Porch Group, Inc.

NasdaqCM:PRCH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$823.6m

Porch Group Valuation

Is PRCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$16.73
Fair Value
52.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PRCH ($7.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRCH?

Key metric: As PRCH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PRCH. This is calculated by dividing PRCH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PRCH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.2x
SalesUS$437.85m
Market CapUS$823.64m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PRCH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PRCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.9x12.4%US$936.7m
WEAV Weave Communications
4.3x13.4%US$887.5m
SMWB Similarweb
3x14.1%US$762.0m
OLO Olo
3.8x15.7%US$1.1b
PRCH Porch Group
2.2x3.6%US$823.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PRCH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PRCH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

76 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.5x-11.2%US$1.40b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.9x12.4%US$936.71m
DSP Viant Technology
0.8x10.3%US$828.16m
APPS Digital Turbine
0.8x6.0%US$383.27m
PRCH 2.2xIndustry Avg. 4.7xNo. of Companies76PS048121620+
76 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PRCH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the US Software industry average (4.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRCH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRCH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PRCH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.96
US$8.00
+0.5%
20.4%US$10.00US$6.00n/a6
Mar ’26US$6.99
US$7.67
+9.7%
17.9%US$10.00US$6.00n/a6
Feb ’26US$4.45
US$6.42
+44.2%
22.2%US$8.00US$3.50n/a6
Jan ’26US$4.92
US$6.42
+30.4%
22.2%US$8.00US$3.50n/a6
Dec ’25US$3.66
US$4.58
+25.2%
25.5%US$7.00US$3.50n/a6
Nov ’25US$2.21
US$3.83
+73.5%
46.8%US$7.00US$1.50n/a6
Oct ’25US$1.37
US$3.86
+181.5%
45.3%US$7.00US$1.50n/a7
Sep ’25US$1.44
US$3.86
+167.9%
45.3%US$7.00US$1.50n/a7
Aug ’25US$1.94
US$5.41
+178.7%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
Jul ’25US$1.51
US$5.41
+258.0%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
Jun ’25US$2.10
US$5.41
+157.4%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
May ’25US$3.26
US$5.41
+66.1%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
Apr ’25US$4.15
US$5.03
+21.2%
40.9%US$10.00US$3.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$3.46
US$3.81
+10.2%
67.5%US$10.00US$1.00US$6.998
Feb ’25US$2.35
US$3.81
+62.2%
67.5%US$10.00US$1.00US$4.458
Jan ’25US$3.08
US$3.75
+21.8%
68.0%US$10.00US$1.00US$4.928
Dec ’24US$1.68
US$3.47
+106.5%
77.3%US$10.00US$1.00US$3.668
Nov ’24US$0.55
US$4.28
+677.1%
67.1%US$10.00US$1.25US$2.218
Oct ’24US$0.80
US$4.28
+433.4%
67.1%US$10.00US$1.25US$1.378
Sep ’24US$0.80
US$4.28
+434.2%
67.1%US$10.00US$1.25US$1.448
Aug ’24US$1.36
US$5.05
+271.3%
78.3%US$14.00US$1.40US$1.948
Jul ’24US$1.38
US$5.05
+265.9%
78.3%US$14.00US$1.40US$1.518
Jun ’24US$1.34
US$4.91
+266.1%
76.4%US$14.00US$1.40US$2.109
May ’24US$0.84
US$4.78
+468.7%
80.5%US$14.00US$1.50US$3.268
Apr ’24US$1.43
US$5.03
+251.6%
73.5%US$14.00US$1.50US$4.159
Mar ’24US$2.07
US$5.95
+187.4%
54.5%US$14.00US$2.00US$3.4610
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
US$8.00
Fair Value
0.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/25 09:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/25 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Porch Group, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel KurnosBenchmark Company
Justin AgesBerenberg
Jason KreyerCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC