Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

NasdaqGM:AAOI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.3b

Applied Optoelectronics Management

Management criteria checks 3/4

Applied Optoelectronics' CEO is Thompson Lin, appointed in Feb 1997, has a tenure of 29.25 years. total yearly compensation is $4.77M, comprised of 17.4% salary and 82.6% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 1.79% of the company’s shares, worth $255.75M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 13.5 years and 13.3 years respectively.

Key information

Thompson Lin

Chief executive officer

US$4.8m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage17.38%
CEO tenure29.3yrs
CEO ownership1.8%
Management average tenure13.5yrs
Board average tenure13.3yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 02

AAOI: Hyperscale Orders And US Capacity Expansion Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics The analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been reset from $140 to $190. Analysts point to the recently announced over $200 million 1.6T transceiver order from a long-term customer, which is viewed as consistent with ongoing demand for 400G and upcoming 800G deployments across major cloud accounts.
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Applied Optoelectronics Has A Vision Of Success, And So Do I

Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is transitioning from a volatile optical supplier to a vertically integrated AI-optics leader, capturing major hyperscaler demand. AAOI's recent orders totaling $124 million, improved margins, and a ramp in 800G transceiver production signal accelerating operational leverage and demand alignment. Despite narrowing losses and revenue growth, AAOI risks remain from customer concentration, unnormalized profitability, and potential competition. I maintain a bullish Buy rating, targeting $244.84 in five years, as AAOI’s foresight and execution position it for sustained growth in AI-driven optical infrastructure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 18

AAOI: Large Hyperscale Transceiver Orders Will Ultimately Struggle To Justify Current Expectations

Analysts lifted their price target framework for Applied Optoelectronics sharply, with fair value rising from $50.00 to $140.00. They point to the new over $200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer, expected strength in 400G, and anticipated 800G demand starting in Q2 as key supports for higher projected revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Apr 03

AAOI: Concentrated Hyperscale Orders Will Likely Cap Future Share Returns

Analysts have raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, supported by a higher fair value estimate of $90.30 and recent research that reflects a more constructive view on large 1.6T, 400G, and 800G transceiver orders from cloud customers. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the over US$200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer as a meaningful proof point that large cloud buyers are committing real dollars to Applied Optoelectronics' higher speed products.
New Narrative Apr 02

The Company Powering AI’s Data Traffic, Not Its Headlines

Rating: Speculative Buy / High Risk Style: AI infrastructure “picks-and-shovels” growth name Core debate: Is AAOI a genuine bottleneck asset in AI networking, or a cyclical optics supplier temporarily enjoying peak demand and peak multiples? Executive view Applied Optoelectronics is no longer just a small-cap optical component company.
Narrative Update Mar 20

AAOI: Heavy Reliance On One Hyperscale Order Will Limit Future Upside

Analysts lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics from $15 to $54, reflecting updated views that stronger 400G and 800G demand, large 1.6T transceiver orders, and higher projected revenue growth and profit margins could justify a higher fair value and future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics highlights both strong interest in high speed optical products and a wide range of opinions on what that might mean for the stock.
Narrative Update Mar 06

AAOI: Amazon Reliance And Unproven 800G Ramp Will Restrain Future Returns

Analysts have sharply raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, with one increase from $15 to $54. They cite continued strength in 400G products and the expectation that 800G will begin contributing incremental growth from Q2, particularly supported by firm demand from a key customer such as Amazon.
Narrative Update Feb 20

AAOI: New Facility And AI Transceiver Demand Will Support Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth of 82.48%, profit margins of 16.73%, and a future P/E of 12.31x. What's in the News Held a groundbreaking ceremony for a new 210,000 square foot manufacturing facility at 1111 Gillingham St. in Sugar Land, Texas, expanding its physical footprint for future production capacity (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 05

AAOI: Houston Automation Strength And Amazon Expectations Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics Analysts now frame Applied Optoelectronics' outlook around a split view, with one firm lifting its price target to $35 after a site visit that highlighted manufacturing capabilities, while another reiterates a $15 target and a Sell rating based on valuation concerns and what it calls ambitious 2026 revenue expectations tied to the Amazon opportunity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics splits into two camps, with some analysts highlighting upside linked to manufacturing strength and others questioning how much of the potential growth story is already reflected in the share price.
Narrative Update Jan 22

AAOI: InP Lasers And Automation Will Support Future AI Transceiver Leadership

Analysts have lifted their blended price target range for Applied Optoelectronics toward the mid teens to mid $30s, reflecting mixed views that balance concerns about valuation and ambitious revenue assumptions with confidence in the company's InP laser capabilities and highly automated transceiver production. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics shows a clear split between bullish analysts who see upside from the company’s technology and production capabilities and more cautious voices focused on valuation and execution risk.
Analysis Article Jan 21

Revenues Tell The Story For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) As Its Stock Soars 25%

Despite an already strong run, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain...
Narrative Update Jan 07

AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Contract Expectations Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics from $30.60 to $36.60, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E after recent research visits and valuation checks that highlighted both the company’s manufacturing capabilities and differing views on how much of the Amazon opportunity is already priced in. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Applied Optoelectronics presents a split view, with some analysts focusing on the company’s operational strengths and others pointing to valuation risks and ambitious revenue assumptions tied to the Amazon opportunity.
Narrative Update Dec 23

AAOI: InP Laser And Transceiver Automation Will Support Structurally Stronger Margins

We raise our fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics to $50 from $34, reflecting analysts' higher confidence in the company's laser and transceiver capabilities and structurally stronger margins, even as some caution that the current share price already embeds aggressive growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Applied Optoelectronics' differentiated position in indium phosphide, or InP, laser epitaxy and advanced transceiver manufacturing as key reasons for raising price targets and assigning favorable ratings.
Narrative Update Dec 09

AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Opportunity Will Shape A Measured Future Outlook

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, with the blended target edging higher by about $5 to approximately $35. They highlight the company’s strengthened InP laser and automated transceiver manufacturing capabilities while still cautioning that valuation already reflects much of the anticipated Amazon-driven upside.
Narrative Update Nov 25

AAOI: Expanded Manufacturing in Texas Will Drive Future Industry Leadership

Applied Optoelectronics' analyst price target has increased from $28.40 to $30.60. This change reflects analysts' recognition of stronger operational capabilities and advanced production efficiencies amid ongoing debates over growth prospects and valuation.
Analysis Article Nov 14

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good...
Narrative Update Nov 05

AAOI: Future Market Share Gains Will Depend On Successful Capacity Expansions

Analysts have raised their price target for Applied Optoelectronics from $18 to $25. This change reflects expectations for increased datacenter optical market share and further sales growth resulting from new awards, capacity expansions, and favorable industry dynamics.
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Raise Targets for Applied Optoelectronics Amid Growth Optimism and Valuation Adjustments

Analysts have increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, raising it by $1.20. This change reflects growing optimism driven by expectations of expanded market share and a stronger sales outlook.
Analysis Article Sep 16

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Shoot Up 32% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last...
Narrative Update Aug 27

US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion

Despite optimism around Applied Optoelectronics’ long-term market share gains, upcoming sales growth, and favorable geopolitical tailwinds, the consensus analyst price target has been reduced from $29.50 to $27.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see strong potential for 2026 sales growth driven by new customer awards.
Narrative Update Aug 10

US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion

Despite a substantial improvement in net profit margin and a sharp decline in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been revised downward from $31.33 to $29.50. What's in the News Provided Q3 2025 revenue guidance of $115 million to $127 million.
Analysis Article Jul 18

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Looks Just Right With A 75% Price Jump

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 75% gain in the last...
Analysis Article May 09

After Leaping 38% Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced...
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New Narrative Apr 24

Texas Expansion And New Transceivers Will Fuel Next-Generation Networks

Ramp-up of high-capacity transceiver products and capital investments signal potential revenue growth through increased sales volume in AI-focused datacenter architectures.
Seeking Alpha Mar 14

Applied Optoelectronics: Sell The Rally

Summary Shares of Applied Optoelectronics rallied in after hours after the company disclosed a warrant agreement with Amazon.com. However, Amazon is well known for using its bargaining power to extract warrants from exchange-listed suppliers. Essentially, the agreement represents a volume discount. The company reported Q4/2024 and full-year results largely in line with expectations, but ramping up datacenter equipment sales will be key going forward. However, required investments in working capital and additional production capacity are likely to result in substantial near-term cash flow pressures. Given near-term execution risk and potential for additional dilution, investors should consider using the Amazon-related rally to dispose of existing positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 04

Applied Optoelectronics Q4: Top-Line Growth Overshadowed By Decline In Margins

Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. reported strong Q4 sales growth but faced significant declines in efficiency and profitability, raising concerns about a sustainable turnaround. The company's CATV segment drove top-line growth, but gross margins and net income suffered due to one-time charges and operational inefficiencies. Macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariff wars, add volatility, making it difficult to confidently predict a near-term improvement in profitability. While the company shows promise with new product lines and capacity expansion, I need to see consistent operational improvements before considering investment in AAOI stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 24

Applied Optoelectronics Rises On Strong Q4-2024 Outlook And Future Data Center Growth

Summary Applied Optoelectronics is up 326.38% over the last six months. The company reported impressive Q3-2024 results and foresees a 40% revenue growth QoQ for Q4-2024. The company benefits from the high demand for fiber optics used at US datacenters. Demand for fiber optics at datacenters will continue to grow with the mass applications of AI and internet computing. I continue my rating of a Buy, although it comes at a risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 11

Applied Optoelectronics: Risk/Reward Increasingly Unfavorable After Epic Rally (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Last month, Applied Optoelectronics reported third-quarter results largely in line with expectations. Sales increased by more than 50% sequentially, driven by strong demand for data center and CATV products. Persistent cash outflows from increased working capital levels and elevated capex requirements were more than offset by proceeds from additional share sales into the open market. AAOI's Management projected Q4 revenues to increase by another 50%+ on a quarter-over-quarter basis, driven by persistent tailwinds from AI data center demand and the DOCSIS 4.0 transition in CATV. Following the epic rally in the shares, the company's valuation has reached elevated levels relative to much larger peers. With risk/reward looking increasingly unfavorable, I am downgrading the company's shares from "Hold" to "Sell" with a price target of $22, which is based on 30x estimated 2025 earnings per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 11

Applied Optoelectronics' Bright Prospects Dimmed By Valuation Concerns

Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. has shown significant growth, particularly in its CATV and 400G segments, with a 150% stock increase in the past six months. Despite strong revenue and customer growth, Applied Optoelectronics faces challenges with negative earnings, high P/E ratio, and cash flow issues. AAOI stock is currently rated as a hold due to overvaluation concerns, ongoing losses, and heavy reliance on a small group of customers. Future consideration for buying would depend on a stock price drop that better reflects the company's actual fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 27

Applied Optoelectronics: Mixed Results But Improved Outlook - Hold

Summary Applied Optoelectronics reported mixed Q2/2024 results, with revenue in line but gross margins below expectations, and continued negative free cash flow. The company continued to sell newly issued shares into the open market, thus resulting in substantial dilution for common equity holders. Following substantial delays, revenues under two supply agreements with key customer Microsoft are expected to ramp in the second half of the year. With H2 revenues expected to double from subdued first half levels, working capital requirements are likely to increase quite meaningfully. For my part, I prefer to remain on the sidelines until there is more clarity regarding the company's near-term margin and cash flow trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 07

Applied Optoelectronics: The Bottom Is Not Likely In

Summary Applied Optoelectronics provides niche technology solutions to various markets including data centers, cable TV, and telecommunications. Despite positive developments like a deal with Microsoft, the company has seen a significant decline in its stock price, and it is struggling financially. Continued downside is possible due to volatility in key markets, declining revenue, and lack of positive earnings or cash flows. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 17

Applied Optoelectronics: A Turnaround Could Be Around The Corner

Summary Applied Optoelectronics has come under pressure due to revenue and margin contraction in recent quarters. However, the company's pivotal Data Center segment is about to receive a major boost as operators upgrade their networks to meet increased demand due to AI boom. AAOI stock could see strong growth over the next three years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 27

Applied Optoelectronics Tanks On Q1 2024 Outlook: Buy The Dip

Summary Applied Optoelectronics' stock price dropped over 30% after weak Q1-2024 outlook, but is expected to recover in the long term. The company's Q4-2023 earnings report showed improvement YoY and QoQ, but came in below expectations. Applied Optoelectronics' products are in high demand for data infrastructure and AI technology, positioning the company for future growth. I continue a rating of Buy and recommend using the drop in price to reload positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 30

Applied Optoelectronics: A Risky Play At A Premium

Summary Applied Optoelectronics is a leading fiber-optic networking player specializing in high-speed data transmission through optical communication technology. The data center market is experiencing booming growth due to factors such as digital transformation, IoT, cloud computing, and big data. The valuation of Applied Optoelectronics is impacted by volatility and the correct Beta to use, but the company is closer to profitability and the fiber optics market is strong. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Thompson Lin's remuneration changed compared to Applied Optoelectronics's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Dec 31 2025US$5mUS$829k

-US$38m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

-US$156m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

-US$156m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

-US$173m

Dec 31 2024US$4mUS$693k

-US$187m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

-US$81m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

-US$72m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

-US$63m

Dec 31 2023US$6mUS$597k

-US$56m

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

-US$62m

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

-US$69m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

-US$67m

Dec 31 2022US$2mUS$584k

-US$66m

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

-US$61m

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

-US$61m

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

-US$55m

Dec 31 2021US$4mUS$570k

-US$54m

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

-US$53m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

-US$47m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

-US$57m

Dec 31 2020US$2mUS$571k

-US$58m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

-US$80m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

-US$80m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

-US$72m

Dec 31 2019US$4mUS$520k

-US$66m

Compensation vs Market: Thompson's total compensation ($USD4.77M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD14.67M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Thompson's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


CEO

Thompson Lin (62 yo)

29.3yrs
Tenure
US$4,769,014
Compensation

Dr. Chih-Hsiang Lin, also known as Thompson, Ph D., founded Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., in February 1997 and has been its President, Chief Executive Officer. Dr. Lin has been the Chairman of the Board a...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Chih-Hsiang Lin
Founder29.3yrsUS$4.77m1.79%
$ 255.8m
Stefan Murry
CFO & Chief Strategy Officer11.8yrsUS$2.10m0.22%
$ 31.4m
David Kuo
Senior VP13.5yrsUS$1.23m0.031%
$ 4.5m
Hung-Lun Chang
Senior VP & North America General Manager13.6yrsUS$1.71m0.19%
$ 26.7m
Shu-Hua Yeh
Senior VP & Asia General Manager13.5yrsUS$1.64m0.30%
$ 43.4m
Lindsay Savarese
Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Todd McCrum
Senior VP & GM of Broadband Access3yrsno datano data
Jessica Hung
VP of Finance & Controller19.3yrsno datano data
13.5yrs
Average Tenure
59yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: AAOI's management team is seasoned and experienced (13.5 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Chih-Hsiang Lin
Founder29.3yrsUS$4.77m1.79%
$ 255.8m
Richard Black
Independent Director24.8yrsUS$254.86k0.20%
$ 28.8m
Min-Chu Chen
Independent Director13.3yrsUS$267.87k0.23%
$ 33.2m
Che-Wei Lin
Independent Director12.3yrsUS$251.54k0.31%
$ 44.7m
William Yeh
Lead Independent Director26yrsUS$292.27k0.29%
$ 42.1m
Elizabeth Loboa
Independent Director5.9yrsUS$250.42k0.022%
$ 3.1m
Cynthia DeLaney
Independent Director4.9yrsUS$272.32k0.14%
$ 20.6m
13.3yrs
Average Tenure
62yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: AAOI's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 13.3 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 05:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Ku KangB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC