Is CSX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6
Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CSX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CSX ($33.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($41.36)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CSX is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSX?
Key metric: As CSX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CSX. This is calculated by dividing CSX's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is CSX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
17.9x
Earnings
US$3.67b
Market Cap
US$66.43b
CSX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (31x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CSX's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
CSX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
17.9x
Fair PE Ratio
20.3x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst CSX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
US$33.97
US$38.77
+14.1%
8.6%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
26
Dec ’25
US$36.55
US$38.77
+6.1%
8.6%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
26
Nov ’25
US$33.39
US$38.39
+15.0%
8.4%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
26
Oct ’25
US$34.52
US$38.46
+11.4%
7.6%
US$43.00
US$30.00
n/a
25
Sep ’25
US$34.27
US$38.78
+13.2%
7.6%
US$43.00
US$30.00
n/a
25
Aug ’25
US$34.77
US$38.74
+11.4%
7.7%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
25
Jul ’25
US$33.59
US$38.94
+15.9%
7.7%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
25
Jun ’25
US$33.75
US$39.42
+16.8%
7.9%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
25
May ’25
US$33.20
US$39.51
+19.0%
7.7%
US$44.00
US$30.00
n/a
27
Apr ’25
US$36.78
US$38.93
+5.8%
8.0%
US$46.00
US$30.00
n/a
26
Mar ’25
US$38.23
US$38.12
-0.3%
7.6%
US$42.00
US$30.00
n/a
27
Feb ’25
US$36.28
US$37.71
+3.9%
7.8%
US$42.00
US$30.00
n/a
27
Jan ’25
US$34.67
US$36.07
+4.0%
9.7%
US$42.00
US$25.00
n/a
26
Dec ’24
US$33.40
US$35.91
+7.5%
9.4%
US$42.00
US$25.00
US$36.55
26
Nov ’24
US$29.57
US$36.03
+21.8%
9.5%
US$42.00
US$25.00
US$33.39
26
Oct ’24
US$30.75
US$36.20
+17.7%
9.2%
US$42.00
US$25.00
US$34.52
26
Sep ’24
US$30.63
US$35.97
+17.4%
8.5%
US$40.00
US$25.00
US$34.27
27
Aug ’24
US$33.31
US$36.23
+8.8%
8.0%
US$40.00
US$25.00
US$34.77
27
Jul ’24
US$34.10
US$35.24
+3.3%
7.7%
US$40.00
US$26.00
US$33.59
27
Jun ’24
US$31.38
US$35.13
+11.9%
7.9%
US$40.00
US$26.00
US$33.75
27
May ’24
US$31.30
US$34.78
+11.1%
8.1%
US$40.00
US$26.00
US$33.20
26
Apr ’24
US$29.94
US$33.94
+13.4%
8.4%
US$39.00
US$24.00
US$36.78
26
Mar ’24
US$30.86
US$34.13
+10.6%
8.3%
US$39.00
US$24.00
US$38.23
26
Feb ’24
US$31.59
US$34.16
+8.1%
8.2%
US$39.00
US$24.00
US$36.28
27
Jan ’24
US$30.98
US$33.35
+7.6%
10.3%
US$39.00
US$23.00
US$34.67
27
Dec ’23
US$32.68
US$33.00
+1.0%
10.5%
US$39.00
US$23.00
US$33.40
26
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.