Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:LILA) Low P/S

NasdaqGS:LILA
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILA) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Telecom companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.1x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Liberty Latin America

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LILA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 17th 2024

How Has Liberty Latin America Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Liberty Latin America as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market isn't expecting future revenue performance to improve, which has kept the P/S suppressed. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue performance if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Liberty Latin America.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Liberty Latin America's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.9%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.2% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 107%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Liberty Latin America's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Liberty Latin America's P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Liberty Latin America's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Liberty Latin America with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Liberty Latin America, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.