Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In nLIGHT, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LASR) P/S

NasdaqGS:LASR
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, nLIGHT, Inc. (NASDAQ:LASR) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for nLIGHT

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LASR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024

How Has nLIGHT Performed Recently?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, nLIGHT has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the industry. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think nLIGHT's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is nLIGHT's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like nLIGHT's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 5.8% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.6% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.1%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that nLIGHT is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for nLIGHT, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for nLIGHT that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether nLIGHT is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.