Stock Analysis

HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NYSE:HUBS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies HubSpot, Inc. (NYSE:HUBS) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for HubSpot

How Much Debt Does HubSpot Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that HubSpot had US$455.7m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$1.60b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.14b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HUBS Debt to Equity History December 14th 2023

A Look At HubSpot's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, HubSpot had liabilities of US$839.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$790.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.60b as well as receivables valued at US$212.4m due within 12 months. So it actually has US$180.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that HubSpot's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$26.5b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that HubSpot has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HubSpot can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, HubSpot reported revenue of US$2.1b, which is a gain of 26%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

So How Risky Is HubSpot?

While HubSpot lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$243m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. We think its revenue growth of 26% is a good sign. There's no doubt fast top line growth can cure all manner of ills, for a stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - HubSpot has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.