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Tucows Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TCX) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 31%
Tucows Inc. (NASDAQ:TCX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 17% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, Tucows may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Tucows
What Does Tucows' Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Tucows over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Tucows will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tucows' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Tucows' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.1%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 16% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.6% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Tucows' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Tucows' P/S Mean For Investors?
Tucows' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Tucows confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Tucows (3 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tucows, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tucows might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:TCX
Tucows
Provides network access, domain name registration, email, mobile telephony, and other Internet services in North America and Europe.
Low and slightly overvalued.