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Riot Platforms (RIOT): Assessing Valuation Following Bullish Analyst Upgrades and AI Cloud Pivot

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) saw its stock move sharply higher after both JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup released bullish upgrades. The analysts focused on Riot’s push into artificial intelligence and cloud-computing services, which could set the stage for new growth opportunities.
See our latest analysis for Riot Platforms.
Momentum has picked up for Riot Platforms after a series of positive developments, including expanded Bitcoin production, strategic cloud investments, and a string of enthusiastic analyst upgrades. While there has been some volatility, the 1-year total shareholder return of nearly 1.6% points to steady progress. Recent price action suggests growing investor confidence in Riot’s ability to capture new growth opportunities in tech and AI.
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With shares riding a wave of bullish analyst upgrades and optimism about Riot's pivot into AI and cloud, the key question now is whether the stock remains undervalued or if the market has already priced in its next phase of growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 20% Overvalued
With Riot Platforms trading at $19.25 and the most widely followed narrative assigning a fair value of $19.21, the valuation signals that recent bullish momentum may have pushed the stock slightly above its long-term potential. This highlights the importance of understanding what factors underlie these optimistic expectations.
Riot's aggressive build-out of a scalable data center business leverages its extensive, readily available power capacity in high-demand regions. This positions the company to benefit from surging demand for AI and cloud computing infrastructure, which is likely to drive higher revenue growth and improved valuation multiples over time.
What is fueling this eye-catching price target? The most popular narrative is anchored in sky-high revenue growth rates and a future profit story that rivals the sector’s leaders. Want to know what bold forecasts for margins, market demand, and competitive edge are driving this target? Dive in and uncover the assumptions that are shaping Riot’s calculated value.
Result: Fair Value of $19.21 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, ongoing Bitcoin price swings and possible delays in leasing out new data center capacity could quickly shift the outlook for Riot’s future growth.
Find out about the key risks to this Riot Platforms narrative.
Build Your Own Riot Platforms Narrative
If you see things differently or prefer to follow your own hunches, it only takes a few minutes to build your own perspective. Do it your way
A great starting point for your Riot Platforms research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 5 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqCM:RIOT
Riot Platforms
Operates as a Bitcoin mining company in the United States.
Moderate risk with mediocre balance sheet.
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