Crane NXT (CXT) Is Up 9.9% After Fed Print Order Fuels Currency Segment Growth Outlook

Simply Wall St
  • Earlier this month, Crane NXT announced expectations for high single-digit growth in its U.S. Currency segment for 2026, following the Federal Reserve's new print order projecting increased demand for higher denomination banknotes and the upcoming launch of a redesigned $10 bill.
  • A key driver behind this outlook is Crane NXT's alignment with currency modernization trends and its recent acquisition of Antares Vision, which expands its capabilities in secure technology solutions.
  • With heightened expectations for U.S. Currency growth linked to Federal Reserve demand, let's explore how this news shapes Crane NXT's investment narrative.

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Crane NXT Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Crane NXT shareholder today, you need to believe in the resilience of secure currency technology and authentication, even as digital payments rise globally. The recent news of an expected high single-digit growth in U.S. Currency for 2026, driven by the Federal Reserve's print order and a redesigned $10 bill, significantly boosts short-term confidence. Yet, the greatest ongoing risk remains the long-term shift away from cash, and this news does not materially eliminate that threat.

One announcement that stands out is Crane NXT’s corporate guidance update in August 2025 that confirmed continued revenue and earnings growth targets, with special emphasis on its SAT division, closely tied to Authentication and Security markets. This aligns with the growth catalysts in secure technology and positions the company to benefit from higher U.S. Currency demand, even as execution risk around integration of acquired businesses, such as Antares Vision, continues to require attention.

By contrast, investors should be aware that execution risk from integrating new acquisitions remains a key issue if...

Read the full narrative on Crane NXT (it's free!)

Crane NXT's outlook suggests revenues of $1.9 billion and earnings of $367.2 million by 2028. This is based on an annual revenue growth rate of 8.1% and an increase in earnings of $215.9 million from the current $151.3 million.

Uncover how Crane NXT's forecasts yield a $73.67 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CXT Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Simply Wall St Community members offered three fair value estimates for Crane NXT, ranging from US$57.00 to US$90.55. While views vary widely, many are keeping a close eye on how reliance on cash and physical authentication might affect future opportunities or risks, reminding you to check out different viewpoints before acting.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Crane NXT - why the stock might be worth 12% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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