Stock Analysis

Iridium Communications' (NASDAQ:IRDM) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

NasdaqGS:IRDM
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Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. Having said that, after a brief look, Iridium Communications (NASDAQ:IRDM) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Iridium Communications is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.023 = US$69m ÷ (US$3.1b - US$127m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

So, Iridium Communications has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Telecom industry average of 8.1%.

Our analysis indicates that IRDM is potentially undervalued!

roce
NasdaqGS:IRDM Return on Capital Employed December 6th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Iridium Communications compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Iridium Communications here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Iridium Communications Tell Us?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Iridium Communications. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 4.3% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Iridium Communications becoming one if things continue as they have.

The Bottom Line On Iridium Communications' ROCE

In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. The market must be rosy on the stock's future because even though the underlying trends aren't too encouraging, the stock has soared 318%. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Iridium Communications that we think you should be aware of.

While Iridium Communications may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.