Porch Group Valuation

Is PRCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRCH ($3.45) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRCH is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRCH?

Key metric: As PRCH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PRCH. This is calculated by dividing PRCH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PRCH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$452.10m
Market CapUS$349.25m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PRCH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PRCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
OOMA Ooma
1.5x7.3%US$380.8m
DOMO Domo
1.1x0.09%US$350.8m
MITK Mitek Systems
2.6x7.3%US$431.5m
0.6x1.1%US$385.4m
PRCH Porch Group
0.8x6.7%US$349.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PRCH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PRCH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.5.3x12.3%
PRCH Porch Group
0.8x6.7%US$349.25m
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.13b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$704.88m
PRCH 0.8xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.5.3x17.3%
PRCH Porch Group
0.8x-10.2%US$349.25m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PRCH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRCH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRCH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PRCH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.45
US$4.58
+32.9%
25.5%US$7.00US$3.50n/a6
Nov ’25US$2.21
US$3.83
+73.5%
46.8%US$7.00US$1.50n/a6
Oct ’25US$1.37
US$3.86
+181.5%
45.3%US$7.00US$1.50n/a7
Sep ’25US$1.44
US$3.86
+167.9%
45.3%US$7.00US$1.50n/a7
Aug ’25US$1.94
US$5.41
+178.7%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
Jul ’25US$1.51
US$5.41
+258.0%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
Jun ’25US$2.10
US$5.41
+157.4%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
May ’25US$3.26
US$5.41
+66.1%
34.3%US$10.00US$3.75n/a8
Apr ’25US$4.15
US$5.03
+21.2%
40.9%US$10.00US$3.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$3.46
US$3.81
+10.2%
67.5%US$10.00US$1.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$2.35
US$3.81
+62.2%
67.5%US$10.00US$1.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$3.08
US$3.75
+21.8%
68.0%US$10.00US$1.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$1.68
US$3.47
+106.5%
77.3%US$10.00US$1.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$0.55
US$4.28
+677.1%
67.1%US$10.00US$1.25US$2.218
Oct ’24US$0.80
US$4.28
+433.4%
67.1%US$10.00US$1.25US$1.378
Sep ’24US$0.80
US$4.28
+434.2%
67.1%US$10.00US$1.25US$1.448
Aug ’24US$1.36
US$5.05
+271.3%
78.3%US$14.00US$1.40US$1.948
Jul ’24US$1.38
US$5.05
+265.9%
78.3%US$14.00US$1.40US$1.518
Jun ’24US$1.34
US$4.91
+266.1%
76.4%US$14.00US$1.40US$2.109
May ’24US$0.84
US$4.78
+468.7%
80.5%US$14.00US$1.50US$3.268
Apr ’24US$1.43
US$5.03
+251.6%
73.5%US$14.00US$1.50US$4.159
Mar ’24US$2.07
US$5.95
+187.4%
54.5%US$14.00US$2.00US$3.4610
Feb ’24US$3.17
US$5.95
+87.7%
54.5%US$14.00US$2.00US$2.3510
Jan ’24US$1.88
US$5.86
+211.9%
53.0%US$14.00US$2.00US$3.0811
Dec ’23US$2.23
US$5.81
+160.5%
54.7%US$14.00US$1.40US$1.6811
Nov ’23US$1.40
US$8.50
+507.1%
40.7%US$16.00US$3.50US$0.5511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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