CSX Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 4/6
CSX is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 1.23% that is well covered by earnings.
Key information
1.2%
Dividend yield
1.0%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 2.3% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Growth | 8.2% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 32% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 03
CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Support Balanced Freight Cycle Outlook
CSX's fair value estimate has been lifted by about $3.44 to $45.54, as analysts adjust price targets higher on the back of updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, despite some recent downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets while others trim estimates or move to more neutral stances.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
CSX Corporation: The Setup For A Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Story
Summary CSX Corporation is entering a multi-year transformation, combining operational discipline with structural growth drivers for sustained margin expansion. Recent results show a 20% increase in operating income and 26% EPS growth, driven by broad-based efficiency gains and disciplined cost control. Management projects mid-single-digit revenue growth, margin expansion, and over 60% free cash flow growth for the full year, supported by infrastructure investments and industrial development. I rate CSX a 'buy' at current valuation, as internal execution and emerging tailwinds position the company for consistent compounding and potential re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 18
CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Upgrades Will Support Freight Cycle Recovery Potential
CSX's updated analyst price target edges higher to $42.10 from $41.15, reflecting analysts' recent mix of target increases and a few downgrades as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher future P/E, and ongoing sector level reassessments across transportation and rail names. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a split view, with several firms lifting price targets while a smaller group trims expectations or ratings.Narrative Update • Apr 02
CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Offset Volume And Cycle Risks
The updated analyst price target for CSX has shifted modestly higher to reflect a new fair value estimate of $41.15. This is supported by recent Street research that points to steady revisions in discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Mar 18
CSX: Heavy Asset Rail Franchise Will Balance Volume Softness And Safety Events
CSX's updated analyst price target edges higher by about $0.50 to $40.81. The change reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E as analysts weigh mixed rail volume trends, ongoing transportation sector updates, and the view that rail networks remain hard to replicate infrastructure assets.Narrative Update • Mar 04
CSX: Heavy Asset Rail Recovery Will Balance Trucking Headwinds And Safety Risks
The analyst price target for CSX has been lifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving from $39.85 to $40.31, as analysts increasingly highlight the company as a core heavy-asset rail exposure in a freight cycle they view as progressing along a recovery path. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX points to a mixed but generally constructive view, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing the stock as a key way to get exposure to rail and broader freight trends.Narrative Update • Feb 18
CSX: Fair Outlook Weighs New Locomotive Spend Against Rail And Trucking Risks
Narrative Update: CSX Analyst Price Target Reset The CSX analyst price target has been fine tuned, with modest upward and downward $1 moves across several firms. These are offset by a higher $43 target from JPMorgan and a $40 target from TD Cowen, as analysts factor in recent transportation sector research, updated discount rate assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E input.Narrative Update • Feb 03
CSX: Fair Outlook Balances Rail Volume Risks And Trucking Headwinds
The analyst price target for CSX has moved slightly higher to about US$39.85, with analysts citing adjusted Q4 estimates, mixed expectations for Eastern rail volumes, and updated P/E assumptions across the transportation group as they recalibrate for what they describe as another year of consistent uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism about the company’s positioning and caution around the broader transportation group, especially as Q4 and early year seasonality play out.Narrative Update • Jan 20
CSX: Fair Outlook Balances Higher Freight Uncertainty And Leadership Transition
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price expectations for CSX higher, with the blended target rising by about $0.29 to just under $40. This reflects modestly updated views on fair value and profitability, even as they flag softer Eastern rail volumes and uneven transport demand ahead.Narrative Update • Jan 06
CSX: New Leadership And ONECSX Execution Will Shape Rail Network Future
Analysts have nudged the CSX price target higher to around US$41 to US$42 from about US$39 to US$40, citing a recent Q3 beat, one-off restructuring charges, and continued progress on the ONECSX and operational improvement initiatives as key supports for this shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target revisions for CSX toward the low US$40s after the Q3 report, with analysts pointing to the earnings outcome, one off restructuring charges, and ongoing ONECSX initiatives as key drivers of their views.Analysis Article • Jan 04
Here's Why CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Narrative Update • Dec 16
CSX: New Leadership And Consolidation Optionality Will Shape Rail Network Future
Our CSX fair value estimate has inched higher to approximately $39.54 per share. This reflects analysts modestly higher price targets in the low $40s, driven by solid Q3 execution, improving margins, and rising confidence in both operational initiatives and potential strategic outcomes.Narrative Update • Dec 02
CSX: New CEO Appointment And Rail Corridor Upgrade Will Drive Future Performance
CSX’s analyst price target has edged higher, with recent updates reflecting upward revisions of $1 to $4 per share. Analysts cited strong quarterly performance, improving operational trends, and growing confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.Narrative Update • Nov 18
CSX: Leadership Changes And New Rail Partnership Will Drive Momentum
CSX's analyst price target has edged up to $39.29 from $39.20, as analysts highlight stronger operational execution, improving fundamentals, and increased optimism following recent management and strategic developments. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports reflect a dynamic landscape of analyst opinion regarding CSX, with price targets shifting alongside evolving management strategies and industry developments.Narrative Update • Nov 03
CSX: Operational Momentum And Leadership Changes Will Shape Railroad’s M&A Prospects
The analyst price target for CSX has increased modestly by $0.12 to $39.20. Analysts point to ongoing operational improvements, stronger-than-expected earnings, and increased confidence in the company’s future under new leadership.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Howard Street Tunnel And Blue Ridge Rebuild Will Drive Efficiency
The analyst price target for CSX has increased from $38.44 to $39.08. This change reflects analysts' growing confidence in the company's improving financial performance, operational progress, and strengthened outlook following recent quarterly results and management changes.Narrative Update • Oct 05
Howard Street Tunnel And Blue Ridge Rebuild Will Drive Efficiency
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for CSX to $38.44, citing rising price targets due to signs of improved fundamentals and anticipated M&A opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding CSX's outlook.Narrative Update • Sep 08
Howard Street Tunnel And Blue Ridge Rebuild Will Drive Efficiency
CSX’s consensus price target has seen a slight downward revision as analysts, tempered by macro uncertainty and neutralizing after a strong rally, weigh mixed implications of the CSX-BNSF intermodal deal—viewed both as a volume opportunity and dampener on merger speculation—resulting in a marginal decrease in fair value from $37.92 to $37.60. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite the new CSX-BNSF intermodal service agreement as months in the making, likely delivering volume benefits and not ruling out potential future M&A activity.Analysis Article • Sep 03
CSX's (NASDAQ:CSX) Returns Have Hit A Wall
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Jun 24
A Look At The Fair Value Of CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, CSX fair value estimate is US$34.36 CSX's US$32.42 share price...Analysis Article • May 26
Is There Now An Opportunity In CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)?
Let's talk about the popular CSX Corporation ( NASDAQ:CSX ). The company's shares saw a double-digit share price rise...Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
CSX Corporation: Treasuries Look Better
Summary CSX's financial performance is uninspired, with declining revenue, net income, and operating income, indicating a period of slow growth. The dividend yield of 1.9% requires an unrealistic 17.7% CAGR to match the 10-Year Treasury Note, making CSX less attractive. Treasuries offer better risk-adjusted returns compared to CSX, with guaranteed cash returns and potential capital gains. I recommend avoiding CSX until the yield spikes or earnings improve and would consider buying if the stock trades in the low $20s. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 24
CSX: It Can Be Traded, But A Low Growth Year Is In Store
Summary CSX Corporation's stock has remained range-bound between $30-$36, making it suitable for trading strategies like covered calls and put selling. Despite revenue declines due to natural disasters and lower coal prices, CSX managed to control expenses, improving its operating ratio to 65.7%. For 2025, we expect CSX to remain range-bound but see the potential for a breakout if coal prices rebound and intermodal volumes grow. We project 2025 revenues to be flat to up 2%, with earnings likely increasing by mid-single digits due to repurchase and operating efficiencies. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 18
CSX: Continuing To Avoid
Summary CSX shares have underperformed, with a negative 3.4% return versus a 5.5% gain for the S&P 500, prompting a reevaluation of their financials and valuation. Financial performance is weak: revenue up 0.22%, net income down 1.75%, and long-term debt increased by $79 million, worsening the capital structure. Management spent $1.8 billion on buybacks at an average price of $37.58, which is 14% higher than the current stock price. CSX shares are overpriced at $33, and therefore definitely overpriced at $37.58, making the buybacks a questionable use of capital compared to dividends. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 20
CSX: A Great Choice For Value Investors Today
Summary CSX Corp. is undervalued with strong growth potential, highlighted by solid 3Q 2024 results despite challenges like storms and falling coal prices. The company’s focus on efficiency, safety, and cost management has improved operating margins and safety scores, with a healthy balance sheet and robust cash flow. In my opinion, CSX looks way stronger than its international competitors such as Russia's Globaltrans and China's Daqin Railway, and isn't lagging behind its US rivals. Despite short-term revenue concerns, CSX is poised for long-term growth through higher volumes, service excellence, and potential acquisitions, making it a value pick. I expect CSX to continue growing. The stock is potentially undervalued compared to its peers, making it a favorable entry point for value investors. CSX is a "Buy" Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 13
Full-On Dividend Crush: Why CSX Is Calling My Name
Summary CSX Corporation is a top-tier dividend growth stock with a 20-year streak of dividend increases, aggressive buybacks, and a wide economic moat. The company benefits from significant onshoring trends, government incentives for U.S. manufacturing, and valuable partnerships in North America's industrial and chemical sectors. Despite a low dividend yield of 1.3%, CSX's strategic focus on industrial expansion and renewable fuels suggests strong long-term growth potential. Currently considering reallocating my portfolio to include CSX, as it aligns perfectly with my investment strategy despite its slight valuation premium. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
CSX Corporation: Not Too Compelling
Summary CSX stock remains a poor investment due to rich valuation amidst declining business performance and a better yield from the 10-Year Treasury Note. Financial performance in 2024 is weaker than 2023, with lower earnings and increased long-term debt, reflecting a sclerotic company. The stock's current valuation is neither cheap nor expensive, but relatively rich compared to its growth prospects, making it an unattractive investment. The market's growth expectations for CSX are excessive, and the negative risk premium compared to Treasury Notes further supports avoiding the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 10
CSX: Expect Short And Long-Term Growth
Summary CSX is poised for long-term and short-term growth. History of CSX dates back to the founding of the Baltimore & Ohio railroad in 1828. CSX CEO emphasizes the importance of rebuilding trust with employees and customers for the railroad's success. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaStability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: CSX's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: CSX's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| CSX Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (CSX) | 1.2% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.2% |
| Industry Average (Transportation) | 1.6% |
| Analyst forecast (CSX) (up to 3 years) | 1.4% |
Notable Dividend: CSX's dividend (1.23%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.41%).
High Dividend: CSX's dividend (1.23%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.24%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (32.4%), CSX's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonable cash payout ratio (54.7%), CSX's dividend payments are covered by cash flows.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 02:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
CSX Corporation is covered by 41 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Daniel Moore | Baird |
| Garrett Chase | Barclays |