Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For UiPath Inc. (NYSE:PATH) Even After Diving 37%

NYSE:PATH
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, UiPath Inc. (NYSE:PATH) shares are down a considerable 37% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about UiPath's P/S ratio of 5.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in the United States is also close to 4.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for UiPath

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PATH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2024

How Has UiPath Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for UiPath as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on UiPath will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For UiPath?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, UiPath would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 99% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is not materially different.

With this in mind, it makes sense that UiPath's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for UiPath looks to be in line with the rest of the Software industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

A UiPath's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Software industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for UiPath that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether UiPath is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.