a better yield from the 10-Year Treasury Note. Financial performance in 2024 is weaker than 2023, with lower earnings and increased long-term debt, reflecting a sclerotic company. The stock's current valuation is neither cheap nor expensive, but relatively rich compared to its growth prospects, making it an unattractive investment. The market's growth expectations for CSX are excessive, and the negative risk premium compared to Treasury Notes further supports avoiding the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

CSXUS TransportationUS Market
7D-1.5%-1.6%1.1%
1Y47.7%12.4%28.7%

Return vs Industry: CSX exceeded the US Transportation industry which returned 12.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CSX exceeded the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CSX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CSX volatility
CSX Average Weekly Movement3.7%
Transportation Industry Average Movement6.4%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: CSX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CSX's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
197822,200Steve Angelwww.csx.com

CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: rail and trucking. The company offers rail services; and transportation of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations.

CSX Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do CSX's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CSX fundamental statistics
Market capUS$84.58b
Earnings (TTM)US$3.05b
Revenue (TTM)US$14.15b
27.7x
P/E Ratio
6.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CSX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$14.15b
Cost of RevenueUS$7.53b
Gross ProfitUS$6.63b
Other ExpensesUS$3.58b
EarningsUS$3.05b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.64
Gross Margin46.82%
Net Profit Margin21.55%
Debt/Equity Ratio139.6%

How did CSX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.2%
Current Dividend Yield
32%
Payout Ratio

Does CSX pay a reliable dividends?

See CSX dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy CSX by to receive an upcoming dividend?
CSX dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 29 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 15 2026
Days until Ex dividend4 days
Days until Dividend pay date21 days

Does CSX pay a reliable dividends?

See CSX dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 08:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CSX Corporation is covered by 40 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Daniel MooreBaird
Garrett ChaseBarclays