Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To TransAct Technologies Incorporated (NASDAQ:TACT) With Shares Advancing 26%

NasdaqGM:TACT
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Despite an already strong run, TransAct Technologies Incorporated (NASDAQ:TACT) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about TransAct Technologies' P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Tech industry in the United States is also close to 1.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for TransAct Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:TACT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 21st 2024

What Does TransAct Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

TransAct Technologies hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think TransAct Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For TransAct Technologies?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like TransAct Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 32%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 61% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.5% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 8.1%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that TransAct Technologies is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

TransAct Technologies' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

While TransAct Technologies' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for TransAct Technologies that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TransAct Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TransAct Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.