Porch Group, Inc.

NasdaqCM:PRCH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Porch Group Management

Management criteria checks 2/4

Porch Group's CEO is Matt Ehrlichman, appointed in Dec 2020, has a tenure of 5.5 years. total yearly compensation is $14.55M, comprised of 4.4% salary and 95.6% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 19.69% of the company’s shares, worth $221.41M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 2.5 years and 4.8 years respectively.

Key information

Matt Ehrlichman

Chief executive officer

US$14.5m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage4.42%
CEO tenure5.5yrs
CEO ownership19.7%
Management average tenure2.5yrs
Board average tenure4.8yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 02

PRCH: Coverage Resumption And Insurance Footprint Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price targets on Porch Group by $1, citing renewed coverage with an Overweight rating and supportive views on the company from several recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Porch Group centers on renewed analyst attention and modestly higher price targets.
Narrative Update May 16

PRCH: Coverage Resumption And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged the Porch Group fair value estimate slightly lower to $16.25, while price targets have been lifted by around $1 in recent research. This reflects updated assumptions around growth, margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Apr 28

PRCH: Recent Upgrade And 2026 Outlook Will Support Higher Earnings Multiple

Porch Group's analyst price target has shifted slightly, with a recalibrated fair value of about $16.29 per share, as analysts adjust their models following recent upgrades and a higher target from Keefe Bruyette. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has centered on the upgraded rating and the revised price target, which now clusters around a fair value estimate of about $16.29 per share.
Narrative Update Apr 09

PRCH: Upgraded Risk Profile Will Support Confidence In 2026 Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing recent upgrades and updated views on key inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade as a sign that key assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins now better reflect the company’s current execution path, which supports a higher valuation range.
Narrative Update Mar 26

PRCH: Refreshed Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In 2026 Margin Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated research that supports a refreshed view on the company’s valuation drivers and risk profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price target as a reflection of updated work on Porch Group’s key valuation drivers, suggesting more confidence in how its core business model is being assessed.
Narrative Update Mar 11

PRCH: Updated Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In Long Term Margin Potential

Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate and long-term P/E. These revisions keep fair value unchanged at $16.38 while reflecting updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings potential.
Narrative Update Feb 25

PRCH: Recent Upgrade Will Support Confidence In Future Margin Expansion Potential

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $17.63 to $16.38, citing updated assumptions on growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent price target increases and an upgrade highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has focused on valuation assumptions and the rationale behind the updated fair value estimate, using the latest price target move and upgrade as key reference points.
Narrative Update Feb 10

PRCH: Steady Forecast Assumptions Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential

Analysts have maintained their average price target for Porch Group at US$17.63, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E were made, which did not materially change their view of the stock's value. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at US$17.63 per share, with no change between the prior and updated assessment.
Analysis Article Feb 05

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 28%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty...
Narrative Update Jan 26

PRCH: Narrowed 2025 Revenue Guidance Will Support Future Margin Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Porch Group by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, and profit margins, along with a higher discount rate and P/E multiple. What's in the News Porch Group issued updated earnings guidance for Porch Shareholder Interest for full year 2025, giving investors a fresh reference point for its medium term outlook (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 12

PRCH: Expanded Property Data Coverage Will Support Future Margin Upside

Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target for Porch Group Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Porch Group steady at US$18.13 while making small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. These revisions reflect fine tuning of their models rather than a major shift in outlook.
Narrative Update Dec 25

PRCH: Property Data Expansion Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Potential

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Porch Group to 18.13 dollars, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and marginally lower long term margin expectations, while maintaining a robust future earnings multiple. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 Porch Shareholder Interest revenue guidance to a range of 410 million to 420 million dollars, narrowing and slightly lifting the low end from the prior 405 million to 425 million dollar outlook (Corporate guidance) Expanded the Home Factors property intelligence platform with new and enhanced attributes, including electrical panel and sub panel location, roof life stage segmentation, and updated plumbing material indicators (Company product announcement) Stated goal for Home Factors to offer over 100 property attributes covering about 90 percent of U.S. homes, deepening carriers' visibility into interior and exterior home conditions for underwriting and pricing (Company product announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Unchanged at 18.13 dollars per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment despite minor model tweaks.
Narrative Update Dec 11

PRCH: Reciprocal Model Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group from $17 to $25 per share, citing expectations for sustained 20% to 25% annual premium growth, improved protection from weather related losses, expanding reciprocal take rates, and a path toward significantly higher EBITDA margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as a reflection of Porch Group's ability to sustain premium growth in the 20% to 25% range, arguing that this level of expansion supports a structurally higher revenue base and justifies multiple expansion.
Narrative Update Nov 27

PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Margins Will Expand With Scalable Policy Volumes

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group slightly lower, from $18.75 to $18.13 per share. This change is based on updated growth assumptions and expanded profit margin projections following recent company discussions.
Analysis Article Nov 13

Porch Group's (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

Porch Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We think that investors...
Narrative Update Nov 06

PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Model Will Drive Margin Upside Amid Capital-Light Shift

The analyst price target for Porch Group was revised down from $19.75 to $18.75. This reflects analyst expectations for slower revenue growth and profit margin compression, despite some positive developments highlighted in recent research updates.
Narrative Update Sep 23

Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future

Analysts have sharply raised Porch Group’s price target to $19.75, citing outperformance in insurance profitability, scalable premium growth, margin expansion potential, and a new capital-light structure that enhances valuations and financial flexibility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see significant room for scaling policies and believe premium growth can reach 20%-25% annually, above prior expectations.
Seeking Alpha Sep 12

Porch Group: Profitability Is Here, Now The Hard Part Starts

Summary Porch Group, Inc. maintains strong momentum, driven by a shift to a high-margin, fee-based insurance model and disciplined cost control. PRCH delivered impressive Q2 results: 83% gross margin, $15.6M adjusted EBITDA, and positive operating cash flow, validating its profitability strategy. Management raised 2025 guidance and expanded distribution, but PRCH trades at a premium valuation (31x EV/EBITDA), requiring continued profit growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 29

Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone...
Analysis Article Jul 01

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone...
Analysis Article May 09

Porch Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 77% over the past week following Porch Group, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:PRCH...
Analysis Article Apr 25

Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) 31% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

The Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing...
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New Narrative Mar 28

Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future

Porch Group's shift to a fee-based insurance model and formation of PIRE create a higher-margin, more predictable earnings structure.
Analysis Article Mar 11

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 31% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period...
Seeking Alpha Mar 05

From Skeptic To Buyer: Why I'm Upgrading Porch Group

Summary Porch Group's shift to a high-margin, fee-based model has significantly improved profitability, with 2024 EBITDA hitting record levels and ambitious targets set for 2025 and 2026. Despite impressive revenue growth and operational improvements, concerns remain about the company's high debt levels and revenue visibility, particularly in a sluggish housing market. The Porch Insurance Reciprocal Exchange (PIRE) has boosted margins but introduced revenue predictability challenges, relying heavily on agent adoption and customer onboarding. Upgrading to a "Buy" rating due to strong earnings momentum and improved financials, though maintaining caution due to valuation and execution risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Nov 12

The Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

Today is shaping up negative for Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...
Analysis Article Nov 10

Earnings Beat: Porch Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

The investors in Porch Group, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today, after the...
Analysis Article Nov 08

Improved Revenues Required Before Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Stock's 67% Jump Looks Justified

Despite an already strong run, Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 67% in...
Analysis Article Oct 29

Are Investors Undervaluing Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) By 35%?

Key Insights Porch Group's estimated fair value is US$3.34 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Porch Group's...
Analysis Article Sep 20

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Stock Catapults 37% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period...

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Matt Ehrlichman's remuneration changed compared to Porch Group's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Mar 31 2026n/an/a

-US$16m

Dec 31 2025US$15mUS$643k

-US$3m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$31m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

US$56m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

-US$11m

Dec 31 2024US$13mUS$618k

-US$33m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

-US$66m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

-US$86m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

-US$109m

Dec 31 2023US$4mUS$600k

-US$134m

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

-US$167m

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

-US$246m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

-US$186m

Dec 31 2022US$14mUS$642k

-US$157m

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

-US$141m

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

-US$62m

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

-US$51m

Dec 31 2021US$1mUS$450k

-US$107m

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

-US$124m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

-US$128m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

-US$118m

Dec 31 2020US$17mUS$362k

-US$71m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

-US$54m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

-US$60m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

-US$88m

Dec 31 2019US$3kUS$1

-US$103m

Compensation vs Market: Matt's total compensation ($USD14.55M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.64M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Matt's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


CEO

Matt Ehrlichman (46 yo)

5.5yrs
Tenure
US$14,545,617
Compensation

Mr. Ehrlichman was Chairman of the Board of Homeowners of America Insurance Company until 2025. Mr. Matthew Ehrlichman, also known as Matt, served as Member of Advisory Board at Watsco Inc. since March 202...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Matthew Ehrlichman
Founder5.5yrsUS$14.55m19.69%
$ 221.4m
Shawn Tabak
Chief Financial Officer3.6yrsUS$2.85m0.24%
$ 2.7m
Matthew Neagle
Chief Operating Officer5.8yrsUS$6.95m1.82%
$ 20.5m
John Campbell
Vice President of Investor Relations1.4yrsno datano data
Meghan Silver
General Counsel & Secretaryno datano datano data
Michelle Taves
VP and Group GM of Data & Marketingno datano datano data
Hilary Cahill
Vice President of People1.4yrsno datano data
Nicole Pelley
Executive VP & GM of Porch Platformno datano datano data
Nicolas Graham
Senior Vice President & Group General Manager of Moving Division3.8yrsno datano data
Joshua Steffan
Senior VP and Group GM of Inspection & Real Estateno datano datano data
Emmanuel Bellegarde
Head of Reinsurance1.3yrsno datano data
Eric Lemieur
Head of Insurance Sales & Distribution1.3yrsno datano data
2.5yrs
Average Tenure
47yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: PRCH's management team is considered experienced (2.5 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Matthew Ehrlichman
Founder5.5yrsUS$14.55m19.69%
$ 221.4m
Alan Pickerill
Lead Independent Director5.5yrsUS$259.00k0.15%
$ 1.7m
Rachel Lam
Independent Director4.8yrsUS$215.25k0.15%
$ 1.7m
Maurice Tulloch
Independent Director4.8yrsUS$223.00k0.10%
$ 1.2m
Sean Kell
Independent Director4.3yrsUS$210.00k0.26%
$ 2.9m
Regi Vengalil
Independent Director5.5yrsUS$206.25k0.14%
$ 1.6m
Camilla Velasquez
Independent Director3.7yrsUS$202.00k0.17%
$ 2.0m
Amanda Reierson
Independent Director3.7yrsUS$200.25k0.13%
$ 1.4m
4.8yrs
Average Tenure
53yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: PRCH's board of directors are considered experienced (4.8 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/14 20:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/12 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Porch Group, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel KurnosBenchmark Company
Justin AgesBerenberg
Timothy D'AgostinoB. Riley Securities, Inc.