Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

NasdaqGM:AAOI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$524.1m

Applied Optoelectronics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Applied Optoelectronics is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 140.9% and 58.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 140.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 52% in 3 years.

Key information

140.9%

Earnings growth rate

140.9%

EPS growth rate

Communications earnings growth15.4%
Revenue growth rate58.9%
Future return on equity52.0%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated11 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Mar 22
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Applied Optoelectronics: Sell The Rally

Mar 14

Applied Optoelectronics Q4: Top-Line Growth Overshadowed By Decline In Margins

Mar 04

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Pounded By 35% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Jan 28
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Pounded By 35% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Applied Optoelectronics Rises On Strong Q4-2024 Outlook And Future Data Center Growth

Dec 24

Applied Optoelectronics: Risk/Reward Increasingly Unfavorable After Epic Rally (Rating Downgrade)

Dec 11

Applied Optoelectronics' Bright Prospects Dimmed By Valuation Concerns

Nov 11

After Leaping 26% Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Oct 15
After Leaping 26% Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

After Leaping 27% Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Aug 30
After Leaping 27% Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Applied Optoelectronics: Mixed Results But Improved Outlook - Hold

Aug 27

Applied Optoelectronics: The Bottom Is Not Likely In

Jul 07

Applied Optoelectronics: A Turnaround Could Be Around The Corner

May 17

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) 26% Share Price Plunge

Apr 30
Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) 26% Share Price Plunge

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stock Retreats 33% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Mar 14
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stock Retreats 33% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Applied Optoelectronics Tanks On Q1 2024 Outlook: Buy The Dip

Feb 27

Applied Optoelectronics: A Risky Play At A Premium

Jan 30

With A 28% Price Drop For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

Jan 26
With A 28% Price Drop For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

Is Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Using Too Much Debt?

Aug 06
Is Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Using Too Much Debt?

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Estimates

May 09
Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Estimates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGM:AAOI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026935103-11-13
12/31/202553019-75-365
12/31/2024249-187-120-70N/A
9/30/2024210-81-74-43N/A
6/30/2024207-72-69-44N/A
3/31/2024205-63-49-27N/A
12/31/2023218-56-23-8N/A
9/30/2023219-62-19-13N/A
6/30/2023213-69-11-7N/A
3/31/2023224-67-24-20N/A
12/31/2022223-66-18-14N/A
9/30/2022216-61-17-11N/A
6/30/2022212-61-72N/A
3/31/2022214-55-90N/A
12/31/2021212-54-22-12N/A
9/30/2021209-53-38-25N/A
6/30/2021233-47-49-35N/A
3/31/2021244-57-70-51N/A
12/31/2020235-58-64-44N/A
9/30/2020231-80-53-33N/A
6/30/2020200-80-47-33N/A
3/31/2020179-72-32-10N/A
12/31/2019191-66-34-2N/A
9/30/2019200-39-49-10N/A
6/30/2019211-34-653N/A
3/31/2019255-15-5718N/A
12/31/2018267-2-6414N/A
9/30/201828912N/A52N/A
6/30/201832235N/A52N/A
3/31/201835156N/A71N/A
12/31/201738274N/A84N/A
9/30/201738782N/A86N/A
6/30/201736981N/A85N/A
3/31/201730752N/A58N/A
12/31/201626131N/A57N/A
9/30/201622920N/A31N/A
6/30/20162165N/A18N/A
3/31/201621010N/A8N/A
12/31/201519011N/A-15N/A
9/30/20151739N/A-10N/A
6/30/20151538N/A-3N/A
3/31/20151364N/A-5N/A
12/31/20141304N/A9N/A
9/30/20141183N/A-3N/A
6/30/20141022N/A-8N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAOI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: AAOI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: AAOI is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AAOI's revenue (58.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AAOI's revenue (58.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AAOI's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (52%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/17 12:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/17 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Ku KangB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC