Applied Optoelectronics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Applied Optoelectronics is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 134.2% and 33.6% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 136% per annum.

Key information

134.2%

Earnings growth rate

136.0%

EPS growth rate

Communications earnings growth	8.3%
Revenue growth rate	33.6%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	30 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) 26% Share Price Plunge

Apr 30

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stock Retreats 33% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Mar 14

Applied Optoelectronics Tanks On Q1 2024 Outlook: Buy The Dip

Feb 27

Applied Optoelectronics: A Risky Play At A Premium

Jan 30

With A 28% Price Drop For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

Jan 26

Is Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Using Too Much Debt?

Aug 06

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Estimates

May 09

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Could Be 34% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

May 02

It's Unlikely That Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

May 27

Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

May 24

Applied Optoelectronics EPS beats by $0.05, beats on revenue

May 06

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Applied Optoelectronics' (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stock Three Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

Mar 05

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGM:AAOI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	432	36	41	N/A	3
12/31/2024	288	-11	-8	N/A	4
12/31/2023	218	-56	-23	-8	N/A
9/30/2023	219	-62	-19	-13	N/A
6/30/2023	213	-69	-11	-7	N/A
3/31/2023	224	-67	-24	-20	N/A
12/31/2022	223	-66	-18	-14	N/A
9/30/2022	216	-61	-17	-11	N/A
6/30/2022	212	-61	-7	2	N/A
3/31/2022	214	-55	-9	0	N/A
12/31/2021	212	-54	-22	-12	N/A
9/30/2021	209	-53	-38	-25	N/A
6/30/2021	233	-47	-49	-35	N/A
3/31/2021	244	-57	-70	-51	N/A
12/31/2020	235	-58	-64	-44	N/A
9/30/2020	231	-80	-53	-33	N/A
6/30/2020	200	-80	-47	-33	N/A
3/31/2020	179	-72	-32	-10	N/A
12/31/2019	191	-66	-34	-2	N/A
9/30/2019	200	-39	-49	-10	N/A
6/30/2019	211	-34	-65	3	N/A
3/31/2019	255	-15	-57	18	N/A
12/31/2018	267	-2	-64	14	N/A
9/30/2018	289	12	-31	52	N/A
6/30/2018	322	35	-21	52	N/A
3/31/2018	351	56	-3	71	N/A
12/31/2017	382	74	17	84	N/A
9/30/2017	387	82	N/A	86	N/A
6/30/2017	369	81	N/A	85	N/A
3/31/2017	307	52	N/A	58	N/A
12/31/2016	261	31	N/A	57	N/A
9/30/2016	229	20	N/A	31	N/A
6/30/2016	216	5	N/A	18	N/A
3/31/2016	210	10	N/A	8	N/A
12/31/2015	190	11	N/A	-15	N/A
9/30/2015	173	9	N/A	-10	N/A
6/30/2015	153	8	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2015	136	4	N/A	-5	N/A
12/31/2014	130	4	N/A	9	N/A
9/30/2014	118	3	N/A	-3	N/A
6/30/2014	102	2	N/A	-8	N/A
3/31/2014	89	0	N/A	-9	N/A
12/31/2013	78	-1	N/A	-6	N/A
9/30/2013	74	-1	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2013	69	-2	N/A	0	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAOI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: AAOI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: AAOI is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AAOI's revenue (33.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AAOI's revenue (33.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AAOI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Applied Optoelectronics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter of 2024

Price target increased by 33% to US$21.00

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 15%

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023

Recent updates

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) 26% Share Price Plunge

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2024

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 09, 2024

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd and Applied Optoelectronics, Inc Announces the Availability of Two New Multimode Designs Including A 400G QSFP-DD and an 800G OSFP

Independent Director recently bought US$398k worth of stock

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stock Retreats 33% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $25 million.

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Lead Independent Director recently bought US$153k worth of stock

Applied Optoelectronics Tanks On Q1 2024 Outlook: Buy The Dip

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter of 2024

New major risk - Share price stability

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 22, 2024

Applied Optoelectronics: A Risky Play At A Premium

With A 28% Price Drop For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

CFO & Chief Strategy Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Founder exercised options and sold US$145k worth of stock

Price target increased by 33% to US$21.00

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.57 loss per share (vs US$0.52 loss in 2Q 2022)

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 09, 2023

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Launches QuantumLink to Revolutionize Remote Management of Cable Amplifiers

Founder recently bought US$74k worth of stock

Founder exercised options and sold US$280k worth of stock

CFO & Chief Strategy Officer recently sold US$709k worth of stock

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 15%

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023

Is Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Using Too Much Debt?

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 03, 2023

New major risk - Financial position

Insufficient new directors

New major risk - Share price stability

Applied Optoelectronics Announces Quantum Bandwidth Line Extender and System Amplifier Products

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Appoints Todd McCrum as Senior Vice President and General Manager of Broadband Access

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 17%

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Estimates

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2023

Price target decreased by 27% to US$3.75

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Could Be 34% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Should You Think About Buying Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Now?

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Insider recently sold US$108k worth of stock

Founder recently bought US$98k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2022

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 03, 2022

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Launches Quantum Bandwidth

Yuhan Optoelectronic Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Chinese Manufacturing Facilities and Certain Assets of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

Yuhan Optoelectronic Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Chinese Manufacturing Facilities and Certain Assets of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

Is Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Financial Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 04, 2022

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 34%

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Is Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Price target decreased to US$6.17

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2022

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 05, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter of 2022