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- NasdaqGS:SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications (NASDAQ:SHEN) adds US$50m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from five years ago are still down 61%
We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But no-one is immune from buying too high. To wit, the Shenandoah Telecommunications Company (NASDAQ:SHEN) share price managed to fall 76% over five long years. That's an unpleasant experience for long term holders. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 45% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 12% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
While the last five years has been tough for Shenandoah Telecommunications shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
See our latest analysis for Shenandoah Telecommunications
Given that Shenandoah Telecommunications didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last half decade, Shenandoah Telecommunications saw its revenue increase by 8.2% per year. That's a pretty good rate for a long time period. So the stock price fall of 12% per year seems pretty steep. The truth is that the growth might be below expectations, and investors are probably worried about the continual losses.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. If you are thinking of buying or selling Shenandoah Telecommunications stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shenandoah Telecommunications' TSR for the last 5 years was -61%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 22% in the last year, Shenandoah Telecommunications shareholders lost 44% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenandoah Telecommunications you should be aware of.
Shenandoah Telecommunications is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications
Provides a range of broadband communication services and cell tower colocation space in the Mid-Atlantic portion of the United States.
Imperfect balance sheet and overvalued.
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