These 4 Measures Indicate That TD SYNNEX (NYSE:SNX) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that TD SYNNEX Corporation (NYSE:SNX) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does TD SYNNEX Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of May 2024, TD SYNNEX had US$4.60b of debt, up from US$4.11b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$1.17b in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.42b.
How Healthy Is TD SYNNEX's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TD SYNNEX had liabilities of US$14.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.06b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.17b in cash and US$9.68b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$8.90b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$10.0b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on TD SYNNEX's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
TD SYNNEX's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.7 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Sadly, TD SYNNEX's EBIT actually dropped 6.1% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TD SYNNEX's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, TD SYNNEX recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
On this analysis TD SYNNEX's level of total liabilities and EBIT growth rate both make us a little nervous. But its interest cover is a slight positive. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that TD SYNNEX's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for TD SYNNEX that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:SNX
TD SYNNEX
Operates as a distributor and solutions aggregator for the information technology (IT) ecosystem.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.